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EL NIŅO/SOUTHERN OSCILLATION (ENSO)

El Niņo  is a term originally used to describe the appearance of warm (surface) water from time to time in the eastern equatorial Pacific region along the coasts of Peru and Ecuador.  La Niņa is defined as cooler than normal sea-surface temperatures in the central and eastern tropical Pacific ocean that impact global weather patterns. La Niņa conditions recur every few years and can persist for as long as two years.

NOAA/NESDIS latest SST anomalies
Latest El Niņo/La Niņo Advisory

The EL NIŅO/Southern Oscillation  amplifies certain climate driven events in Florida during strong El Niņo/La Niņo years. The effects listed below should be used only as indicators of increasing or decreasing threats. This does not mean that severe weather, hurricanes, or other damaging weather events will or will not occur. 

Florida El Niņo Effects:

  • Rainfall - Above average rainfall
  • Severe Weather - During El Niņo the jet stream is oriented from west to east over the northern Gulf of Mexico and Northern Florida. Thus this region is most susceptible to severe weather
  • Temperatures - Below normal temperatures
  • Winter Storms - Increased cyclogenesis (low pressure systems) in the Gulf of Mexico
  • Hurricanes - El Niņo almost always reduces the frequency of storms.

Florida La Niņa Effects:

  • Rainfall -Generally dry conditions prevail during  La Niņa's in late fall,  winter and early spring.
  • Wildfires - Increased risk of Wildfires in Spring/summer months.
  • Temperatures  - Temperatures average slightly above normal during   La Niņa events.
  • Hurricanes  - According to  research, the chances for the continental U.S. and the Caribbean Islands to experience hurricane activity increases substantially during La Niņa.
 
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