RSS NHC Tropical Weather Discussion

NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion

000
AXNT20 KNHC 070620
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sat Feb 7 2026

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Western and Central Atlantic Gale Warnings/Significant Swell:
A cold front extends southwestward from the north-central Atlantic
across 31N55W to beyond the Dominican Republic. Latest
scatterometer satellite data reveal gale-force SW winds just ahead
of the front near 28N55W. This verifies the forecast for near-
gale to gale-force winds along with 12 to 19 ft seas, north of 25N
and west of 43W and 63W in the cold. These winds and seas should
steadily shift northeastward and to beyond 31N on Saturday
morning.

Farther west, a 1005 mb low is off the Carolinas coast near
34N74W this evening. This system is expected to rapidly intensity
while tracking east-northeastward across the western and central
Atlantic. It will introduce gales to strong-gale westerly winds
and seas to near 30 ft, north of 27N and east of 27W by
Saturday. Afterward, both winds and seas will gradually subside
from west to east on Tue.

Please read the latest High Seas and Offshore Waters Forecasts
issued by the National Hurricane Center at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php for more details on
these events.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near the coastal border of
Guinea/Sierra Leone and extends southwestward to 05N17W. An ITCZ
continues west-southwestward to 00N32W. Widely scattered moderate
convection is seen within 30 nm of the ITCZ.

...GULF OF AMERICA...

A 1024 mb high at the southwestern Gulf continues to dominate the
entire Gulf. Moderate to fresh NW to winds and seas of 5 to 7 ft
are seen across the north-central and eastern Gulf, including the
Florida Straits. Gentle to moderate NW to NE winds and 2 to 4 ft
seas prevail for the rest of the Gulf.

For the forecast, post-frontal fresh to strong W to NW winds will
continue over the northeastern Gulf through Sat morning. High
pressure centered north of the region will dominate through at
the middle of next week, setting up quiescent conditions across
area waters once the aforementioned winds diminish this weekend..

...CARIBBEAN SEA...

A cold front extends southwestward from the Dominican Republic
to near the coastal border of Costa Rica and Honduras. Patchy
showers are found near and up to 50 nm along either side of the
cold front. Fresh to strong with locally near-gale N winds and
seas of 8 to 10 ft are seen behind the front at the southwestern
basin. Gentle to moderate NE to SE winds with 3 to 5 ft seas
prevail elsewhere in the Carribbean Sea.

For the forecast, the cold front will stall Sat then dissipate by
Sun. Strong N winds and rough seas will prevail over the
southwestern basin behind through Sat. After the front
dissipates, fresh to strong NE trades will develop offshore
Colombia and Hispaniola Sun night, then increase and expand
through the central basin into the middle of next week as high
pressure builds N of the area. Rough seas will develop in this
area of strong winds winds. Additionally, large N to NW swell will
impact the Mona Passage, Anegada Passage, and tropical N Atlantic
waters beginning on Mo.

...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

Please see the Special Features section for details on a Gale
Warning and on areas of significant swell.

A cold front extends southwestward from the north-central Atlantic
across 31N55W to beyond the Dominican Republic. Scattered moderate
convection is noted near and up to 150 nm east of this property.
Farther south, a surface trough is triggering widely scattered
moderate convection. Refer the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ.

Outside of the gale warning areas, fresh to strong SW to NW winds
and 8 to 12 ft seas are noted north of 23N and west of 45W. To
the east, north of 20N between 35W and 45W, moderate with locally
fresh SE to S winds and seas of 6 to 8 ft are present. For the
waters near and east of the Bahamas, moderate to fresh NW winds
and seas of 6 to 9 ft is found. Farther south from 12N to 20N and
west of 35W, moderate to locally fresh ENE to SE winds and 6 to 8
ft seas are present. For the remainder of the Atlantic Basin west
of 35W, moderate to fresh NE to E winds with 6 to 8 ft seas are
noted.

For the forecast, please read the details in the Special Feature
section.

$$

Chan