RSS Morning Sitrep
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Wednesday, May 6th, 2026.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
-
Areas of patchy dense fog have developed throughout the Big Bend this morning and will slowly lift and dissipate as the sun rises.
-
Otherwise, a mostly sunny and dry day is on tap for the Sunshine State as high pressure remains overhead.
-
An isolated shower or two cannot be ruled out across the far western Panhandle later this afternoon and evening, closer to our next approaching cold front (15-20% chance of rain).
-
Chances of rain will remain near zero elsewhere as relative humidities dip to near critical thresholds (30-40%).
-
Breezy wind gusts of 15-25 mph will overlap these dry conditions across much of the state, bringing elevated wildfire danger this afternoon.
-
High temperatures will climb into the upper 80s to middle 90s throughout much of the state. Southeast Florida and the Panhandle will remain a few degrees cooler.
-
Tonight, the aforementioned cold front will continue its approach towards the Panhandle with additional isolated to scattered showers and storms possible after midnight (15-30% chance of rain).
-
There is a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather and a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding outlooked across the northwestern Panhandle tonight for an isolated strong to severe thunderstorm or two.
-
Gusty winds, frequent lightning, and locally heavy downpours will be the primary hazards.
-
Rainfall totals will generally remain below 0.5" in any areas that do see rainfall. However, localized amountsupwards of 1-2"cannot be ruled out before sunrise across the western Panhandle.
-
Mostly dry conditions will prevail elsewhere tonight.
-
Low temperatures will fall into the upper 60s to middle 70s throughout the state with instances ofpatchy fog development after midnight across the Big Bend and Northeast Florida, some of which could become locally dense.
-
Amoderate risk for rip currentsis expected for all East Coast and Panhandle beaches today.
-
According to the Florida Forest Service, there are 70 active wildfires across the state burning approximately 15,148 acres.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, May 5, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
-
High pressure will settle over the state today bringing mostly sunny skies and a warming trend.
-
A slight chance for a shower will exist across Southeast Florida where some marginal moisture will linger (15-30% chance of rain), however any activity is expected to be light and brief in nature.
-
Winds are expected to be lighter across the Peninsula today, though increasing across the Panhandle where a few gustsupwards of 20 mph will be possible.
-
Stronger winds will exist across coastal Northeast Florida and within the St. Johns river basin, gustingupwards of 25-30 mph.
-
Relative humidities will also begin to recover today as winds shift more from the south, though will stillnear critical thresholds throughout interior portions of the state (35-45%).
-
Sensitive to elevated wildfire conditions will persist given the ongoing drought and these drier conditions.
-
High temperatures will warm up into the 80s throughout much of the state, with upper 70s along the Panhandle coastline and potentially a few lower 90s along the I-75 corridor.
-
Clear and calm conditions will prevail overnight.
-
Low temperatures will fall into the 60s across North and Central Florida, with 70s throughout South Florida.
-
Areas ofpatchy fog may develop across the Panhandle and Big Bend towards daybreak Wednesday, some of which could become locally dense.
-
Amoderate risk for rip currentsis expected for most Panhandle and East Coast beaches today. A localhigh riskis outlooked along Palm Beach County.
-
According to the Florida Forest Service, there are 77 active wildfires across the state burning approximately 14,999 acres.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Monday, May 4, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
-
A cold front continues to slide southward into the Florida Straits today, keeping some moisture around across South Florida where isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected this afternoon (35-55% chance of rain).
-
Southeast Florida will see the greatest chances of rain where a few locally heavy downpours cannot be ruled out.
-
Rainfall totals will generally remain below 1", though a quick1-3" of raincannot be ruled out in localized areas that see the heaviest activity.
-
Further north, high pressure will begin to nudge into North and Central Florida allowing for dry and pleasant conditions to return.
-
Relative humidities will dipbelow critical thresholds (20-30%) across North Florida which will continue to encourageelevated wildfire conditions amidst the ongoing exceptional drought. Light winds will keep the overall wildfire threat lower.
-
The strongest winds will reside across East-Central Florida where wind gustsupwards of 25-30 mph will be possible overlapping with relative humidities of 35-45%.
-
High temperatures will reach into the upper 70s to middle 80s for much of the state this afternoon.
-
Tonight, a few showers and storms will linger across Southeast and Southwest Florida (25-35% chance of rain), though will quickly dissipate after sunset.
-
A mostly calm and clear night is expected statewide.
-
Lows will fall into the 50s across North Florida, with middle 60s to lower 70s in Central and South Florida.
-
Amoderate tohigh risk for rip currentsis expected for most East Coast and Panhandle beaches today. Locally high surf of4-6'is expected for Treasure Coast beaches.
-
According to the Florida Forest Service, there are 87 active wildfires across the state burning approximately 15,305 acres.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Sunday, May 3rd, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
-
A frontal boundary over South Florida will serve as a focus for scattered showers and thunderstorms today and tonight, with the highest chance for rain expected south of Lake Okeechobee.
-
No widespread threat for severe weather is anticipated, but a strong thunderstorm or two with brief gusty winds and frequent lightning is possible. Additionally, some storms may contain periods of heavy rain up to 2” leading to a flash flood threat of urban metro areas between Palm Beach and Miami.
-
Across North and Central Florida, a cool and dry airmass will continue to filter in on north winds.
-
Elevated fire potential exists across portions of Central Florida where low humidity values combine with breezy winds and dry soils.
-
According to the Florida Forest Service, there are 90 active wildfires across the state burning approximately 15,076 acres.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Saturday, May 2nd, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
-
Scattered to numerous showers and storms expected across North Florida today, extending into Central Florida later this afternoon.
-
The Storm Prediction Center has placed much of North Florida and portions of Central Florida in aSlight Risk (level 2 of 5) for severe weather. Damaging winds up to 60mph and small hail are the primary threats, but an isolated tornado or two cannot be ruled out. Additionally, storm storms may contain periods of heavy rain leading to a brief flash flood threat of low-lying areas.
-
Across Central and South Florida, before the storms arrive, warm temperatures, low relative humidity values and southwest winds of 10-20 mph with gusts as high as 35 mph will combine to enhance the spread or development of wildfires and aRed Flag Warningis in effect for portions of Central and South Florida.
-
According to the Florida Forest Service, there are 91 active wildfires across the state burning approximately 15,178 acres.
-
Ocean swells and increasing winds will continue amoderate to high risk of rip currentsal ALL Florida beaches today.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.