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RSS Morning Sitrep

4/27/2025 1:55:11 PM

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Sunday, April 27, 2025

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
  • A weak front will attempt to sag southward towards the state line and I-10 corridor bringing isolated showers and embedded thunderstorms with it later in the day (15-20% chance of rain).
  • Organized severe weather is not expected, but a locally strong to severe thunderstorm or two cannot be ruled out.
  • A few isolated showers may drift southward towards the I-4 corridor this afternoon, but chances are minimal.
  • Elsewhere across the state mostly dry conditions can be expected as high pressure nearby continues to dominates.
  • Sensitive to elevated wildfire conditions can be expected across the Big Bend and throughout the Peninsula as relative humidity values fall near and below critical thresholds (25-40%).
  • High temperatures will reach the middle to upper 80s and lower to middle 90s across the state, with interior portions of Central Florida seeing possible record-breaking temperatures.
  • Showers and thunderstorms will mostly dissipate through the evening hours, but a few showers and embedded thunderstorms may continue into the overnight hours along the Northeast Florida coast (20-30% chance of rain).
  • Instances of fog will be possible across the Panhandle overnight and early Monday morning, especially any areas that see rainfall.
  • Low temperatures will fall into the 60s and lower 70s overnight.
  • A moderate to high risk for rip currents persists along the Panhandle and East Coast with onshore winds and surf near 1-3'.

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report

4/26/2025 1:55:15 PM

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Saturday, April 26th, 2025

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
  • Isolated showers and thunderstorms possible across the state this afternoon and evening with the help of the sea breezes and an upper-level disturbance approaching the state (near 0-20% chance of rain).

  • An isolated strong to severe thunderstorm cannot be ruled out through the peak heating hours of the day.
  • Otherwise, mostly dry conditions and mostly to partly sunny skies expected today.
  • High temperatures in the middle 80s to middle 90s; Locally cooler temperatures along coastlines with the help of the afternoon sea breezes.

  • Shifting winds near 5-10 mph with gusts near 10-15 mph.
  • Sensitive toelevated wildfire conditions are likely across the Peninsula this afternoon and evening.

  • MandatoryBurn Bans are in effect for 21 counties in the Florida Peninsula (Brevard, Charlotte, Citrus,  Collier, DeSoto, Flagler, Glades, Hardee, Hendry, Highlands, Lake, Lee, Manatee, Okeechobee, Orange, Pasco, Polk, Sarasota, Seminole, Sumter, and Volusia).
  • Moderate tohigh risk for rip currents along the East Coast and Florida Panhandle.
  • Low temperatures in the 60s overnight with upper 60s to middle 70s along Southeast Florida and the Keys.

  • Areas of patchy to locally dense fog possible across the state overnight into Sunday morning

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report

4/25/2025 1:55:11 PM

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Friday, April 25th, 2025

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
  • Dense Fog Advisories will remain in effect along portions of the Panhandle through the mid-morning hours this morning as areas of dense fog reduce visibilities to ¼ mile or less at times.

  • A few isolated showers and thunderstorms may be possible across the state this afternoon and evening with the help of the sea breezes; otherwise, mostly dry conditions and mostly to partly cloudy skies are expected (near 0-15% chance of rain).

  • High temperatures in the middle 80s to middle 90s; Locally cooler temperatures possible along the East Coast and coastal Florida Panhandle.

  • Easterly to southeasterly winds will reach near 5-15 mph with gusts near 10-20 mph.
  • Sensitive toelevated wildfire conditions will persist along the Peninsula this afternoon and evening.

  • MandatoryBurn Bansremain in effect for Brevard, Charlotte, Collier, Flagler, Glades, Hardee, Hendry, Highlands, Lake, Lee, Okeechobee, Orange, Pasco, Polk, Sarasota, Seminole, Sumter, and Volusia counties.
  • Moderate tohigh risk for rip currents along the East Coast and Florida Panhandle.
  • Low temperatures in the 60s overnight with low to middle 70s along Southeast Florida and the Keys.

  • Areas of patchy to dense fog possible across the state overnight into Saturday morning

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report

4/24/2025 2:03:32 PM

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, April 24th, 2025

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
  • Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms possible across interior portions of the Florida Panhandle and Suwannee Valley this afternoon an evening (10-30% chance of rain).
  • This activity should generally diminish after sunset with the loss of daytime heating (near 0-5% chance of rain).
  • An uptick in moisture will allow for the return of isolated to scattered shower activity across the far Southern Peninsula and Keys today and tonight (10-30% chance of rain).
  • Mostly dry conditions can be expected elsewhere (near 0-5% chance of rain).
  • High temperatures in the middle 80s to middle 90s nearly statewide today; locally cooler temperatures along coastlines.
  • Easterly to southeasterly winds will near 5-15 mph with gusts upwards of 10-20 mph.
  • Sensitive toelevated wildfire conditions will persist along the Peninsula this afternoon and evening.
  • Elevated Risk (level 1 of 3) for Fire Weather along much of the Peninsula as dry and breezy conditions are likely by afternoon peak heating atop dry fuels.
  • Mandatory Burn Bans remain in effect for numerous Florida Peninsula counties.
  • Moderate tohigh risk for rip currents along East Coast and numerous Florida Panhandle beaches.
  • Low temperatures in the 60s overnight with low to middle 70s along Southeast Florida and the Keys.
  • Areas of patchy to dense fog possible nearly statewide overnight into Friday morning.

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report

4/23/2025 1:55:14 PM

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Wednesday, April 23rd, 2025

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
  • Dense Fog conditions across the western Panhandle will gradually lift and dissipate throughout the morning hours.
  • A stalled front to the north will help increase rain chances slightly along and north of the I-10 corridor this afternoon, especially with the help of the sea breeze moving inland across the Suwannee Valley and Northeast Florida (10-25% chance of rain).
  • There may be a slight chance for embedded rumbles of thunder along the I-10 corridor and across northern Northeast Florida during the peak heating hours of the day.
  • The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is outlooking a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather as locally strong to severe thunderstorms may be capable of producing lightning, gusty winds (45-60 mph), small hail and locally heavy rains.
  • Sensitive to elevated wildfire conditions can be expected along the I-75 corridor and throughout the interior western Peninsula as relative humidity values will fall near critical thresholds (30-40%) and wind gusts reach upwards of 10-15 mph.
  • The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is also outlooking an Elevated Risk (level 1 of 3) for Fire Weather conditions throughout the interior western Peninsula.
  • High temperatures will reach the 80s and lower 90s this afternoon, with portions of interior Central Florida approaching the middle 90s.
  • Any showers or possible thunderstorms that develop during the afternoon hours will dissipate heading into the evening hours allowing for calm and quiet conditions to return overnight.
  • Instances of fog may be possible overnight and early Thursday morning across the Panhandle.
  • Low temperatures will fall into the the middle to upper 60s across North Florida, upper 60s to lower 70s across Central Florida and upper 60s to middle 70s across South Florida.
  • A moderate to high risk for rip currents persists for Panhandle and East Coast beaches due to onshore winds and wave heights near 2-4'.

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report