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RSS Morning Sitrep

2/8/2026 3:08:35 PM

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Sunday, February 8th, 2026

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
  • Behind yesterday’s dry cold front, achilly startthis morning across much of the state.
    • Freeze WarningsandFrost Advisoriesacross Northeast Florida and the Suwannee Valley will expire mid-morning as conditions warm up.
  • Another day filled with plenty of sunshine can be expected across the state as high pressure conditions dominate.
  • While lighter winds will return today, relative humidity values for much of the state will fall backnear or into critical thresholds (20-35%)this afternoon.
    • This will continue to keep theelevated wildfire conditionsin place today, especially with the expanding and worsening drought from the winter season.
  • Ongoing smoke from the Buggy Fire in South Florida may createreduced visibilities and hazy conditionsacross the region throughout the day.
  • High temperatures will reach the 60s to middle 70s across the state this afternoon leading to a pleasant day.
  •  Cool and calm conditions can be expected overnight across the state.
  • Low-level moisture beginning to return across the state will lead toinstances of fogdeveloping late overnight and into the early morning hours on Monday.
    • With ongoing wildfires, fog development combined with wildfire smoke may lead to afurther reduction of visibilitiesMonday morning.
  • Low temperatures overnight will fall into theupper 30sto middle 40s across North Florida, middle to upper 40s across Central Florida and 50s across South Florida.
  • Onshore winds and oceanswells of 4-7'will keep amoderate to high risk for rip currents in place along the Florida East Coast.
    • Calmer conditions will return to the Gulf Coast, but amoderate riskis still in place for numerous beaches with alocally high risk in Southwest Florida.

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report

2/7/2026 3:04:40 PM

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Saturday, February 7, 2026

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
  • Another sunny, dry, and pleasant day is on tap for the Sunshine State as high pressure settles across the region.
  • A very dry airmass will filter across the entire state this afternoon with critically low relative humidities expected statewide.
  • Paired with a few breezy wind gusts upwards of 20-25 mph, elevated wildfire conditions are expected across much of the state, especially given the ongoing drought.
    • Locally critical wildfire conditions cannot be ruled out in areas under the most severe drought that see occasionally higher wind gusts.
  • High temperatures this afternoon will reach the lower to middle 60s in North Florida and upper 60s to middle 70s in Central and South Florida.
  • Dry conditions will continue to prevail overnight.
  • Winds will quickly subside early this evening as relative humidities also recover, which will reduce the wildfire risk overnight.
  • Lows will reach the upper 20s to lower 30s across North Florida tonight and a Freeze Warning is in effect for portions of Northeast Florida, mainly along and north of the I-10 corridor.
    • A Freeze Watch remains in effect for areas south of the I-10 corridor across Northeast Florida and the Suwannee River Valley.
    • Instances of patchy frost may develop across much of North Florida tonight.
  • Lows in the upper 30s to lower 40s is expected across Central Florida, and middle 40s to middle 50s in South Florida.
  • A moderate to high risk for rip currents is expected for all statewide beaches today.

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report

2/6/2026 2:55:45 PM

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Friday, February 6, 2026

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
  • A sunny and dry day is expected across the Sunshine State as high pressure begins to settle into the region.
  • A much drier airmass will filter into the state today with relative humidities dipping to near or below critical thresholds (25-35% RH values)across much of Northeast and East-Central Florida.
    • Paired with breezy winds gusts upwards of 30 mph, this will lead to elevated to critical wildfire conditions.
    • A Red Flag Warning is in effect for much of Northeast and East-Central Florida this afternoon until 6:00 PM EST for this critical wildfire risk.
  • Although much of the rest of the state will see relative humidities remain well above critical thresholds, breezy wind gusts upwards of 25-30 mphmay still lead to locally elevated wildfire conditions.
  • High temperatures this afternoon will reach the middle to upper 60s statewide, though will only feel like the upper 50s to lower 60s given elevated winds.
  • Dry conditions will continue to prevail overnight.
  • Winds will begin to subside tonight across much of the state, though some gusts upwards of 20 mph will still linger.
    • Relative humidities will quickly recover across the state with the wildfire risk diminishing overnight.
  • Low temperatures will reach the upper 30s to middle 40s throughout North Florida, upper 40s to lower 50s in Central Florida, and upper 40s to middle 50s in South Florida.
    • Feels-like temperatures may approach the lower to middle 30s across the northern Big Bend and Panhandle by daybreak Saturday.
  • A moderate to high risk for rip currents is expected for all statewide beaches today with breezy winds and elevated surf.
    • Wave heights of 2-4' this afternoon for all statewide beaches will increase to 3-5' A few waves upwards of 6' cannot be ruled out for Southeast and Treasure Coast beaches.

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report

2/5/2026 2:53:24 PM

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, February 5, 2026

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
  • Scattered showers are ongoing this morning across Central and South Florida ahead of and along our cold front passing through the state, mainly south of the I-4 corridor.
    • Additional rounds of scattered showers or light rain are expected throughout the morning before pushing offshore by mid-afternoon (50-90% chance of rain).
  • In the wake of the front, muchcooler anddrier airwill begin to filter into the state.
  • This cool air is already being felt in the western Panhandle this morning with wind chills in the20sand30s.
    • Temperatures will hardly warm up this afternoon, with highs struggling to climb out of the lower to middle 50s throughout North Florida.
    • With a few breezy wind gustsupwards of 20 mphat times, temperatures will feel like the lower to middle 40s throughout the afternoon.
  • Relative humidities will dip tonear or below critical thresholds (25-30%)this afternoon across the western Panhandle, which may lead tolocally elevated wildfire conditions.
  • Breezy wind gustsupwards of 25-30 mph are also possible across Central and South Florida this afternoon.
  • Highs will reach the lower to middle 60s in Central Florida and middle 60s to middle 70s in South Florida.
  • High pressure will begin to settle across the region tonight, providing for a clear, dry, but cold night.
  • AFreeze Warning is in effect for Northeast Florida tonight wheresub-freezing temperatures are expected.
  • Lows in theupper 20stolower 30s are expected throughout much of North Florida tonight wherewidespread frostis likely by sunrise.
  • The interior Peninsula, extending into South Florida, can expect lows in themiddle toupper 30s, with coastal locations of Central and South Florida staying in the 40s.
    • With some breezy winds lingering overnight, wind chills may reach themiddle 20s tolower 30s throughout the state, as far south as interior Miami-Dade County.
    • ACold Weather Advisoryis in effect tonight until 9:00 AM EST tomorrow morning throughout interior Central and South Florida for thesevery cold wind chills.
  • Amoderate tohigh risk for rip currentsis expected for nearly all statewide beaches today.
    • A building ocean swell will bring surf of2-4'for all statewide beaches today. A few wavesupwards of 5'will be possible for West Coast beaches.
    • Surf increases tonight for East Coast beaches, with waves of3-5'expected by daybreak Friday and a few wavesupwards of 6' possible for the Treasure Coast.

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report

2/4/2026 3:03:49 PM

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Wednesday, February 4, 2026

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
  • Achilly start this morning across portions of Northeast and Central Florida; however, temperatures will quickly warm up ahead of our next frontal system.
  • Areas of light to moderate rain are ongoing this morning across the Panhandle ahead of and along our next cold front.
  • This activity will slowly slide eastward throughout the day with periods of light to moderate rainfall expected across the Panhandle and Big Bend through this afternoon (80-near 100% chance of rain).
    • Some of this activity could lead to a few rumbles of thunder andnuisance flooding and ponding of water, especially in urban and low-lying/poor drainage locations.
    • Rainfall totals will remain below 0.5" for most locations. Pockets of heavier rainfall totalsupwards of 1"cannot be ruled out.
  • Across Northeast and Central Florida, relative humidities will dip tonear critical thresholds (30-40% RH values) this afternoon. Paired with a few breezy wind gustsupwards of 25 mph, this may lead tolocally elevated wildfire conditions.
  • A mostly sunny and dry day is expected across South and Central Florida today.
  • High temperatures will reach the middle 60s for much of the Panhandle and Big Bend this afternoon, with 70s throughout the Peninsula.
  • The frontal activity will continue to push eastward this evening and overnight, with scattered to numerous showers first spreading across Northeast Florida and then into Central Florida after midnight (50-near 100% chance of rain).
    • Areas of light to moderate rainfall will be ongoing by daybreak Thursday across the Peninsula.
  • Ahead of this activity across South Florida, moist southerly flow will promote areas oflow clouds and fog by daybreak, some of which could belocally dense.
  • Behind the front, low temperatures will cool off into the middle to upper 30s throughout the Panhandle and Big Bend, with feels-like temperatures by sunrise reaching theupper 20stolower 30s.
  • Lows in the 40s can be expected across Northeast Florida and throughout the interior Peninsula, with coastal locations of Central and South Florida remaining in the 50s.
  • Onshore winds and lingering ocean swells will bring ahigh risk for rip currentsto most Panhandle and East Coast beaches today. Amoderate riskis expected for Northeast and Southeast Florida beaches.
    • Waves of2-4'are expected for Panhandle and East Coast beaches today.
    • Waves will increase to3-5' for Panhandle beaches tonight, with a few wavesupwards of 6' possible for Gulf County beaches.

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report