RSS Morning Sitrep
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Friday, November 28, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- A chilly start this morning, especially across North and Central Florida, can be expected with a gradual warm up throughout the day.
- Plenty of sunshine can be expected across the state today with dry condition returning statewide.
- Elevated to locally dangerous wildfire conditions can be expected across North Florida today as relative humidity values will fall below critical thresholds (15-25%) this afternoon with slightly elevated wind gusts upwards of 15-20 mph.
- Sensitive to locally elevated wildfire conditions will extend into West-Central and even portions of Southwest Florida where relative humidity value will fall near and below critical thresholds (25-35%).
- Dry conditions and clear skies can be expected to persist into the overnight hours throughout the state.
- High temperatures will keep to the upper 50s to lower 60s across North Florida, middle to upper 60s across Central Florida and upper 60s to middle 70s across South Florida this afternoon.
- Low temperatures will fall into the middle to upper 30s throughout interior North Florida and the lower 40s along the coast, 40s to middle 50s across Central Florida, upper 50s to upper 60s across South Florida and the Keys overnight.
- Feels-like temperatures will fall into the lower to middle 30s across much of North Florida, especially closer inland.
- Isolated locations and more shaded areas could see feels-like temperatures in theupper 20s.
- Along the coast and extending into the Suwannee Valley feels-like temperatures will fall into the middle to upper 30s.
- Breezy northerly winds and large ocean swells will lead to amoderate to high risk for rip currents nearly statewide.
- Large ocean swells of 4-7’ can be expected through the late afternoon hours across numerous Peninsula beaches with larger breaking waves upwards of 8-9’ along Southeast Florida beaches.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, November 27th, 2025.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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A cold front will continue to push through Central and South Florida today bringing isolated to widely scattered showers and embedded thunderstorms throughout South Florida today (25-45% chance of rain).
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Embedded thunderstorms may produce frequent lightning and gusty winds at times.
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Rainfall totals are forecast to remain below an inch; however, locally higher totals upwards of 1-2" cannot be ruled out across portions of Southeast Florida.
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Behind the cold front, much cooler and drier air will filter into the state which will cause relative humidity values to fallwell below critical thresholds (15-25%) this afternoon throughout North Florida leading to anelevated wildfire threat.
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Wind gusts willincrease to 15-20 mphas well, helping to contribute to theelevated wildfire threatgiven the ongoing drought conditions.
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Despite the elevated winds, conditions will remain below Red Flag criteria, but expanding extreme to exceptional drought throughout North Florida willcreate locally dangerous wildfire conditions.
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High temperatures will remain in the upper 50s to middle 60s across North Florida, 70s throughout Central Florida and upper 70s to lower 80s across South Florida.
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The front will push off South Florida this evening and overnight, but it may bring a few additional rounds of shower activity before it does so (20-25% chance of rain).
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Low temperatures will fall into theupper 20sthroughout the Suwannee Valley and30s throughout North Florida, middle to upper 40s across Central Florida, lower 50s to lower 60s across South Florida and the middle 60s across the Keys.
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Freeze Warningswill go into effect overnight through sunrise Friday morning where temperaturesas low as 29-degrees are possible.
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While Freeze Warnings have not been issued for other portions of North Florida, alight freeze or patchy frostwill be possible throughout North Florida sunrise Friday morning.
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Feels-like temperaturesthroughout North Florida will fall into themiddle to upper 20sandlower 30sandlower to middle 30sthroughout interior portions of Central Florida early Friday morning.
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Amoderate to high risk for rip currentscan be expected nearly statewide due to elevated breezy winds and ocean swells of 3-5' across Central Florida beaches.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Wednesday, November 26, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Locally dense fog conditions across the coastal Big Bend and the Peninsula will slowly lift and dissipate throughout the morning.
- Last night’s cold front will continue to push through the Big Bend and eventually Central Florida today bringing isolated to widely scattered showers and embedded thunderstorms (25-45% chance of rain).
- Enough moisture and a localized sea breeze will allow for isolated to widely scattered showers and embedded thunderstorms to develop along the I-95 corridor and South Florida later this afternoon and evening (15-30% chance of rain).
- Rainfall totals are forecast to remain near 1”; however, locally higher totals upwards of 1-2” across interior South Florida.
- High temperatures will reach the 70s and lower 80s across North Florida, with the coolest temperatures along the western Panhandle as cooler air behind the front moves in.
- The rest of the state will continue to see high temperatures in the lower to middle 80s this afternoon.
- As the front pushes through Central Florida late this evening and overnight, any remaining shower and thunderstorm activity associated with the front will dissipate and dry up.
- There may be a few isolated or spotty showers that continue overnight throughout Central and South Florida where there is just enough moisture to provide support for activity (15-25% chance of rain).
- Areas of patchy to locally dense fog will be possible across South Florida early Thursday morning as the front continues to approach.
- Breezier winds will return overnight across the Panhandle and western Big Bend with wind gusts reaching upwards of 15-20 mph.
- Low temperatures will fall into the 40s and lower 50s across North Florida, middle to upper 60s across Central Florida and upper 60s to lower 70s across South Florida.
- Breezier winds across the Panhandle at sunrise on Thursday will make wind chills (feels-like temperatures) drop into the lower to middle 30s for the Panhandle.
- A moderate risk for rip currents will persist along the Panhandle and East Coast today, with a high risk along the eastern Panhandle.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, November 25, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Low clouds and foggy conditions across the state will continue to lift and dissipate throughout the state this morning.
- Another dry and warm day can be expected across the Sunshine State as high pressure shifts off the coast and towards the western Atlantic waters.
- Enough moisture and a weak sea breeze may allow for isolated brief showers along portions of the Space and Treasure Coasts this afternoon (10-20% chance of rain).
- Onshore winds will help to pull moisture northward across the Panhandle later this afternoon ahead of an approaching cold front sparking isolated to widely scattered showers and embedded thunderstorms for the westernmost Panhandle, west of US-331 (20-40% chance of rain).
- High temperatures will reach the upper 70s to lower 80s throughout the state, with the Suwannee Valley and West Florida reaching the middle 80s this afternoon.
- The cold front will move into the Panhandle this evening and overnight bringing the main round of scattered showers and thunderstorms (45-75% chance of rain).
- Favorable atmospheric and environmental conditions will allow for possible embedded strong to severe thunderstorms across the Panhandle.
- The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is outlooking a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather through daybreak on Wednesday for those embedded strong to severe thunderstorms.
- All hazards associated with severe weather, including lightning, damaging wind gusts (40-60 mph), an isolated tornado and large hail (upwards of 1”).
- Moisture and calm conditions ahead of the front will allow for scattered fog to develop overnight and early Wednesday morning from the Big Bend and extending throughout the Peninsula.
- A Dense Fog Advisory cannot be ruled out where locally dense fog conditions develop.
- Low temperatures will fall into the upper 50s to upper 60s throughout the state, with portions of Southeast Florida and the Keys remaining in the lower to middle 70s.
- Winds shifting onshore ahead of the approaching cold front will create a moderate to high risk for rip currents along the Panhandle.
- East Coast beaches will see a moderate risk for rip currents.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Sunday, November 23, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Locally dense fog this morning throughout the state will gradually lift and dissipate through the morning hours.
- Yesterday’s cold front continues to weaken as it pushes into Central Florida today before stalling overnight.
- Just enough moisture and a weak sea breeze along East-Central Florida may allow for brief isolated showers this afternoon and evening (15-20% chance of rain).
- Behind the cold front, northerly to northwesterly winds will usher another round of drier air southward into northern Florida as high pressure sets up over the southeastern U.S.
- Despite relative humidity values keeping above critical thresholds this afternoon, extreme drought conditions expanding across North Florida, lack of rainfall and warm temperatures sensitive to elevated wildfire conditions can be expected.
- Another round of patchy to scattered fog will be possible throughout much of the state overnight and into Monday morning, with instances of dense fog possible locally.
- Dense Fog Advisories may be needed near sunrise Monday morning along the northern I-75 corridor and extending into the North-Central Florida.
- High temperatures will rise into the lower to middle 80s across the state this afternoon keeping above normal for this time of year.
- Slightly cooler air will move into North Florida tonight allowing for low temperatures to fall into the 50s and lower 60s closer towards the coast.
- Central and South Florida will see low temperatures in the middle to upper 60s with the Keys keeping in the lower 70s.
- Northerly to northeasterly winds will allow for a moderate risk for rip currents to return for most of the Panhandle and East Coast.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.