RSS Morning Sitrep
*Correction* Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Monday, December 8th, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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Scattered showers will continue to push eastward this morning across the Big Bend and along the western Peninsula as the wet and rainy weather from the last few days comes to an end.
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The recent frontal system that brought the much needed rainfall has pushed off to the east and its accompanying cold front will push through the state today.
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A second front behind the main one will bring to isolated to scattered showers across North Florida through the morning and early afternoon hours, then push into Central Florida later this afternoon (25-45% chance of rain).
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A greater chance for shower and embedded thunderstorm activity will be across South Florida as the front pushes through (45-65% chance of rain).
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Severe weather is not expected within these thunderstorms; however, alocally strong thunderstorm or two capable of producing gusty winds cannot be ruled out.
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Nuisance ponding of water will be possible within any heavier downpours in thunderstorm activity over urban and low-lying/poor drainage areas.
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Rainfall totals of 0.5-1" are likely, with locally higher totals of 1-2" possible within any heavier downpours.
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Behind the cold fronts, drier air will filter into the state from west to east.
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High temperatures will be in the upper 50s to middle 60s across North Florida, upper 60s to middle 70s across Central Florida and upper 70s to middle 80s across South Florida.
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The final cold front will push offshore tonight and remain draped near or along the Florida Keys tonight as it weakens and begins to stall.
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Dry conditions are expected across the state overnight with a chance of lingering showers across the southern Peninsula and the Keys with the stalling front (15-25% chance of rain).
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Low temperatures will fall into themiddle to upper 30s across the Panhandle and Big Bend, lower to middle 40s across the Suwannee Valley and Northeast Florida, middle 40s to middle 50s across Central Florida and upper 50s to upper 60s across South Florida.
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Elevated winds and clear skies will createfeels-like temperatures near or below freezing (30-33-degrees)across the Panhandle and near the I-10 corridor by sunrise Tuesday morning.
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Amoderate to high risk for rip currentsextends along Panhandle and East Coast beaches. Amoderate risk for rip currents returns along the West Coast with onshore winds.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Monday, December 12, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
-
Scattered showers will continue to push eastward this morning across the Big Bend and along the western Peninsula as the wet and rainy weather from the last few days comes to an end.
-
The recent frontal system that brought the much needed rainfall has pushed off to the east and its accompanying cold front will push through the state today.
-
A second front behind the main one will bring to isolated to scattered showers across North Florida through the morning and early afternoon hours, then push into Central Florida later this afternoon (25-45% chance of rain).
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A greater chance for shower and embedded thunderstorm activity will be across South Florida as the front pushes through (45-65% chance of rain).
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Severe weather is not expected within these thunderstorms; however, alocally strong thunderstorm or two capable of producing gusty winds cannot be ruled out.
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Nuisance ponding of water will be possible within any heavier downpours in thunderstorm activity over urban and low-lying/poor drainage areas.
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Rainfall totals of 0.5-1" are likely, with locally higher totals of 1-2" possible within any heavier downpours.
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Behind the cold fronts, drier air will filter into the state from west to east.
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High temperatures will be in the upper 50s to middle 60s across North Florida, upper 60s to middle 70s across Central Florida and upper 70s to middle 80s across South Florida.
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The final cold front will push offshore tonight and remain draped near or along the Florida Keys tonight as it weakens and begins to stall.
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Dry conditions are expected across the state overnight with a chance of lingering showers across the southern Peninsula and the Keys with the stalling front (15-25% chance of rain).
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Low temperatures will fall into themiddle to upper 30s across the Panhandle and Big Bend, lower to middle 40s across the Suwannee Valley and Northeast Florida, middle 40s to middle 50s across Central Florida and upper 50s to upper 60s across South Florida.
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Elevated winds and clear skies will createfeels-like temperatures near or below freezing (30-33-degrees)across the Panhandle and near the I-10 corridor by sunrise Tuesday morning.
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Amoderate to high risk for rip currentsextends along Panhandle and East Coast beaches. Amoderate risk for rip currents returns along the West Coast with onshore winds.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Sunday, December 7, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Another day of widespread shower and embedded thunderstorm activity can be expected across North Florida and will extend into Central Florida today helping to bring beneficial rainfall southward.
- As the frontal system meanders along the gulf coast and northern gulf waters today, its accompanying warm front will help to bring scattered to numerous showers and embedded thunderstorms southward into Central Florida later this afternoon and evening (50-75% chance of rain).
- The Storm Prediction center (SPC) is outlooking a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather as strong to severe thunderstorms will be capable of producing lightning, damaging wind gusts (45-60 mph), an embedded tornado or two and locally heavy rainfall throughout Central Florida today.
- This timing would mostly likely occur during the afternoon and into the late evening hours as the frontal systems cold front pushes through the region.
- The heaviest rainfall is expected along the Big Bend, Northeast Florida and extending southward towards the I-4 corridor with totals of 1-2” forecast.
- Locally higher totals upwards of 3-4” possible within thunderstorm activity or training cells which could lead to nuisance ponding of water over urban corridors.
- As the low pressure system crosses the Peninsula, and its cold front pushes through the I-4 corridor, additional scattered to widespread showers will continue to push southward into the Peninsula throughout the overnight hours (55-80% chance of rain).
- Drier conditions briefly return later this evening and into portions of the overnight hours for the Panhandle and Big Bend behind the passing cold front; however, one more round of scattered showers looks to move into the Panhandle overnight.
- Instances of patchy fog will likely develop throughout the state early Monday morning with areas of locally dense fog possible at times.
- High temperatures will be in the upper 50s to middle 60s across North Florida 70s to lower 80s across Central Florida and lower to middle 80s across South Florida.
- These temperatures across South Florida will approach record level for this time of year.
- Overnight low temperatures will fall into the lower to middle 60s across North Florida, middle to upper 60s across Central Florida and upper 60s to middle 70s across South Florida.
- A moderate to high risk for rip currents extends along most Panhandle and East Coast beaches today, especially eastern Panhandle and Treasure Coast beaches where they could see larger wave action upwards of 3-4' this afternoon.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Saturday, December 6th, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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Widespread showers have spread across much of the Panhandle this morning as the nearly stationary frontal system remains draped along the northern gulf waters.
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Areas ofDense Foghave also developed across much of the Peninsula and will dissipate mid-morning.
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The system will be slow to progress eastward today with another day of scattered to widespread showers and embedded thunderstorms across the Panhandle (75-85% chance of rain).
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Isolated to widely scattered showers or alocally strong thunderstormmay develop across Central Florida this afternoon ahead of the main activity, mainly north of the I-4 corridor (25-40% chance of rain).
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Although there is no organized risk for flash flooding today,nuisance ponding of waterorlocalized floodingcannot be ruled out, especially across the Panhandle where repeated rounds of heavy downpours are possible.
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Rainfall totals up to 1" can be expected across the Panhandle, withlocally higher totalsupwards of 2-3" possible.
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Dry conditions will persist throughout South Florida as the frontal system remains displaced too far north for any meaningful activity.
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High temperatures will reach the upper 50s along the Panhandle and middle 60s to lower 70s across the rest of North Florida.
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Central and South Florida will see high temperatures in the lower to middle 80s.
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Feels like temperatureswill reach into theupper 80s to near 90across South Florida aswarmer and muggier conditionspersist.
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The frontal system will continue to progress eastward overnight with scattered showers continuing over the Eastern Panhandle and Northeast Florida where a rumble of thunder or two cannot be ruled out (50-70% chance of rain).
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A few isolated showers may linger along and near the I-4 corridor as well (25-40% chance of rain).
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Patchy fog will be possible overnight and early Sunday morning throughout much of the Peninsula, withinstances of dense fog possible throughout West-Central and South Florida by sunrise.
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Low temperatures will fall into the upper 40s to middle 50s across North Florida, lower to middle 60s in Central Florida, and middle 60s to lower 70s across South Florida.
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Amoderate risk for rip currentsis expected for all Panhandle and most East Coast beaches today.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Friday, December 5th, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Scattered showers are ongoing this morning along the Panhandle as a frontal system remains draped along the gulf coast and northern gulf waters.
- The systems warm front boundary over the Panhandle will extend northward into southern Georgia and will continue pull moisture from the gulf waters leading to additional rounds of scattered to widespread showers and embedded thunderstorms (40-80% chance of rain).
- There is a chance for embedded thunderstorms to become locally strong to severe along the Panhandle this morning, then extending into the Big Bend this afternoon.
- These strong to severe thunderstorms will be capable of producing damaging wind gusts (45-60 mph) and an embedded tornado or two.
- Widespread rainfall will continue to be beneficial for the Panhandle and Big Bend with ongoing drought conditions; hwoever, locally heavy downpours or repeated rainfall over the same areas could prompt nuisance flooding for urban corridors.
- Rainfall totals of 1-2" of rainfall is anticipated along the Panhandle and western Big Bend, with locally higher totals uwpards of 3" possible.
- High temperatures will reach the upper 50s along the Panhandle and upper 60s to upper 70s for the rest of North Florida. Central and South Florida will see high temperatures in the lower to middle 80s.
- The frontal system will continue to approach from the west overnight keeping scattered shower activity ongoing across North Florida (25-55% chance of rain).
- Patchy fog will develop overnight and early Saturday morning throughout the state, with locally dense fog possible from the Suwannee Valley and extending into Central Florida by sunrise.
- Low temperatures will fall into the upper 40s to upper 50s across North Florida, lower to middle 60s across Central Florida and middle 60s to lower 70s across South Florida.
- A moderate to high risk for rip currents will persist along the Panhandle with breezy onshore winds. Numerous East Coast beaches will see a moderate risk.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.