RSS Morning Sitrep
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, March 26, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- A few coastal showers remain mainly offshore across Northeast Florida this morning with areas of dense fog throughout the Panhandle, Suwannee River Valley, and interior South Florida.
- These areas of fog will be slow to lift through the morning hours with Dense Fog Advisories set to expire by mid-morning, though may be extended if conditions warrant.
- Otherwise, partly to mostly sunny skies will prevail statewide today with only a slight chance for an isolated afternoon shower or storm across Central Florida along the afternoon sea breeze boundary (15-20% chance of rain).
- Activity will remain mostly light and brief in nature, though a locally heavy downpour and subsequent quick 1-2” of rain cannot be ruled out.
- Center of high pressure will begin to settle across the Peninsula today which will bring an upward trend in temperatures.
- Highs this afternoon will reach the lower to middle 80s throughout much of the state, the exception being along the immediate East Coast and Panhandle where breezier wind gusts of 15-20 mph at times will keep temperatures a few degrees cooler.
- Any lingering showers will quickly dissipate after sunset bringing mostly clear and calm conditions overnight.
- However, plentiful low-level moisture alongside these calm conditions will promotefog and low clouddevelopment statewide tonight.
- Periods of dense fog are most likely across the Panhandle, Big Bend, and Northeast Florida and Dense Fog Advisories will be issued as conditions warrant.
- Lows in the upper 50s to middle 60s are expected for much of the state, with upper 60s to lower 70s for Southeast Florida and the Keys.
- A high risk for rip currents persists for most East Coast beaches; a moderate risk is expected for Southeast and Panhandle beaches.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Wednesday, March 25th, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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Our frontal boundary from yesterday has stalled across Central Florida and will continue to support elevated rain chances throughout the day.
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Scattered showers and thunderstorms expected along eastern Florida Peninsula, with activity to progress inland across Central Florida through the afternoon (40-60% chance of rain).
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A few thunderstorms may becomestrong; more organized activity capable of producing locally gusty winds, lightning, small hail, andheavy downpours.
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Any slower-moving or more robust thunderstorms could produce localized rainfall totals of 2-5” and instances ofponding water/urban flooding.
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Outside of shower and thunderstorm activity, partly to mostly sunny skies can be expected with afternoon high temperatures rising into the upper 70s to middle 80s.
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Slightly cooler temperatures along the immediate eastern Florida coastline due to increased cloud coverage and breezy onshore winds, withwind gustsof15-20 mph.
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Lingering moisture will promotepatchy fog and low cloudsacross Florida tonight and Thursday morning, with the potential forperiods of dense fogacross the Suwannee River Valley and southern Florida Peninsula.
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Breezy onshore winds and elevated surf maintain ahigh risk of rip currentsalong Florida East Coast beaches; anelevated risk of rip currentscontinues for the Florida Panhandle and Southeast Florida Coast.
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Dangerous marine and boating conditionscontinue along the Atlantic Coast;High Surf Advisoriesin effect for Northeast Florida beaches aswave heightsreach4-7'in the surf zone.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, March 24th, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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A cold front, currently situated south of the I-10 corridor, will largely separate the weather story for North Florida and the Florida Peninsula today.
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Scattered showers and even a few thunderstorms develop along Florida’s First Coast (45-75% chance of rain).
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Locally heavy rainfall ratespossible within shower and thunderstorm activity along the coastal and urban Northeast Florida corridor.
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Wind Advisoriesare in effect until 8:00 PM ET for frequentwind gustsof35-45 mphalong coastal Nassau and Duval Counties.
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Cooler and drier air, and a developing thick cloud deck, behind front will lead to a tricky temperature forecast for North Florida communities; many high temperatures may be realized this morning!
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Rain chances gradually expand to additional portions of North Florida and the Space Coast tonight (30-60% chance of rain).
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Another dry and mostly sunny day can be expected for the Florida Peninsula.
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Low-level moisture to slowly reintroduce itself across the southern Florida Peninsula, with areas offog and low cloudspossible tonight into Wednesday morning.
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Prolonged drought, extremely dry soils/vegetation, andlow relative humidity values (30-45%) will maintain asensitive tolocally elevated wildfire threat over the western Florida Panhandle and southern Florida Peninsula.
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Windy onshore flow will yield ahigh risk of rip currents for all Northeast Florida beaches today,moderate riskconditions continue along the Florida Panhandle and East-Central Florida coastlines.
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Dangerous marine and boating conditionsreturn to the Atlantic Coast;High Surf Advisoriesin effect for Northeast Florida beaches aswave heightsreach6-8'in the surf zone.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Monday, March 23rd, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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Foggy conditions this morning will give way to ample sunshine and another warm afternoon statewide; a few interior Florida Big Bend locations make a run toward the90-degree mark.
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Wind gustsof15-25 mph will be possible across North Florida during the peak heating hours of the day.
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The recent uptick in wildfire activity and brush burns across North Florida and southern Georgia will result in continuedhaze and smokeover portions of the Florida Panhandle and Big Bend;air quality will likely degrade through the afternoon and evening hours.
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Weak frontal boundary will move southward tonight with little to no fanfare aside from a stray shower or two along the Northeast Florida coastline (10-25% chance of rain).
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The combination of very dry conditions and low relative humidity values (30-40%) will result in another day of sensitive tolocally elevated wildfireconditions statewide.
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Fog and low cloudslikely across Central and Southwest Florida, with computer forecast models suggesting the greatest chance oflocally dense fogresiding along the I-4 corridor through the Tuesday morning commute.
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Amoderate risk of rip currentscan be expected for many Florida Panhandle and East Coast beaches,locally high riskconditions for Gulf County and Palm Beach County coastlines.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Sunday, March 22nd, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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Mostly sunny skies, near-zero rain chances, and warm afternoon temperatures can be expected across Florida, courtesy of an area of high pressure establishing its residence over the eastern Gulf waters.
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Isolated wind gusts reaching15-25 mphpossible across North Florida and interior Central this afternoon.
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The recent uptick in brush burn and wildfire activity across North Florida may result in periods ofhaze and smoke, maximizing this afternoon and evening over the Florida Panhandle and Big Bend.
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The primary weather headline will bepatchy to locally dense fogdevelopment along the Florida Gulf Coast and inland at the I-4 corridor tonight into Monday morning;Dense Fog Advisories will be issued as conditions warrant this afternoon and evening.
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Another day of critically low relative humidity values (25-30%) are expected across much of North and interior Central Florida, maintainingsensitive tolocally elevated wildfire conditions.
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Ahigh risk of rip currentswill persist at Florida East Coast beaches today, withmoderate riskconditions along the Florida Panhandle.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.