RSS Morning Sitrep
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, November 25, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Low clouds and foggy conditions across the state will continue to lift and dissipate throughout the state this morning.
- Another dry and warm day can be expected across the Sunshine State as high pressure shifts off the coast and towards the western Atlantic waters.
- Enough moisture and a weak sea breeze may allow for isolated brief showers along portions of the Space and Treasure Coasts this afternoon (10-20% chance of rain).
- Onshore winds will help to pull moisture northward across the Panhandle later this afternoon ahead of an approaching cold front sparking isolated to widely scattered showers and embedded thunderstorms for the westernmost Panhandle, west of US-331 (20-40% chance of rain).
- High temperatures will reach the upper 70s to lower 80s throughout the state, with the Suwannee Valley and West Florida reaching the middle 80s this afternoon.
- The cold front will move into the Panhandle this evening and overnight bringing the main round of scattered showers and thunderstorms (45-75% chance of rain).
- Favorable atmospheric and environmental conditions will allow for possible embedded strong to severe thunderstorms across the Panhandle.
- The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is outlooking a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather through daybreak on Wednesday for those embedded strong to severe thunderstorms.
- All hazards associated with severe weather, including lightning, damaging wind gusts (40-60 mph), an isolated tornado and large hail (upwards of 1”).
- Moisture and calm conditions ahead of the front will allow for scattered fog to develop overnight and early Wednesday morning from the Big Bend and extending throughout the Peninsula.
- A Dense Fog Advisory cannot be ruled out where locally dense fog conditions develop.
- Low temperatures will fall into the upper 50s to upper 60s throughout the state, with portions of Southeast Florida and the Keys remaining in the lower to middle 70s.
- Winds shifting onshore ahead of the approaching cold front will create a moderate to high risk for rip currents along the Panhandle.
- East Coast beaches will see a moderate risk for rip currents.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Sunday, November 23, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Locally dense fog this morning throughout the state will gradually lift and dissipate through the morning hours.
- Yesterday’s cold front continues to weaken as it pushes into Central Florida today before stalling overnight.
- Just enough moisture and a weak sea breeze along East-Central Florida may allow for brief isolated showers this afternoon and evening (15-20% chance of rain).
- Behind the cold front, northerly to northwesterly winds will usher another round of drier air southward into northern Florida as high pressure sets up over the southeastern U.S.
- Despite relative humidity values keeping above critical thresholds this afternoon, extreme drought conditions expanding across North Florida, lack of rainfall and warm temperatures sensitive to elevated wildfire conditions can be expected.
- Another round of patchy to scattered fog will be possible throughout much of the state overnight and into Monday morning, with instances of dense fog possible locally.
- Dense Fog Advisories may be needed near sunrise Monday morning along the northern I-75 corridor and extending into the North-Central Florida.
- High temperatures will rise into the lower to middle 80s across the state this afternoon keeping above normal for this time of year.
- Slightly cooler air will move into North Florida tonight allowing for low temperatures to fall into the 50s and lower 60s closer towards the coast.
- Central and South Florida will see low temperatures in the middle to upper 60s with the Keys keeping in the lower 70s.
- Northerly to northeasterly winds will allow for a moderate risk for rip currents to return for most of the Panhandle and East Coast.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Saturday, November 22, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Locally dense fog has developed across parts of North and East-Central Florida this morning and Dense Fog Advisories will remain in effect until mid-morning.
- This morning fog will dissipate during the morning hours giving way to another mostly sunny and dry day across the Sunshine State.
- An isolated shower is possible across the Panhandle today along a weak frontal boundary, though any activity will remain brief and light in nature (10-15% chance of rain).
- Winds will increase across North Florida today, with wind gusts upwards of 20 mph possible.
- High temperatures will remain above average for mid to late November standards, reaching the upper 70s to middle 80s statewide.
- A few locations may approach record high temperatures this afternoon across North Florida.
- Wildfire parameters will be mostly subdued today across the drought-stricken North Florida as relative humidities increase amidst moist southerly flow.
- However, the very dry background conditions will still provide for sensitive wildfire conditions this afternoon, especially in areas experiencing significant drought.
- An isolated shower cannot be ruled out north of I-10 across Northeast Florida tonight as the weak frontal boundary approaches (10-15% chance of rain). Otherwise, another calm and clear night is expected statewide.
- Another round of fog and low clouds may develop early Sunday morning across the Florida Peninsula.
- Locally dense fog is most likely within the Suwannee River Valley and East-Central Florida overnight where moist southerly flow will usher in low-level moisture off the Gulf. Dense Fog Advisories will be issued as conditions warrant.
- Low temperatures will reach into the upper 50s to middle 60s nearly statewide, with middle 60s to lower 70s expected in Southeast Florida and the Florida Keys.
- A moderate to high risk for rip currents is expected for all Panhandle beaches today, with a low to moderate risk for East Coast beaches.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Friday, November 21st, 2025.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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Locally dense foghas developed across much of the Panhandle and interior Northeast Florida this morning andDense Fog Advisorieswill remain in effect until mid-morning.
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This morning fog will dissipate during the morning hours giving way to another sunny and dry day across the Sunshine State.
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An isolated shower is possible across the far western Panhandle this afternoon from a weak frontal boundary, though any activity will remain brief (10-15% chance of rain).
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High temperatures will remainabove averagefor mid to late November standards, reaching the upper 70s to middle 80s statewide.
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A few locations mayapproach record high temperaturesthis afternoon across North Florida.
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Sensitive tolocally elevated wildfire conditions may develop this afternoon across North Florida given ongoing drought and extremely dry soils/vegetation.
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An isolated shower is possible across the western Panhandle overnight (10-15% chance of rain); Clear and calm conditions will prevail elsewhere.
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Another round offog and low cloudsmay develop early Saturday morning across portions of North and Central Florida andlocally dense fogcannot be ruled out, especially across interior Northeast and West-Central Florida.
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Low temperatures will fall into the middle to upper 50s across the Big Bend and Suwannee Valley, with upper 50s to middle 60s throughout the remainder of the Panhandle and Florida Peninsula.
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Lows will only reach the upper 60s to lower 70s across coastal Southeast Florida and the Florida Keys.
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Amoderate risk for rip currentsis expected for all Panhandle, Space Coast, and Treasure Coast beaches today.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, November 20th, 2025.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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Locally dense foghas developed across much of the Panhandle and interior Northeast Florida this morning andDense Fog Advisorieswill remain in effect until mid-morning.
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This morning fog will dissipate during the morning hours giving way to another sunny and dry day across the Sunshine State.
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High temperatures will remainabove averagefor mid to late November standards, reaching the lower to middle 80s statewide.
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A few locations mayapproach record high temperaturesthis afternoon across North Florida.
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Although winds will remain light and relative humidities will remain above critical thresholds this afternoon (40-50% RH values),sensitive tolocally elevated wildfire conditionsmay develop this afternoon across North Florida given ongoing drought and extremely dry soils/vegetation.
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Clear and calm conditions overnight will encourage another round offog and low cloudsearly Friday morning across portions of North and Central Florida.
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Locally dense fogcannot be ruled out, especially across interior Northeast and East-Central Florida, and the western Panhandle.
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Low temperatures will fall into the lower to middle 50s across the Big Bend and eastern Panhandle, with upper 50s to lower 60s throughout the remainder of the Panhandle and Florida Peninsula.
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Lows will only reach the lower to middle 70s across coastal Southeast Florida and the Florida Keys.
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Amoderate risk for rip currentsis expected for all Panhandle and East Coast beaches today.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.