RSS Morning Sitrep
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Wednesday, December 10, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- A cold start to the day across North Florida with patchy frost on the ground.
- Portions of the northwestern Panhandle could see some patchy fog or localized freezing fog which may lead to icing on some elevated surfaces such as bridges and overpasses this morning.
- Any conditions should dissipate this morning.
- Plenty of sunshine can be expected across the state as high pressure shifts over the state.
- A few brief sprinkles may be possible along East-Central Florida and the Southeast Florida coast this morning before dissipating this afternoon (10-15% chance of rain).
- Despite recent rainfall, longer term drought conditions and dry conditions returning across North Florida could lead to instances of locally sensitive wildfire conditions.
- High temperatures will return to the 60s across North Florida, lower to middle 70s across Central Florida and middle 70s to near 80-degrees across South Florida.
- A dry cold front will push through North and Central Florida overnight helping to reinforce dry and cool conditions throughout the state.
- While this front is expected to remain dry, a few light sprinkles cannot be ruled out along the front with any locally available moisture.
- Low temperatures will fall into the upper 30s to lower 40s across North Florida, middle 40s to middle 50s across Central Florida and 50s to lower 60s across South Florida.
- Feels-like temperatures will dip into the lower to middle 30s across the northwestern Panhandle and middle to upper 30s throughout the rest of North Florida.
- Instances of patchy frost may be possible in shady or low-lying areas along the I-10 corridor near sunrise.
- A moderate to high risk for rip currents extends along all Panhandle and East Coast beaches.
- Elevated surf of 3-5' persist for the East Coast, with larger breaking waves of 6' in the surf zone along Treasure Coast beaches.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, December 9th, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
-
Quite the chilly start this morning across North Florida, but conditions will gradually warm up throughout the day.
-
Dry conditions return across the Sunshine State, except for the Treasure Coast through the Florida Keys where a recent cold front remains stalled (20-40% chance of rain).
-
This stalled front will give way to isolated to scattered showers and embedded thunderstorms throughout the day and into the overnight hours before activity shifts far enough south and east.
-
The heaviest rainfall should remain just south and east of the Southeast Florida coast and Keys, but any heavier rainfall that drifts onshore may lead tonuisance ponding of water for urban areas.
-
After several days of rainy conditions across North and Central Florida, cool and dry conditions return with plenty of sunshine.
-
Longer term drought conditions will continue to lead tolocally sensitive wildfire conditions over North Florida even with the recent rainfall.
-
High temperatures will remain in the upper 50s to lower 60s across North Florida, middle 60s to lower 70s across Central Florida and lower to middle 70s across South Florida.
-
Dry conditions can be expected to persist into the overnight hours with a few sparse showers lingering along the Florida Keys (20-35% chance of rain).
-
Mostly clear skies will allow for low temperatures in drop into thelower to middle 30s north of the I-10 corridor andmiddle 30s to lower 40s south of the I-10 corridor overnight. There may be instances ofpatchy frost by sunrise Wednesday morning north of the I-10 corridor, and aFrost Advisory will go into effect early Wednesday morning for the northern Suwannee Valley.
-
Central Florida will see low temperatures in the upper 40s to upper 50s and South Florida will see low temperatures in the upper 50s to lower 70s.
-
Breezy onshore winds along the East Coast will create oceanswells of 3-5', with larger waveheights of 5-7' along the Treasure and Southeast Florida coasts, leading to ahigh risk for rip currents.
-
Amoderate risk for rip currents can be expected along numerous Panhandle and West Coast beaches.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
*Correction* Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Monday, December 8th, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
-
Scattered showers will continue to push eastward this morning across the Big Bend and along the western Peninsula as the wet and rainy weather from the last few days comes to an end.
-
The recent frontal system that brought the much needed rainfall has pushed off to the east and its accompanying cold front will push through the state today.
-
A second front behind the main one will bring to isolated to scattered showers across North Florida through the morning and early afternoon hours, then push into Central Florida later this afternoon (25-45% chance of rain).
-
A greater chance for shower and embedded thunderstorm activity will be across South Florida as the front pushes through (45-65% chance of rain).
-
Severe weather is not expected within these thunderstorms; however, alocally strong thunderstorm or two capable of producing gusty winds cannot be ruled out.
-
Nuisance ponding of water will be possible within any heavier downpours in thunderstorm activity over urban and low-lying/poor drainage areas.
-
Rainfall totals of 0.5-1" are likely, with locally higher totals of 1-2" possible within any heavier downpours.
-
Behind the cold fronts, drier air will filter into the state from west to east.
-
High temperatures will be in the upper 50s to middle 60s across North Florida, upper 60s to middle 70s across Central Florida and upper 70s to middle 80s across South Florida.
-
The final cold front will push offshore tonight and remain draped near or along the Florida Keys tonight as it weakens and begins to stall.
-
Dry conditions are expected across the state overnight with a chance of lingering showers across the southern Peninsula and the Keys with the stalling front (15-25% chance of rain).
-
Low temperatures will fall into themiddle to upper 30s across the Panhandle and Big Bend, lower to middle 40s across the Suwannee Valley and Northeast Florida, middle 40s to middle 50s across Central Florida and upper 50s to upper 60s across South Florida.
-
Elevated winds and clear skies will createfeels-like temperatures near or below freezing (30-33-degrees)across the Panhandle and near the I-10 corridor by sunrise Tuesday morning.
-
Amoderate to high risk for rip currentsextends along Panhandle and East Coast beaches. Amoderate risk for rip currents returns along the West Coast with onshore winds.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Monday, December 12, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
-
Scattered showers will continue to push eastward this morning across the Big Bend and along the western Peninsula as the wet and rainy weather from the last few days comes to an end.
-
The recent frontal system that brought the much needed rainfall has pushed off to the east and its accompanying cold front will push through the state today.
-
A second front behind the main one will bring to isolated to scattered showers across North Florida through the morning and early afternoon hours, then push into Central Florida later this afternoon (25-45% chance of rain).
-
A greater chance for shower and embedded thunderstorm activity will be across South Florida as the front pushes through (45-65% chance of rain).
-
Severe weather is not expected within these thunderstorms; however, alocally strong thunderstorm or two capable of producing gusty winds cannot be ruled out.
-
Nuisance ponding of water will be possible within any heavier downpours in thunderstorm activity over urban and low-lying/poor drainage areas.
-
Rainfall totals of 0.5-1" are likely, with locally higher totals of 1-2" possible within any heavier downpours.
-
Behind the cold fronts, drier air will filter into the state from west to east.
-
High temperatures will be in the upper 50s to middle 60s across North Florida, upper 60s to middle 70s across Central Florida and upper 70s to middle 80s across South Florida.
-
The final cold front will push offshore tonight and remain draped near or along the Florida Keys tonight as it weakens and begins to stall.
-
Dry conditions are expected across the state overnight with a chance of lingering showers across the southern Peninsula and the Keys with the stalling front (15-25% chance of rain).
-
Low temperatures will fall into themiddle to upper 30s across the Panhandle and Big Bend, lower to middle 40s across the Suwannee Valley and Northeast Florida, middle 40s to middle 50s across Central Florida and upper 50s to upper 60s across South Florida.
-
Elevated winds and clear skies will createfeels-like temperatures near or below freezing (30-33-degrees)across the Panhandle and near the I-10 corridor by sunrise Tuesday morning.
-
Amoderate to high risk for rip currentsextends along Panhandle and East Coast beaches. Amoderate risk for rip currents returns along the West Coast with onshore winds.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Sunday, December 7, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Another day of widespread shower and embedded thunderstorm activity can be expected across North Florida and will extend into Central Florida today helping to bring beneficial rainfall southward.
- As the frontal system meanders along the gulf coast and northern gulf waters today, its accompanying warm front will help to bring scattered to numerous showers and embedded thunderstorms southward into Central Florida later this afternoon and evening (50-75% chance of rain).
- The Storm Prediction center (SPC) is outlooking a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather as strong to severe thunderstorms will be capable of producing lightning, damaging wind gusts (45-60 mph), an embedded tornado or two and locally heavy rainfall throughout Central Florida today.
- This timing would mostly likely occur during the afternoon and into the late evening hours as the frontal systems cold front pushes through the region.
- The heaviest rainfall is expected along the Big Bend, Northeast Florida and extending southward towards the I-4 corridor with totals of 1-2” forecast.
- Locally higher totals upwards of 3-4” possible within thunderstorm activity or training cells which could lead to nuisance ponding of water over urban corridors.
- As the low pressure system crosses the Peninsula, and its cold front pushes through the I-4 corridor, additional scattered to widespread showers will continue to push southward into the Peninsula throughout the overnight hours (55-80% chance of rain).
- Drier conditions briefly return later this evening and into portions of the overnight hours for the Panhandle and Big Bend behind the passing cold front; however, one more round of scattered showers looks to move into the Panhandle overnight.
- Instances of patchy fog will likely develop throughout the state early Monday morning with areas of locally dense fog possible at times.
- High temperatures will be in the upper 50s to middle 60s across North Florida 70s to lower 80s across Central Florida and lower to middle 80s across South Florida.
- These temperatures across South Florida will approach record level for this time of year.
- Overnight low temperatures will fall into the lower to middle 60s across North Florida, middle to upper 60s across Central Florida and upper 60s to middle 70s across South Florida.
- A moderate to high risk for rip currents extends along most Panhandle and East Coast beaches today, especially eastern Panhandle and Treasure Coast beaches where they could see larger wave action upwards of 3-4' this afternoon.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.