RSS Morning Sitrep
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Monday, March 9th, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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Patchy to dense fog extends across the state this morning and has reduced visibilities.
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Fog will be slow to lift and mix out throughout the morning hours.
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High pressure extending over the state will help to bring mostly dry conditions throughout the day, but some scattered showers and embedded thunderstorms will be possible across South Florida this afternoon (15-30% chance of rain).
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Rainfall totals are expected to remain below 0.5", but any thunderstorm will be capable of producing a quick 1-2".
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A weakening upper-level disturbance will eclipse the state line and the Panhandle this afternoon and evening, which may help for another brief round of isolated showers and embedded storms.
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The greatest risk for severe weather is to the north of the Panhandle, but anisolated strong to severe thunderstorm could cross the state line or develop along the Panhandle.
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These stronger thunderstorms may be capable of producing lightning, damaging wind gusts (upwards of 50-60 mph), small hail and locally heavy rainfall.
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Moisture will be more limited today keeping the chance and coverage for shower and thunderstorm activity lower for the rest of the state, but where there is moisture available showers will likely develop.
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High temperatures are expected to reach the upper 70s to upper 80s throughout the state with interior areas across the Peninsula reaching 90-degrees.
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Shower and thunderstorm activity that manages to develop during the daytime will quickly dissipate or shift towards the coastal waters this evening and overnight.
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Widespread patchy fog can be expected to develop overnight and into Tuesday morning statewide, with instances of dense fog possible.
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Low temperatures will fall into the 60s and lower 70s overnight.
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Amoderate risk for rip currents returns to the East Coast today, while amoderate to high riskcontinues along the Panhandle.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Sunday, March 8th, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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Widespread foghas developed this morning across the state, with areas of dense fog across the Big Bend and the northeastern Peninsula, and will gradually lift and mix out.
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A cold front is gradually making its way eastward today, allowing for scattered to numerous showers and embedded thunderstorms to develop this morning across the Panhandle.
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These showers and thunderstorms will continue to move eastward across the Panhandle and into the Big Bend throughout the day before lifting northward away from the state and dissipating (30-65% chance of rain).
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Any thunderstorm may becomelocally strong to severeand produce frequent lightning, erratic winds, small hail and heavy downpours.
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The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) is outlooking aMarginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Floodingacross the Panhandle where there is the greatest chance for locally heavy downpours and repeated thunderstorm activity that could bring localized flash flooding.
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Rainfall totals of 1-2” are likely for the Panhandle, withlocally higher totalsupwards of 3-4” with any heavy downpours or repeated activity.
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Sea breeze showers thunderstorms across the Peninsula will be possible as well, where they can produce a quick 1-2”.
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Across the Peninsula, dry conditions can be expected to start off the day. Moving into the afternoon and evening hours the sea breeze gets going, and enough low-level moisture will help to create scattered showers and thunderstorms across the interior regions (30-55% chance of rain).
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Cloud cover and elevated rain chances will keep high temperatures in the 70s across the Panhandle.
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High temperatures will continue to surge into the middle to upper 80s for the rest of the state with the interior peninsula possiblyreaching 90-degrees.
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Shower and thunderstorm activity this evening and overnight will largely dissipate after midnight, with a few showers lingering near the eastern coastline and the I-95 corridor (10-15% chance of rain).
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Widespread fogdevelopment can be expected statewide overnight and into Monday morning given increased low-level moisture and calm winds. Instances ofdense fogwill be possible throughout the Big Bend and Nature Coast early Monday morning.
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Low temperatures will remain in the 60s and lower 70s throughout the state overnight.
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Breezy onshore winds will persist along the Florida East Coast and the Panhandle keeping ahigh risk for rip currentsin place for numerous beaches.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Saturday, March 7, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Areas of patchy dense fog throughout portions of Northeast Florida and the Panhandle will gradually lift and dissipate as the sun continues to rise.
- High pressure will remain anchored just off the local Atlantic waters keeping easterly flow and warm temperatures around.
- Enough low-level moisture will be around today for the local sea breezes to kick up a few isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms, mainly across the Peninsula and north of the I-10 corridor in the Panhandle (15-35% chance of rain).
- Drier air aloft will continue to limit even greater thunderstorm coverage, though a few storms could become locally strong to severe and bring locally heavy downpours, occasional lightning, and gusty winds (45-60 mph).
- Many locations will see little to no rainfall, however any areas that see these locally heavy downpours could pick up a quick 1-2" of rain.
- The easterly flow around the area of high pressure will continue to be accompanied by a few breezy wind gusts upwards of 20-25 mph along the East Coast and the Panhandle.
- Temperatures will remain well above normal for this time of year, reaching the 80s throughout much of the state. Onshore winds will keep temperatures in the 70s along the coastlines.
- Feels-like temperatures may approach the lower 90s throughout portions of interior West-Central Florida.
- Shower and thunderstorm activity from the daytime will begin to dissipate across the Peninsula through the evening hours, though some activity may linger towards midnight (15-25% chance of rain).
- Towards daybreak, a weakening thunderstorm complex traversing the Gulf Coast may begin to approach the western Panhandle.
- A few scattered showers or embedded thunderstorms may spread across the western Panhandle towards sunrise Sunday (25-35% chance of rain), though remains uncertainty in computer forecast model guidance regarding the exact timing and magnitude of this cluster of activity.
- Another night of widespread low clouds and fog is expected throughout much of the state, some of which could become locally dense, especially across the Panhandle, Big Bend, and Northeast Florida.
- Low temperatures will only fall into the lower to middle 60s for North and Central Florida, with upper 60s to lower 70s in South Florida.
- Onshore winds and swells of 3-4' along all Atlantic beaches will create a high risk for rip currents. A high riskis also expected for all Panhandle beaches as onshore winds increase.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Friday, March 6, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Areas of patchy dense fog throughout portions of Northeast Florida and the Panhandle will gradually lift and dissipate as the sun continues to rise.
- An area of high pressure over the local Southwest Atlantic waters will keep easterly flow and warm temperatures around.
- Enough low-level moisture will be around today for the local sea breezes to kick up a few isolated to widely scattered showers throughout the state this afternoon (15-30% chance of rain), with the greatest chance of rain along the East Coast sea-breeze across interior Northeast Florida (30-40% chance of rain).
- Drier air aloft will continue to limit greater thunderstorm development, though a few locally strong embedded thunderstorms may bring locally heavy downpours, occasional lightning, and gusty winds (35-45 mph).
- Rainfall totals will remain below 0.5" for most areas that do see rain, though any locally heavier activity could produce a quick 1-3" of rain.
- The easterly flow around the area of high pressure will be accompanied by a few breezy wind gusts upwards of 20-25 mph along the East Coast and the Panhandle.
- Temperatures will continue to remain well above normal for this time of year, reaching the 80s throughout much of the state.
- Onshore winds will keep temperatures in the 70s along the coastlines.
- Feels-like temperatures may approach the lower 90s throughout portions of interior West-Central Florida.
- Shower activity from the daytime will begin to dissipate across the Peninsula through the evening and early overnight hours (15-25% chance of rain).
- Another night of widespread low clouds and fog is expected throughout much of North and interior Central Florida, some of which could become locally dense.
- Low temperatures will only fall into the lower to middle 60s for North and Central Florida, with upper 60s to lower 70s in South Florida.
- Onshore winds and swells of 3-4' along all Atlantic beaches will create a high risk for rip currents. A high risk is also expected for all Panhandle beaches as onshore winds increase.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, March 5, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Areas of patchy dense fog throughout portions of Northeast Florida and the Panhandle will gradually lift and dissipate as the sun continues to rise.
- Very little change is expected today as high pressure off the local Atlantic waters keeps easterly flow and warm temperatures around.
- An increase in low-level moisture and the local sea breezes will promote a few isolated to widely scattered showers throughout the state this afternoon (15-30% chance of rain),
- The greatest chance of rain is expected along the Gulf sea-breeze pinned across West-Central Florida (35-60% chance of rain).
- Rainfall totals will generally remain below 0.5-1" across West-Central Florida, though localized pockets upwards of 2-3"cannot be ruled out.
- Drier air aloft will limit greater thunderstorm development, though a few isolated thunderstormsare possible mainly along the I-75 corridor.
- The easterly flow will be accompanied by a few breezy wind gusts upwards of 20 mph throughout Southeast Florida and along the I-95 corridor.
- Temperatures will continue a warming trend today, reaching the 80s throughout much of the state. Onshore winds will keep temperatures in the 70s along the coastlines.
- Feels-like temperatures may approach the lower 90s throughout portions of interior West-Central Florida.
- Shower activity from the daytime will begin to dissipate across the Peninsula through the evening and early overnight hours (15-25% chance of rain).
- Another night of low clouds and fog is expected throughout much of North and interior Central Florida, some of which could become locally dense.
- Low temperatures will only fall into the lower to middle 60s for North and Central Florida, with upper 60s to lower 70s in South Florida.
- Onshore winds and swells of 3-4' along all Atlantic beaches will create a high risk for rip currents. A moderate risk can be expected for nearly all Panhandle beaches.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.