RSS Morning Sitrep
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Friday, March 6, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Areas of patchy dense fog throughout portions of Northeast Florida and the Panhandle will gradually lift and dissipate as the sun continues to rise.
- An area of high pressure over the local Southwest Atlantic waters will keep easterly flow and warm temperatures around.
- Enough low-level moisture will be around today for the local sea breezes to kick up a few isolated to widely scattered showers throughout the state this afternoon (15-30% chance of rain), with the greatest chance of rain along the East Coast sea-breeze across interior Northeast Florida (30-40% chance of rain).
- Drier air aloft will continue to limit greater thunderstorm development, though a few locally strong embedded thunderstorms may bring locally heavy downpours, occasional lightning, and gusty winds (35-45 mph).
- Rainfall totals will remain below 0.5" for most areas that do see rain, though any locally heavier activity could produce a quick 1-3" of rain.
- The easterly flow around the area of high pressure will be accompanied by a few breezy wind gusts upwards of 20-25 mph along the East Coast and the Panhandle.
- Temperatures will continue to remain well above normal for this time of year, reaching the 80s throughout much of the state.
- Onshore winds will keep temperatures in the 70s along the coastlines.
- Feels-like temperatures may approach the lower 90s throughout portions of interior West-Central Florida.
- Shower activity from the daytime will begin to dissipate across the Peninsula through the evening and early overnight hours (15-25% chance of rain).
- Another night of widespread low clouds and fog is expected throughout much of North and interior Central Florida, some of which could become locally dense.
- Low temperatures will only fall into the lower to middle 60s for North and Central Florida, with upper 60s to lower 70s in South Florida.
- Onshore winds and swells of 3-4' along all Atlantic beaches will create a high risk for rip currents. A high risk is also expected for all Panhandle beaches as onshore winds increase.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, March 5, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Areas of patchy dense fog throughout portions of Northeast Florida and the Panhandle will gradually lift and dissipate as the sun continues to rise.
- Very little change is expected today as high pressure off the local Atlantic waters keeps easterly flow and warm temperatures around.
- An increase in low-level moisture and the local sea breezes will promote a few isolated to widely scattered showers throughout the state this afternoon (15-30% chance of rain),
- The greatest chance of rain is expected along the Gulf sea-breeze pinned across West-Central Florida (35-60% chance of rain).
- Rainfall totals will generally remain below 0.5-1" across West-Central Florida, though localized pockets upwards of 2-3"cannot be ruled out.
- Drier air aloft will limit greater thunderstorm development, though a few isolated thunderstormsare possible mainly along the I-75 corridor.
- The easterly flow will be accompanied by a few breezy wind gusts upwards of 20 mph throughout Southeast Florida and along the I-95 corridor.
- Temperatures will continue a warming trend today, reaching the 80s throughout much of the state. Onshore winds will keep temperatures in the 70s along the coastlines.
- Feels-like temperatures may approach the lower 90s throughout portions of interior West-Central Florida.
- Shower activity from the daytime will begin to dissipate across the Peninsula through the evening and early overnight hours (15-25% chance of rain).
- Another night of low clouds and fog is expected throughout much of North and interior Central Florida, some of which could become locally dense.
- Low temperatures will only fall into the lower to middle 60s for North and Central Florida, with upper 60s to lower 70s in South Florida.
- Onshore winds and swells of 3-4' along all Atlantic beaches will create a high risk for rip currents. A moderate risk can be expected for nearly all Panhandle beaches.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Wednesday, March 4, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Fog and low clouds throughout Northeast and East-Central Florida, some of which is locally dense, will be slow to lift and dissipate through the morning hours with the rising sun.
- Areas of sea fog along the Gulf-facing shores may linger into the afternoon.
- Otherwise, a near repeat of yesterday is expected as high pressure centered over the local Atlantic waters keeps mostly dry conditions in place.
- Easterly onshore flow is expected around this area of high pressure along the East Coast, with a few breezy wind gusts upwards of 20 mph expected this afternoon.
- This onshore flow will also help to keep some low-level moisture around throughout South Florida where an isolated shower or two is possible (15-30% chance of rain).
- These showers will likely be light and brief in nature, however an embedded thunderstorm and rumble of thunder cannot be ruled out along the Southeast Florida coastline.
- Relative humidity values are expected to remain well above critical thresholds this afternoon given low-level moisture, though pockets of drier conditions may develop across interior North Florida.
- High temperatures will reach the lower to middle 80s throughout much of the state, with cooler conditions along the Northeast Florida coastline.
- A few brief showers may linger near the Southeast Florida coastline overnight (15-30% chance of rain).
- Low-level moisture and calm winds throughout North and Central Florida will lead to widespread fog developing by early Thursday morning, with instances of locally dense fog possible.
- Low temperatures will fall into the upper 50s to lower 60s across North Florida, middle 60s across Central Florida and upper 60s to lower 70s in South Florida overnight.
- Onshore winds and swells of 3-4' along all Atlantic beaches will create a high risk for rip currents. A moderate risk can be expected for nearly all Panhandle beaches.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, March 3, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Patchy fog and low clouds throughout the state this morning will be quick to lift and dissipate.
- A near repeat of yesterday can be expected as the area of high pressure over the southeastern U.S. will keep much of the state dry throughout the day and create a combination of sunshine and partly cloudy skies.
- Onshore winds along the eastern coastline and enough low-level moisture will allow for isolated showers to move onshore this afternoon and evening (15-25% chance of rain).
- An embedded thunderstorm or two cannot be ruled out along portions of the Southeast Florida coast later this afternoon.
- Breezy wind gusts of 15-20 mph will develop again later this afternoon, especially along the eastern half of the state.
- High temperatures will remain well into the middle 70s to middle 80s this afternoon throughout the state.
- Any shower activity that does develop will shift back towards the coastal waters and dissipate later this evening and overnight, but a few brief coastal showers may linger near the coastline overnight (15-25% chance of rain).
- Low-level moisture and calm winds will bring a greater chance for fog development by Wednesday morning throughout North and Central Florida, with instances of locally dense fogpossible.
- Low temperatures will fall into the middle to upper 50s across North Florida, lower to middle 60s across Central Florida and upper 60s to lower 70s across South Florida.
- Onshore winds and swells of 3-4' along all Atlantic beaches will create a high risk for rip currents. A moderate risk can be expected for nearly all North Florida beaches.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Monday, March 2nd, 2026.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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Patchy fog and low clouds this morning will lift and dissipate throughout the morning hours, but reduced visibilities can be expected especially across Alligator Alley with dense smoke from the National Wildfire.
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Generally dry conditions can be expected today after we got some needed rainfall over the weekend.
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Enough moisture may allow for a few isolated to widely scattered showers along the I-95 corridor this afternoon, with a possible embedded thunderstorm or two across West-Central and South Florida (20-40% chance of rain).
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Rainfall totals are expected to remain near 0.5-1", but any thunderstorm activity will be capable of producing a quick 1-2".
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Sensitive wildfire conditions will be possible across the interior Big Bend and towards the Suwannee Valley as relative humidity values are expected to fall near critical thresholds (35-40%).
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Wind gusts will increase throughout the day across the state reaching 15-25 mphby the late afternoon hours, but especially along the eastern half of the state.
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High temperatures are expected to reach the middle 70s to middle 80s this afternoon.
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Drier conditions will return overnight across the state, with a few showers continuing across South Florida (20-30% chance of rain).
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Elevated winds overnight should keep fog development minimal early Tuesday morning, but lower-lying areas could see some patchy fog.
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Low temperatures will fall into the middle to upper 50s across North Florida, lower to middle 60s across Central Florida and middle 60s to lower 70s across South Florida.
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Onshore winds and approaching ocean swells will create amoderate to high risk for rip currentsalong the East Coast. Numerous Panhandle beaches can also expect amoderate risk.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.