RSS Morning Sitrep
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Wednesday, July 9, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- A rinse and repeat of Tuesday can be expected as the daily thunderstorm pattern will develop throughout the day.
- There are currently a few scattered showers and embedded thunderstorms along the coastal Big Bend, and these will continue along the coastline before moving inland.
- Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will develop throughout the afternoon and evening hours with the help of the sea breeze and daytime heating (40-70% chance of rain).
- Locally embedded strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible during the peak heating hours of the day and will be capable of producing frequent lightning, damaging wind gusts (45-60 mph) and torrential downpours.
- There is a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding across the northern Suwannee Valley and Northeast Florida where greater coverage of showers and thunderstorms could lead to instances of flash flooding and ponding of water.
- Hot and muggy conditions can be expected this afternoon and evening with high temperatures in the upper 80s to middle 90s and heat index values in the upper 90s to triple digits (100-106-degrees).
- Several areas across the state will remain just below Heat Advisory criteria; however, a brief one cannot be ruled out.
- Shower and thunderstorm activity will diminish throughout the overnight hours leading to mostly dry conditions; but some lingering activity could continue along the coastlines (20-40% chance of rain).
- There is a moderate risk for rip currents along numerous Panhandle and Atlantic Coast beaches.
- Low temperatures will fall in the 70s and lower 80s.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, July 8, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- The typical summertime thunderstorm pattern will develop again today across the Sunshine State.
- Showers and thunderstorms are currently along the Panhandle and Big Bend coastlines, but will gradually move inland throughout the morning and afternoon hours.
- Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms can be expected to develop statewide with the help of the sea breeze and daytime heating (35-65% chance of rain).
- Across the Peninsula, activity will generally move from west to east due to the dominating Gulf sea breeze pushing further inland than the Atlantic sea breeze.
- Embedded strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible during the peak heating hours of the day. Frequent lightning, gusty winds, instances of small hail and heavy downpours can be anticipated.
- Ponding of water and localized flash flooding cannot be ruled out with heavy downpours, especially over urban and low-lying/poor drainage areas.
- Seasonably warm and humid conditions will continue into the afternoon as high temperatures reach the upper 80s to middle 90s this afternoon.
- Heat index values will peak in the upper 90s to triple digits (100-106-degrees), with portions of Northeast and East-Central Florida remaining just below Heat Advisory criteria.
- Showers and thunderstorms will diminish throughout the evening and overnight hours with the loss of daytime heating; however, a few may linger along coastlines overnight (20-40% chance of rain).
- Low temperatures will fall into the 70s and lower 80s overnight.
- A moderate risk for rip current extends along numerous North Florida and Space Coast beaches.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Monday, July 7, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- The typical summertime thunderstorm pattern will return across the Sunshine State in the wake of an active and wet pattern.
- A clusters of showers and thunderstorms remains just offshore along the Panhandle but will likely gradually begin to move inland throughout the day.
- Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will develop throughout the afternoon and evening hours as the sea breezes push inland and collide with one another (50-75% chance of rain).
- Locally embedded strong thunderstorms will be possible during the peak heating hours of the day and will be capable of producing frequent lightning, damaging wind gusts (45-60 mph) and torrential downpours.
- Localized instances of flash flooding and ponding of water will be possible heavy and downpours, especially with areas that have already seen locally heavy rainfall the last few days.
- Seasonably warm and humid conditions can be expected this afternoon across the state with high temperatures reaching the upper 80s to middle 90s and heat index values in the upper 90s to triple digits (100-105-degrees).
- Shower and thunderstorm activity will diminish throughout the overnight leading to mostly dry conditions (15-30% chance of rain).
- Low temperatures will fall into the 70s and lower 80s overnight.
- A moderate risk for rip currents continues along numerous North Florida beaches, but all other beaches across the state have returned to a low risk.
- Chantal remains a tropical depression over Virginia and the Mid-Atlantic states and will continue to move northeastward along the eastern U.S. seaboard. Chantal poses no threat to Florida.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Sunday, July 6, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Today will serve as a transition day between the recent active weather pattern and a return towards the more typical summertime pattern.
- A few showers and thunderstorms have already begun to move inland along Southwest Florida from the nearby coastal waters, and additional activity may follow along the Gulf and West Coasts.
- A more typical summertime thunderstorm pattern can be expected, with scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms developing across the state (30-75% chance of rain).
- A more isolated to scattered activity is likely along the Panhandle where the sea breeze will struggle to move inland beyond the I-10 corridor and dry air lingers.
- Stronger embedded thunderstorms will be capable of producing frequent lightning, gusty winds and heavy downpours.
- Instances of localized flash flooding and ponding of water may be possible with heavy downpours over urban and low-lying/poor drainage areas, especially following the wet and active weather pattern last week.
- Warm and muggy conditions can be expected with temperatures in the upper 80s to middle 90s and heat index values in the upper 90s to triple digits (100-105-degrees).
- Most of the shower and thunderstorm activity will dissipate throughout the overnight hours; however, some showers and thunderstorms may linger along the Gulf and West Coasts before drifting onshore during the predawn hours on Monday (15-30% chance of rain).
- Low temperatures will fall into the 70s and lower 80s.
- A moderate risk for rip currents continues for numerous beaches across the Sunshine State, and a locally high risk cannot be ruled out along Northeast Florida beaches.
- Tropical Storm Chantal made landfall early this morning near 4:00 AM EDT near Litchfield Beach, South Carolina with maximum sustained winds near 50 mph. Tropical Storm Chantal will continue to move inland over the Carolinas today and degenerate into an upper-level low pressure system on Monday. An elevated surf and rip current risk can be expected along Northeast Florida beaches through the weekend.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Saturday, July 5th, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Another day of scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms can be expected throughout the Florida Peninsula, especially this afternoon and evening (70-95% chance of rain).
- Embedded locally strong to severe thunderstorms may be possible during those peak heating hours of the day, bringing frequent lightning, gusty winds and heavy downpours.
- A Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding continues across the Florida Peninsula as instances of flash flooding and ponding of water will be possible within heavier downpours over already saturated grounds.
- More isolated shower and thunderstorm activity along the western Florida Panhandle today (20-40% chance of rain).
- Warm and muggy conditions can be expected, with feels-like temperatures reaching the upper 90s to lower 100s (98-103-degrees) along the Florida Panhandle and South Florida.
- Lingering showers and thunderstorms will be possible across the Florida Peninsula throughout the overnight hours (45-65% chance of rain).
- Areas of patchy fog and/or low clouds cannot be ruled out tonight over the low-lying areas of the Suwannee River Valley.
- A moderate risk of rip currents continues for most Florida Panhandle, East Coast, and Southwest Florida beaches today.
- As of 8:00 AM EDT, Tropical Depression Three has strengthened into Tropical Storm Chantal. Maximum sustained winds have reached 40 mph, and Chantal is expected to move inland along the South Carolina Coast Sunday morning. Chantal poses no direct threat to Florida; elevated surf and increased risk of rip currents can be expected to continue along the Northeast Florida coastline this weekend.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.