RSS Morning Sitrep

8/19/2022 10:00:47 AM

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 3

Meteorological Summary:

Scattered showers and thunderstorms develop statewide through the afternoon (50-75% chance of rain).
A few thunderstorms during the peak heating hours of the day may be strong and capable of producing gusty winds, frequent lightning, and heavy rainfall rates.
The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) is outlooking a Marginal Risk for Flash Flooding (level 1 of 4) across the western Panhandle; localized flooding over low-lying and poor drainage areas possible.
An elevated rip current risk can be expected along most Panhandle, Northeast Florida, and Palm Beach County beaches.
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is monitoring Invest 99L over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico, with a 40% (medium) chance of development over the next 48 hours and 5 days. This system poses no threat to Florida.

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

8/18/2022 10:00:01 AM

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 3

Meteorological Summary:

As a frontal boundary lingers over North Florida today, elevated rain chances can be expected statewide.
Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible across portions of North Florida, mainly across Northeast Florida (Marginal Risk).
The primary concerns with this activity will be locally damaging wind gusts (40-60 mph), frequent lightning, and heavy rainfall rates this afternoon and evening.
The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) is outlooking a Marginal Risk for Flash Flooding (level 1 of 4) across Northeast Florida; localized flooding over low-lying and poor drainage areas possible.
An elevated rip current risk can be expected along most Panhandle beaches, with a locally high risk along Gulf County beaches.
Dryness intensified and expanded along the East Coast, with regions of moderate drought reintroduced in parts of the Space Coast.
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) continues to monitor a potential area of development over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. This system has a 20% (low) chance of development over the next 48 hours, and a 30% (low) chance of development over the next 5 days. This disturbance poses no threat to Florida.

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

8/17/2022 10:00:47 AM

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 3

Meteorological Summary:

As a frontal boundary gradually progresses southward over the Southeast U.S. today elevated rain chances can be expected statewide, away from the Florida Keys (45-65% chance of rain).
Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible across portions of North and Central Florida, mainly along and north of the I-4 corridor (Marginal Risk).
The primary concerns with this activity will be locally damaging wind gusts (40-60 mph), frequent lightning, and heavy rainfall rates this afternoon and evening.
The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) is outlooking a Marginal Risk for Flash Flooding (level 1 of 4) across the western Panhandle; localized flooding over low-lying and poor drainage areas possible.
Heat Advisories will remain in effect for portions of the western Panhandle as feels like temperatures reach 106-110 degrees this afternoon.
An elevated rip current risk can be expected along most Panhandle beaches, with a locally high risk along Gulf County beaches.
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is monitoring an area of potential development over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. There is a 20% (low) chance of development over the next 5 days, however this disturbance poses no threat to Florida.

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

8/16/2022 10:07:00 AM

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 3

Meteorological Summary:

A typical summertime pattern will take shape this afternoon as scattered showers and thunderstorms develop along the sea breeze, with a few strong thunderstorms possible (30-55% chance of rain).
A few strong to locally severe thunderstorms cannot be ruled over the western Panhandle later this afternoon and evening, setting the stage for another stormy day over North Florida on Wednesday.
Locally damaging wind gusts (40-60 mph), frequent lightning, and heavy downpours will be possible.
Heat Advisories are in effect for the western Panhandle as temperatures will feel like 106-110 degrees this afternoon.
Onshore winds will yield an elevated rip current risk along most Panhandle and East Coast beaches; a locally high risk can be expected along southwest-facing Panhandle beaches.
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is monitoring a potential area for development over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico; there is a 20% (low) chance of development over the next 5 days.

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

8/15/2022 10:05:10 AM

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 3

Meteorological Summary:

A relatively drier air mass over North Florida will yield mostly sunny skies and lower rain chances (20-40% chance of rain).
In the Peninsula, scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop through the afternoon along the sea breeze (60-80%).
A few thunderstorms may be strong and capable of producing locally gusty winds, frequent lightning, and heavy downpours.
The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) is outlooking a Marginal Risk for Flash Flooding (level 1 of 4) along the I-95 corridor in Southeast Florida.
Afternoon temperatures will feel like the triple digits over the western Panhandle, West Coast, and Florida Keys.
Onshore winds will yield a moderate risk for rip currents along most Panhandle and East Coast beaches.
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) has decreased the chance of formation for a disturbance in the Central Atlantic (near 0%). This system does not pose a threat to Florida.

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.