Current Weather Outlook

Statewide weather outlook from Florida Division of Emergency Management Meteorology

Wednesday, July 28, 2021

...Numerous Summertime Thunderstorms Across The State Today...Gusty Winds, Frequent Lightning, and Heavy Downpours Possible with Stronger Storms...Street Flooding or Flash Flooding Possible...Heat Index Values 100-110 Degrees Statewide This Afternoon...No Threat From The Tropics...

Updated at 8:43 AM EDT

Today's Threats:

No Threat Low Threat Medium Threat High Threat
Lightning Tornado Damaging Wind/Hail Wildfire Flash Flooding Excessive Heat River Flooding Rip Currents







Santa Fe & St. Marys River

Panhandle & East Coast

West Coast


Weather Summary for the Next 24 Hours:   

A typical summertime weather pattern will continue today. Skies are sunny this morning except where some showers are already developing along the West Coast. Throughout the day, numerous thunderstorms will develop across the state. The best chance of rain today is along the I-10 corridor, shifting to the East Coast and Northeast Florida late in the day. As is typical for this time of year, a few storms will be strong with gusty winds around 45 mph, frequent lightning, and heavy rainfall that could result in flash flooding.

High temperatures will reach the lower to mid-90s, which when combined with the humidity, will result in a heat index of 100-110 degrees. Low temperatures tonight will be in the middle and upper 70s inland and the lower 80s near the coast.

Tonight, thunderstorms will begin to dissipate after sunset but will continue overnight along the coasts.


Tropical Development is not expected over the next five days. For the latest on the tropics, please visit the National Hurricane Center at


Flash Flooding: Thunderstorms this afternoon have the potential to produce a quick 2-3” of rainfall, with isolated totals over the next 24 hours of 4-5”. This would result in urban street flooding and potentially flash flooding, especially across Northeast Florida and urban areas.

Hydrology: A River Flood Warning is in effect for the Santa Fe River at Three River Estates, near Fort White, and at O’Leno State Park and the St. Marys River at Macclenny until further notice. Minor flooding is ongoing at these locations and water levels are not forecast to lower at least until early next week. Several additional rivers across the state are in Action Stage from recent rainfall, with some minor flooding on smaller creeks and lakes across the state. For more details on specific river levels, please visit the River Forecast Center.

Lake Okeechobee’s average elevation is 13.56 feet, which is within the operational band but 0.16 feet below normal for this time of year. Pulse releases continue down the Caloosahatchee.


Rip Currents: Onshore winds will result in a moderate risk of rip currents for some Atlantic and Panhandle beaches with a low risk at all other beaches. Waves are 1-3’ along the East Coast. For the latest Rip Current Outlook, visit

Marine Hazards: Areas of Red Tide continue to be reported in and around Tampa Bay. Moderate to high concentrations have been observed along the coasts of Charlotte, Hillsborough, Lee, Manatee, Pasco, Pinellas, and Sarasota County, with low to moderate concentrations reported offshore of Hernando. Respiratory irritation and fish kills will continue to be an issue at local beaches.

Coastal Flooding: Coastal flooding is not expected today.