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Scattered Showers And Thunderstorms Forecast In East Central And South Florida Today...Isolated Storms Possible Along Coastal Panhandle And Big Bend...Moderate Risk Of Rip Currents from Volusia To Martin County Beaches...Invest 97L Has A 90% Chance Of Development And Will Likely Become A Tropical Depression Or Storm...Updated 8:00 A.M. EDT Tuesday
A weak area of surface high pressure and a weak upper level low over Central Florida will produce scattered showers and thunderstorms mostly across East Central and South Florida. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are also possible along most coastal areas of the Big Bend and Panhandle. While there is no overall severe weather threat, some storms may become severe with the main impacts being frequent lighting, damaging 60+ mph winds, small hail, and heavy downpours. Most of South Florida will have a 50-60% chance of showers and thunderstorms, with North Florida only having a 30% chance of storms this afternoon. A cold front is expected to bring much drier and cooler conditions later this week.
We are currently monitoring Invest 97L for any possible impacts to Florida in 7-9 days. We will know more on this storm as it enters the Caribbean Sea and develops over the next day or two. Otherwise, expect partly to mostly cloudy skies. Winds will be very light around 5 mph in most areas. Temperatures will be in the mid to upper 80s. Overnight, temperatures will be in the upper 60s to low 70s in North Florida, and in the mid to upper 70s for Central and South Florida.
There is a moderate risk of rip currents for east coast beaches from Volusia to Martin counties. There is a low risk of rip currents at all other Florida beaches today. Rip currents can still occur on low risk days. Beach goers are urged to check with local beach rescue for the latest surf conditions and to always swim within sight of a lifeguard.
Showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a well-organized tropical wave located about 475 miles east-southeast of Barbados. However, the low appears to lack a closed circulation at this time. Environmental conditions are favorable for continued development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm could form later today or tonight while the system moves westward to west- northwestward at 15 to 20 mph. Interests in the eastern and central Caribbean Sea, including the northern coast of South America, should monitor the progress of this disturbance, since warnings and watches could be required at any time. Regardless of whether the system is a tropical wave or tropical cyclone, heavy rains and wind gusts to tropical storm force are expected to spread over the Windward Islands and portions of the southern Lesser Antilles, beginning tonight and continuing into Wednesday. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the disturbance this afternoon. The system has a 90% (high) chance of development over the next 48 hours, and a 90% (high) chance of development through the next five days. For more information from the National Hurricane Center, click here.
National Weather Service