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Weather Forecast

...Scattered Showers and Thunderstorms in the Peninsula...Locally Heavy Rainfall Possible from Nature Coast to Northeast Florida...Marginal Risk for Severe Weather in Much of the Peninsula...Moderate to High Risk for Rip Currents for Most East Coast and Panhandle Beaches...

Updated 9:05 A.M. EST Thanksgiving Day

An area of low pressure is located over the eastern Gulf of Mexico this morning, and it will move slowly northeast over the next 24 hours across Florida and into the Atlantic. Its cold front will also sweep across the Florida Peninsula. Light to moderate rainfall, with one or two embedded thunderstorms, is ongoing from the eastern Big Bend to Northeast and Central Florida. Most locations from the Nature Coast to Northeast Florida can expect 2 to 4 inches of rainfall through tomorrow morning. There are currently no flood or flash flood watches in effect, but minor nuisance flooding of low-lying and poorly drained areas is possible. Rainfall amounts elsewhere in Florida will generally be less than in inch. In addition to the heavy rainfall threat, there is a marginal risk for severe weather in Central Florida and much of South Florida, primarily this morning through this afternoon. The primary threats from any severe storms that develop are damaging wind gusts and a brief, isolated tornado, although small hail cannot be completely ruled out. Thunderstorms are also possible today throughout the rest of the Peninsula, but only rain showers are expected in the eastern Big Bend. While the severe weather threat will diminish and any rainfall should be ending in the eastern Big Bend by this evening, chances for showers and thunderstorms will continue in Northeast Florida and the Peninsula overnight.

Dry conditions are expected in the Panhandle through tomorrow morning, and any light rainfall in the western Big Bend should come to and end by late evening. Highs today will be in the mid 60s to near 70 in North Florida, in the lower to mid 70s in Central Florida, and in the upper 70s to lower 80s in South Florida. Lows tonight will be in the mid 40s to lower 50s in the Panhandle and the Big Bend and will range from the mid 50s to near 70, north to south, in the Peninsula.

A high risk for rip currents is forecast for Franklin County beaches in the Panhandle due to 10 mph northeast winds and wave heights up to 2 feet. A moderate risk for rip currents is forecast for East Coast beaches from Nassau County to Martin County due to breezy winds and wave heights of 2 to 5 feet; and for Panhandle beaches from Walton County to Gulf County due to north to northeast 5-10 mph winds. A low risk of rip currents is expected at all other Florida beaches today. Beach goers are urged to check with local beach rescue for the latest surf conditions and to always swim within sight of a lifeguard. Remember, double red flags means the beach is closed.

Some of the gages on the upper St. Johns River remain in action stage, and the St. Marys River near Macclenny is forecast to rise above action stage over the next 24 hours due to expected heavy rainfall in the area. At this time, no Florida river or waterway is expected to rise above flood stage over the next few days. For more information on specific river stages, please visit the Southeast River Forecast Center here.

No tropical development is expected during the next five days. For the latest information on the tropics, please visit

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September 22, 2017 11:24

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