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Showers and Storms to Move Away from Florida by This Evening... Light Rainfall Expected to Stop Rivers from Falling Quickly... Many Rivers are Continuing to Flood...Elevated Rip Current Risk For All Florida Beaches...Updated 9:00 AM EDT Saturday
The area of low pressure which was responsible for the showers and storms yesterday is continuing its trek northeastward across the Florida Big Bend and Southeast United States. Dry air behind this low pressure system has moved into the area, and this is working to limit shower and storm activity today. Enough low-level moisture, however, will remain to generate a 40%-60% chance for showers and possibly an isolated storm across North Florida. Meanwhile, the heavy rain which has extended as far south as the keys is currently pushing offshore, and this will cause the dry air to move in behind it as well. As a result, a 20%-40% chance of showers and storms exists for the Peninsula as well. Severe weather is not anticipated today, but any storms that form will have the potential to bring occasional lightning strikes.
Many rivers across North Florida are already experiencing flood conditions. Widespread rainfall today is expected to be less than a quarter of an inch, but locally heavier amounts of up to three quarters of an inch may fall in the heaviest of showers. Although the additional rainfall will not help rivers fall, they will not exacerbate the flooding forecasts. Currently, the Choctawhatchee River at Bruce-Ebro and the Santa Fe River at Three Rivers Estates are expected to reach major flood stage early next week; but several other rivers are now forecast to reach moderate flood stage. These rivers include the Santa Fe River, the Suwannee River, the St. Marks River, the Ochlockonee River, the Shoal River, and the Chipola River. Otherwise, the remaining rivers which are expected to reach flood stage are only expected to reach minor flood stage at this time. For more details on rivers specific to your area please visit the Southeast River Forecast Center Webpage.
Afternoon highs will not reach normal today across North Florida with highs only reaching into the mid to upper 60s to low 70s. Otherwise, Central and South Florida can expect highs to reach into the low to mid 80s. Overnight lows are forecast to reach the mid 50s to low 60s across North Florida while Central and South Florida will see lows in the upper 60s to low 70s.
For tonight, the rain is expected to come to an end leaving partly to mostly cloudy skies.
At the coast, winds and waves in association with the low pressure system will generate a moderate risk of rip currents for all Florida beaches today. Dangerous rip currents can still occur on low risk days near piers and jetties, especially during low tide. For more information about rip current safety, click here.
National Weather Service