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Passing Cold Front Will Keep Panhandle Sunny and a Little Less Humid...Showers and Thunderstorms Expected for the Rest of the State...West Coast Sea Breeze Impacting Central and South Florida...Tropics Begin to Pick Up...Updated 9:25 AM EDT Tuesday
A cold front will continue to push southward across North Florida today allowing dry air to filter into the state behind it. This will decrease rain chances significantly across North Florida for today leaving behind sunny skies and lower humidity levels.
Across Central and South Florida, out ahead of the cold front, increased moisture will provide another stormy afternoon with rain chances around 50% for most places dropping to around 40% near the Southeast Florida coast and near 30% along the Southwest Florida coast. West to southwesterly winds will allow storms to move from west to east today across the state, however, the east coast seabreeze is still forecast to form allowing for storms to collide along the interior of the state this afternoon increasing rain chances there. While no severe weather is anticipated today, some storms may become strong this afternoon capable of frequent lightning, gusty winds, heavy downpours, and even an isolated waterspout.
Mostly sunny skies and drier air across North Florida will allow temperatures to rise into the low to mid 90s; however, lower humidity levels will make these warm temperatures feel less oppressive then days prior. Partly to mostly sunny skies across the peninsula will also allow temperatures to rise into the low to mid 90s this afternoon. Increased humidity levels, however, could make it feel like the lower 100s across Central and South Florida this afternoon.
Westerly winds will allow ocean swells to build in the Gulf creating a moderate risk of rip currents for the Panhandle and Gulf coast beaches today. Breezy winds moving along the East Central Florida coast will generate a moderate risk of rip currents while the Northeastern and South Florida coast beaches will enjoy a low risk of rip currents. However, rip currents may still form near piers and jetties, and also during the outgoing tide cycles. For more information about rip current safety, visit here.
A tropical wave located 1600 miles east of the Southern Windward Islands is producing an area of increasing showers and storms. Environmental conditions are expected to be favorable for gradual development of this disturbance over the next several days while it moves generally westward at 10-15 mph. The National Hurricane Center has mentioned that this system has the potential to become a tropical depression within the next 48 hours thus its chances for development remain high in this morning tropical weather outlook. Currently this system has a 70% chance (high) for tropical cyclone formation in the next 48 hours and a 80% chance (high) for tropical cyclone formation in the next 5 days. It is still too early to predict the path and the intensity of the storm. The next name on the Atlantic hurricane Season list of names is Bertha. For more information on this Storm and the tropics click here. For the latest information, visit here.
National Weather Service