RSS Morning Sitrep
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Sunday, April 5th, 2026.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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Areas ofpatchy fog, some of which islocally dense,will slowly lift and dissipate through the morning hours across the Panhandle and Northeast Florida.
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Showers with embedded thunderstorms are also ongoing across the far western Panhandle this morning ahead of and along our next frontal system.
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This cold front is expected to mostly lift north of the state, bringing with it the greatest chances of rain as well. However, this broken line of activity ahead of the front will traverse the Panhandle this morning before dissipating as it approaches the Big Bend region (50-90% chance of rain).
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Mostly dry conditions will prevail throughout the Big Bend and Suwannee River Valley today, though an isolated shower or storm cannot be ruled out (15-25% chance of rain).
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Across the Peninsula, the sea breeze boundaries will push inland this afternoon helping to spark scattered showers and thunderstorms (40-60% chance of rain).
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Although there is no organized risk for severe weather today, a few storms throughout the Peninsula could becomelocally strongand capable of producing frequent lightning, gusty winds (40-50 mph), and small hail.
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Additionally, a fewlocally heavy downpourscould lead to a quick1-3” of rainand areas ofponding of waterandnuisance floodingcannot be ruled out in low-lying/poor drainage locations.
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A few breezy wind gustsupwards of 20-25 mphcan be expected along the I-95 corridor and Southeast Florida today.
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Given the ongoing drought,locally sensitivetoelevated wildfire conditionswill persist statewide despite relative humidities remaining above critical thresholds.
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High temperatures will reach the middle 70s to middle 80s throughout much of the state this afternoon. Portions of the I-75 corridor will approach the upper 80s or even90-degrees.
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Any shower or thunderstorm activity is expected to diminish shortly after sunset throughout the state.
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However, some lingering showers may redevelop across the Panhandle and Big Bend after midnight as the cold front passes through (25-40% chance of rain).
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Lows will reach the 60s to lower 70s throughout the Peninsula tonight.
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In the wake of the front, cooler overnight temperatures are expected with lows in the 50s throughout the Panhandle and Big Bend.
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Areas ofpatchy fog and low cloudsmay develop across Central Florida overnight and before daybreak Monday, some of which could becomelocally dense.
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Amoderatetohigh risk for rip currentsis expected at all Panhandle and East Coast beaches today.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Saturday, April 4th, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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Any areas ofpatchy fogthroughout North Florida this morning will quickly lift and dissipate shortly after sunrise.
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South and easterly flow will continue throughout the state today, though a plume of drier air aloft in the atmosphere will trail a pocket of moist air currently residing over the Big Bend northern Panhandle.
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This drier air will limit shower and thunderstorm activity throughout the Peninsula this afternoon, outside of coastal Southeast Florida where an isolated shower or storm cannot be ruled out (25-30% chance of rain).
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Southerly winds will help to push the sea breeze inland across the northern Panhandle this afternoon which will help spark isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms during peak heating hours (25-55% chance of rain).
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Although there is no organized risk for severe weather today, a few storms could becomelocally strongacross the Panhandle and capable of producing frequent lightning, gusty winds (40-50 mph), and small hail.
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Additionally, a fewlocally heavy downpourscould lead to a quick1-3” of rain and areas ofponding of waterandnuisance floodingcannot be ruled out in low-lying/poor drainage locations.
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The south and easterly flow today will be accompanied by breezy wind gustsupwards of 20 mphthroughout the state with locally higher gustsupwards of 25-30 mphalong the I-95 corridor and Southeast Florida.
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Given the ongoing drought,locally sensitivetoelevated wildfire conditionswill persist statewide, especially across Northeast Florida where relative humidities will dip tonear critical thresholds (30-40% RH values).
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High temperatures will reach the middle 70s to middle 80s throughout much of the state this afternoon. Portions of the I-75 corridor will approach the upper 80s or even90-degrees.
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A lingering isolated shower cannot be ruled out across Southeast Florida overnight (20-25% chance of rain).
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A cold front with a few showers and embedded thunderstorms ahead of it will also approach the far western Panhandle close to daybreak on Sunday (20-30% chance of rain).
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Lows will reach the lower to middle 60s throughout North Florida and middle 60s to lower 70s in Central and South Florida.
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With plentiful moisture sticking around overnight, areas offog and low clouds are possible, especially throughout North and West-Central Florida.
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The greatest chances forlocally dense fogwill be across the western Panhandle and Northeast Florida by daybreak Sunday.
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Amoderatetohigh risk for rip currentsis expected for all East Coast and Panhandle beaches today as surf remains elevated with breezy onshore winds.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Friday, April 3, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Any areas of patchy fog throughout North Florida this morning will quickly lift and dissipate shortly after sunrise.
- High pressure remains in place over the western Atlantic today with moist south and east flow continuing across the state.
- Pockets of drier air aloft in the atmosphere will limit shower and thunderstorm activity across Central and South Florida.
- A weak upper-level disturbance passing across North Florida and sea breeze interactions will encourage scattered showers and thunderstorms this afternoon.
- Coverage will be greatest across the Suwannee River Valley and Northeast Florida where a few storms could become locally strong with frequent lightning, gusty winds (40-50 mph), and small hail (50-75% chance of rain).
- Some of this activity could also bring locally heavy downpours capable of producing a quick 1-3” of rain. Low-lying/poor drainage areas will be most susceptible to ponding of water and nuisance flooding.
- The easterly flow today will be accompanied by breezy wind gusts upwards of 20 mph throughout the Peninsula with locally higher gusts upwards of 25-30 mph along the I-95 corridor and Southeast Florida.
- Given the ongoing drought, locally sensitive to elevated wildfire conditions will persist statewide.
- Any shower or thunderstorm activity is expected to diminish shortly after sunset throughout the state.
- High temperatures will reach the middle 70s to middle 80s throughout much of the state this afternoon. Portions of the I-75 corridor will approach the upper 80s or even 90-degrees.
- Lows will reach the lower to middle 60s throughout North Florida and middle 60s to lower 70s in Central and South Florida.
- With plentiful moisture sticking around overnight, areas of fog and low clouds are possible, especially throughout North and West-Central Florida.
- The greatest chances for locally dense fog will be across the western Panhandle and Northeast Florida by daybreak Friday.
- A high risk for rip currents is expected at all Panhandle and East Coast beaches today.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, April 2, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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- Any areas of patchy fog throughout North Florida this morning will quickly lift and dissipate shortly after sunrise.
- A new wave of moisture will filter across the Peninsula today, around the area of high pressure over the western Atlantic, where the greatest chances of rain are expected (40-60% chance of rain).
- Although there is no organized risk for severe weather, some of this activity could be accompanied by lightning, small hail, and a few locally heavy downpours capable of producing a quick 1-3” of rain.
- Drier air aloft in the atmosphere will bring mostly dry conditions to North Florida today, though an isolated shower or storm cannot be ruled out across the northern Panhandle (15-25% chance of rain).
- The easterly flow today will be accompanied by breezy wind gusts upwards of 20 mph throughout the Peninsula with locally higher gusts upwards of 25-30 mph along the I-95 corridor and Southeast Florida.
- Relative humidities will dip to near critical thresholds across Northeast Florida this afternoon (30-40% RH values), which will encourage locally sensitive to elevated wildfire conditions given the ongoing drought.
- High temperatures will reach the middle 70s to middle 80s throughout much of the state this afternoon. Portions of the I-75 corridor will approach the upper 80s or even 90-degrees.
- Lows will reach the upper 50s to middle 60s throughout North Florida and middle 60s to lower 70s in Central and South Florida.
- With plentiful moisture sticking around overnight, areas of fog and low clouds are possible, especially throughout North and West-Central Florida.
- The greatest chances for locally dense fog will be across the western Panhandle and Northeast Florida by daybreak Friday.
- A moderate to high risk for rip currents persists for all Panhandle and East Coast beaches as breezy onshore winds keep surf elevated.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Wednesday, April 1st, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
Good morning,
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Areas ofpatchy dense fog have developed throughout portions of the Panhandle and Northeast Florida this morning but will shortly dissipate by mid-morning.
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Otherwise, another rinse and repeat of yesterday is expected today as high pressure over the western Atlantic hardly budges and dominates the local pattern.
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Moist south and east flow will continue to promote additional spotty chances for showers and thunderstorms across much of the state.
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Drier air aloft in the atmosphere will limit greater coverage throughout the Peninsula today, with isolated activity remaining confined to East-Central and Southeast Florida (15-25% chance of rain).
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The greatest chance of rain will be over the northern Panhandle along the Gulf sea breeze this afternoon (30-50% chance of rain).
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Although there is no organized risk for severe weather, some of this activity could be accompanied by lightning, small hail, and a fewlocally heavy downpours capable of producing aquick 1-3” of rain.
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The easterly flow today will be accompanied by breezy wind gustsupwards of 20 mph throughout the Peninsula with locally higher gustsupwards of 25 mph across Northeast and Southeast Florida.
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Relative humidities will remain above critical thresholds today, though ongoing drought will keeplocally sensitive toelevated wildfire conditions in place.
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High temperatures will reach the middle 70s to middle 80s throughout the state this afternoon.
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Lows will reach the upper 50s to middle 60s throughout North Florida and middle 60s to lower 70s in Central and South Florida.
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With plentiful moisture sticking around overnight, areas offog and low clouds are possible, especially throughout North and West-Central Florida.
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The greatest chances for locally dense fog will be across the western Panhandle and Northeast Florida by daybreak Thursday.
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Onshore winds and elevated surf will keep amoderatetohigh risk for rip currentsin place for all Panhandle and East Coast beaches today.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
