RSS Morning Sitrep
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Saturday, December 6th, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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Widespread showers have spread across much of the Panhandle this morning as the nearly stationary frontal system remains draped along the northern gulf waters.
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Areas ofDense Foghave also developed across much of the Peninsula and will dissipate mid-morning.
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The system will be slow to progress eastward today with another day of scattered to widespread showers and embedded thunderstorms across the Panhandle (75-85% chance of rain).
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Isolated to widely scattered showers or alocally strong thunderstormmay develop across Central Florida this afternoon ahead of the main activity, mainly north of the I-4 corridor (25-40% chance of rain).
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Although there is no organized risk for flash flooding today,nuisance ponding of waterorlocalized floodingcannot be ruled out, especially across the Panhandle where repeated rounds of heavy downpours are possible.
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Rainfall totals up to 1" can be expected across the Panhandle, withlocally higher totalsupwards of 2-3" possible.
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Dry conditions will persist throughout South Florida as the frontal system remains displaced too far north for any meaningful activity.
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High temperatures will reach the upper 50s along the Panhandle and middle 60s to lower 70s across the rest of North Florida.
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Central and South Florida will see high temperatures in the lower to middle 80s.
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Feels like temperatureswill reach into theupper 80s to near 90across South Florida aswarmer and muggier conditionspersist.
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The frontal system will continue to progress eastward overnight with scattered showers continuing over the Eastern Panhandle and Northeast Florida where a rumble of thunder or two cannot be ruled out (50-70% chance of rain).
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A few isolated showers may linger along and near the I-4 corridor as well (25-40% chance of rain).
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Patchy fog will be possible overnight and early Sunday morning throughout much of the Peninsula, withinstances of dense fog possible throughout West-Central and South Florida by sunrise.
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Low temperatures will fall into the upper 40s to middle 50s across North Florida, lower to middle 60s in Central Florida, and middle 60s to lower 70s across South Florida.
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Amoderate risk for rip currentsis expected for all Panhandle and most East Coast beaches today.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Friday, December 5th, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Scattered showers are ongoing this morning along the Panhandle as a frontal system remains draped along the gulf coast and northern gulf waters.
- The systems warm front boundary over the Panhandle will extend northward into southern Georgia and will continue pull moisture from the gulf waters leading to additional rounds of scattered to widespread showers and embedded thunderstorms (40-80% chance of rain).
- There is a chance for embedded thunderstorms to become locally strong to severe along the Panhandle this morning, then extending into the Big Bend this afternoon.
- These strong to severe thunderstorms will be capable of producing damaging wind gusts (45-60 mph) and an embedded tornado or two.
- Widespread rainfall will continue to be beneficial for the Panhandle and Big Bend with ongoing drought conditions; hwoever, locally heavy downpours or repeated rainfall over the same areas could prompt nuisance flooding for urban corridors.
- Rainfall totals of 1-2" of rainfall is anticipated along the Panhandle and western Big Bend, with locally higher totals uwpards of 3" possible.
- High temperatures will reach the upper 50s along the Panhandle and upper 60s to upper 70s for the rest of North Florida. Central and South Florida will see high temperatures in the lower to middle 80s.
- The frontal system will continue to approach from the west overnight keeping scattered shower activity ongoing across North Florida (25-55% chance of rain).
- Patchy fog will develop overnight and early Saturday morning throughout the state, with locally dense fog possible from the Suwannee Valley and extending into Central Florida by sunrise.
- Low temperatures will fall into the upper 40s to upper 50s across North Florida, lower to middle 60s across Central Florida and middle 60s to lower 70s across South Florida.
- A moderate to high risk for rip currents will persist along the Panhandle with breezy onshore winds. Numerous East Coast beaches will see a moderate risk.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, December 4, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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Showers and embedded thunderstorms are ongoing this morning across the western Panhandle as southwesterly flow ushers in abundant tropical moisture ahead of the next approaching frontal system.
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Scattered to widespread showers and embedded thunderstorms will slide eastward across the remainder of the Panhandle this afternoon (55-90% chance of rain), with isolated activity spreading eastward towards Northeast Florida this evening and early tonight (15-30% chance of rain).
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Although there is no organized risk for flash flooding,locally heavy rainfall may lead to some instances ofnuisance flooding across the western Panhandle, especially in urban and low-lying/poor drainage locations.
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A few embedded thunderstorms could belocally strong and capable ofheavy downpours and lightning.
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Rainfall totals will generally remain below 1" across the Western Panhandle, thoughlocally higher amountsupwards of 2-3" cannot be ruled out in any areas that receive repeated rounds of heavy downpours.
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Relative humidities willapproach critical thresholds (35-40% RH values) across the Big Bend and Northeast Florida early this afternoon which may lead tolocally sensitive wildfire conditions given the ongoing severe drought.
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Shower activity may subside across the Panhandle overnight, though a few isolated to widely scattered showers will still linger (40-60% chance of rain) before another round of activity develops towards daybreak Friday morning across the western Panhandle (75-90% chance of rain).
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Across Central and South Florida, high pressure and dry conditions will continue to prevail.
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High temperatures will remain the warmest across the central and southern tiers of the state reaching the middle 70s to lower 80s.
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Cloud cover and rainfall will keep temperatures much cooler across the Panhandle today, only reaching the 50s.
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Low temperatures will remain the coolest over the Panhandle overnight, hovering in the middle 40s to lower 50s as the shower activity lingers.
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Lows will dip into the upper 50s to lower 60s across Northeast and Central Florida, with coastal Southeast Florida only reaching the lower 70s.
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There is amoderate risk for rip currentsfor all Panhandle and East Coast beaches today.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Wednesday, December 3, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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Sunshine will return across the state as cloud cover burns off this morning and into the early afternoon hours as high pressure moves over the Southeast U.S..
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Yesterday's cold front will continue to push offshore from South Florida and the Keys today allowing for a near-zero chance of rain to return.
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Sensitive to locally elevated wildfire conditionswill persist across North Florida as dry conditions return and yesterday's rainfall was minimal over drought stricken areas.
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High temperatures will reach the middle 50s to middle 60s across North Florida, upper 60s and 70s across Central Florida and upper 70s to lower 80s across South Florida.
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High pressure will shift closer towards the state and weaken overnight keeping mostly dry conditions in place.
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A few light showers may drift back into the western Panhandle near sunrise with the next frontal system approaching (15-25% chance of rain).
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Low temperatures will fall into theupper 30s to middle 40s across North Florida, upper 40s to middle 50s across Central Florida and upper 50s to upper 60s across South Florida.
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Feels-like temperaturesnear sunrise Thursday morning will fall into thelower to middle 30sfor the Panhandle andmiddle toupper 30salong the western Big Bend.
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Northerly to northwesterly winds and ocean swells of 1-3' will lead to amoderate risk for rip currentsacross the beaches statewide.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Monday, December 2, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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Widespread rainfall and embedded thunderstorms continues this morning across the Big Bend ahead of a cold front, with scattered showers further out ahead over Northeast Florida.
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This shower and embedded thunderstorm activity will continue to push eastward across North and Central Florida today with the cold front (50-80% chance of rain).
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Through the morning and afternoon hoursembedded strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible throughout the Big Bend and Suwannee River Valley -Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather.
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Any strong to severe thunderstorm that develops will be capable of producing lightning, damaging wind gusts (40-60 mph), an isolated tornado or two and locally heavy rainfall.
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There is no organized risk for flash flooding today as the rainfall will be very beneficial to help with ongoing drought conditions and dry soils.
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Rainfall totals upwards of 1" are possible throughout the day for much of the Big Bend, Northeast and Central Florida.
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Once the center low pressure moves further northeast later today towards the Carolina's, the cold front will push through the Peninsula and weaken keeping shower activity more isolated to scattered in nature (25-55% chance of rain).
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Behind the cold front breezier winds will develop as high pressure shifts eastward leading towind gusts of 15-25 mph across North and Central Florida this afternoon.
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High temperatures will reach the middle to upper 70s across North Florida, lower 80s across Central Florida and lower to middle 80s across South Florida.
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Drier conditions will filter into the state behind the cold front as it pushes offshore from South Florida overnight; however, a few light sprinkles or brief showers along the front may be possible (15-20% chance of rain).
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Low temperatures will fall into the30s along the Panhandle and 40s to lower 50s for the Big Bend and rest of North Florida, middle 50s to middle 60s across Central Florida and upper 60s to lower 70s across South Florida.
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Somepatchy frost may be possible early Tuesday in shady spots along the northwestern Panhandle where temperatures approach near freezing.
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Feels-like temperatures (wind chills) will dip into thelower to middle 30sacross the Panhandle and western Big Bend andupper 30s to lower 40s across the Central Big Bend by sunrise.
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Amoderate to high risk for rip currentspersist along all Panhandle and East Coast beaches today due to breezy winds andswells of 2-4'.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
