RSS Morning Sitrep
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Saturday, January 10, 2026
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
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Areas oflocally dense fogacross Northeast Florida and the coastal Panhandle will dissipate mid to late morning, giving way to a warm and mostly dry day statewide.
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A few light coastal showers will be possible along the I-95 corridor of East-Central and Southeast Florida today, though any activity will be brief in nature (15-25% chance of rain).
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A few scattered showers or embedded thunderstorms are likely later this afternoon and evening across the western Panhandle as a cold front approaches (50-80% chance of rain).
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AMarginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Thunderstormsis outlooked for the western Panhandle where a fewlocally strong to severe storms could produce gusty winds, heavy downpours, and possibly a brief tornado.
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Rainfall totals will generally remain below 0.5" west of US-231, thoughlocally higher amountsupwards of 1-2" cannot be ruled out.
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Southerly winds ahead of this approaching cold front will increase today, with wind gustsupwards of 25 mphpossible across the Panhandle this afternoon.
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High temperatures will remain warm to possiblynear record warmthacross North Florida this afternoon, with highs in the upper 70s to middle 80s expected statewide.
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The broken line of showers and embedded thunderstorms will trek eastward across the Panhandle early overnight, weakening as it does so.
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Only a few scattered showers are expected across the Panhandle and Big Bend (30-50% chance of rain), though a rumble of thunder cannot be ruled out.
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This line of showers will begin to approach Northeast Florida by daybreak Sunday.
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A few lingering coastal showers are also possible across coastal Southeast Florida and the Keys overnight (15-25% chance of rain).
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With moist southerly flow ahead of the cold front across Central Florida, another night offog and low cloudswill be possible, some of which could belocally dense.
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Low temperatures will cool off in the wake of the front across the Panhandle tonight, dipping into the upper 40s to middle 50s.
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Warmer overnight lows in the upper 50s to middle 60s can be expected across the Peninsula, with coastal Southeast Florida and the Keys only reaching the upper 60s to lower 70s.
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Amoderate tohigh risk for rip currentsis expected for all Panhandle and East Coast beaches today.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Friday, January 9th, 2026
EOC Activation Level: Level
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Another warm and mostly dry day is on tap for the Sunshine State as high pressure remains anchored over the Southeast U.S.
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Locally dense fogacross coastal Northeast Florida and portions of the Panhandle will dissipate by mid-morning, giving way to mostly to partly sunny skies this afternoon.
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A few coastal showers (near 15% chance of rain) are possible along the Space and Treasure Coasts this afternoon, as well as across the far western Panhandle where an approaching cold front may bring a few isolated showers (15-25% chance of rain).
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Breezy southerly winds ahead of this front will bring wind gustsupwards of 20 mphacross the Panhandle this afternoon.
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High temperatures will climb into the upper 70s to middle 80s across the state today, which will approachrecord warm temperaturesfor many across North Florida.
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Sea fog off the Northeast Florida coastline will retreat this afternoon before spreading back inland this evening and overnight.
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Additional instances oflocally dense fogare likely overnight tonight across portions of North and Central Florida, andDense Fog Advisories will be issued as conditions warrant.
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AMarginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Thunderstormsis outlooked across the far western Panhandle overnight where a fewlocally strong to severe thunderstormsmay develop by daybreak Saturday.
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A few of these thunderstorms could produce gusty winds, heavy downpours, and an isolated weak tornado.
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There is aMarginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Floodingacross northern Santa Rosa and Okaloosa counties tonight where somelocally heavy downpourscould bringnuisance flooding and ponding of water.
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Low temperatures will dip into the upper 50s to middle 60s nearly statewide tonight, the exception being coastal Southeast Florida and the Keys that will only reach the upper 60s to lower 70s.
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Amoderate tohigh risk for rip currentsis expected for all Panhandle and East Coast beaches today with breezy onshore winds.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, January 8, 2026
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
- Fog and low clouds have developed across much of North and Central Florida this morning, some of which is locally dense.
- Dense Fog Advisories are in effect until 10 AM EST but could be extended longer in places where fog is slower to dissipate.
- Areas of sea fog along Gulf-facing shorelines may linger through the morning hours as well.
- Another mostly dry and warm day is on tap for the Sunshine State. Mostly sunny skies can be expected across Central and South Florida, though a bit more cloud cover is expected across North Florida.
- Onshore winds paired with locally available moisture may bring a few brief showers to coastal Southeast Florida today, though activity will not be widespread in nature (10-15% chance of rain).
- High temperatures will climb into the middle 70s to middle 80s statewide, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year across North and Central Florida.
- If foggy conditions and cloud cover lingers longer, then high temperatures may be slightly cooler than forecast.
- Another round of fog and low clouds will develop overnight across the state, some of which could be locally dense, especially across portions of the Panhandle, Big Bend, and North-Central Florida.
- Dense Fog Advisories will be issued as conditions warrant tonight.
- Low temperatures will fall into the middle 50s to lower 60s across the state tonight, the exception being coastal Southeast Florida and the Keys where lows will only reach the upper 60s to lower 70s.
- A moderate risk for rip currents is expected for Panhandle, East-Central, and Southeast Florida beaches today.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Wednesday, January 7th, 2026
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
- A rinse and repeat of yesterday can be expected with the current weather pattern holding steady across the state.
- Widespread fog this morning will slowly lift and dissipate, and Dense Fog Advisories throughout the Peninsula are set to expire at 9:00-10:00 AM EST.
- Sea fog along the Big Bend and West-Central Florida coast may linger longer this morning and towards the midday hours due to the warmer air over the cooler waters.
- Mostly dry conditions can be expected today with a mixture of sunshine and cloud cover throughout the state.
- There may be a very slight chance for some light sprinkles or mist along the northern Panhandle today, especially this morning with foggy conditions (less than 10% chance of rain).
- High temperatures will continue their warming trend this week reaching the middle 70s to lower 80s across the state this afternoon.
- If foggy conditions and cloud cover lingers longer, then high temperatures may be slightly cooler than forecast.
- Dry and calm conditions overnight will persist allowing for another round of widespread fog coverage throughout the state by early Thursday morning.
- Dense Fog conditions will be possible for many areas, and Dense Fog Advisories will be issued as needed.
- Low temperatures will fall into the upper 50s to upper 60s overnight statewide.
A moderate risk for rip currents will persist along Panhandle and East Coast beaches due to onshore winds
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, January 6th, 2026
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
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Another round ofscattered to widespread fog this morning, withareas of dense fog throughout the state.
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Dense Fog Advisories are in effect until 9:00 AM EST but may be extended if the fog is slower to lift and clear out.
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Low clouds and fog will continue to gradually lift and dissipate this morning.
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Sea fog may linger slightly longer this morning near the coastlines and coastal waters before drifting away and dissipating.
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Mostly dry conditions can be expected throughout the daytime hours, with a chance for some brief sprinkles along the Panhandle and the coastlines where moisture is locally available (less than 10% chance of rain).
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Temperatures will continue togradually warm up reaching the lower to middle 70s across North Florida and upper 70s to lower 80s across the Peninsula.
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Clear, calm and dry conditions overnight will lead towidespread fog development overnight and early Wednesday morning statewide.
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Dense Fog Advisories will be issued as conditions warrant. Low temperatures will fall into the middle 50s to middle 60s statewide overnight.
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Amoderate risk for rip currents returns to the Panhandle and East Coast as calmer winds and marine conditions return.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
