RSS Morning Sitrep
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Monday, March 23rd, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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Foggy conditions this morning will give way to ample sunshine and another warm afternoon statewide; a few interior Florida Big Bend locations make a run toward the90-degree mark.
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Wind gustsof15-25 mph will be possible across North Florida during the peak heating hours of the day.
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The recent uptick in wildfire activity and brush burns across North Florida and southern Georgia will result in continuedhaze and smokeover portions of the Florida Panhandle and Big Bend;air quality will likely degrade through the afternoon and evening hours.
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Weak frontal boundary will move southward tonight with little to no fanfare aside from a stray shower or two along the Northeast Florida coastline (10-25% chance of rain).
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The combination of very dry conditions and low relative humidity values (30-40%) will result in another day of sensitive tolocally elevated wildfireconditions statewide.
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Fog and low cloudslikely across Central and Southwest Florida, with computer forecast models suggesting the greatest chance oflocally dense fogresiding along the I-4 corridor through the Tuesday morning commute.
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Amoderate risk of rip currentscan be expected for many Florida Panhandle and East Coast beaches,locally high riskconditions for Gulf County and Palm Beach County coastlines.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Sunday, March 22nd, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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Mostly sunny skies, near-zero rain chances, and warm afternoon temperatures can be expected across Florida, courtesy of an area of high pressure establishing its residence over the eastern Gulf waters.
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Isolated wind gusts reaching15-25 mphpossible across North Florida and interior Central this afternoon.
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The recent uptick in brush burn and wildfire activity across North Florida may result in periods ofhaze and smoke, maximizing this afternoon and evening over the Florida Panhandle and Big Bend.
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The primary weather headline will bepatchy to locally dense fogdevelopment along the Florida Gulf Coast and inland at the I-4 corridor tonight into Monday morning;Dense Fog Advisories will be issued as conditions warrant this afternoon and evening.
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Another day of critically low relative humidity values (25-30%) are expected across much of North and interior Central Florida, maintainingsensitive tolocally elevated wildfire conditions.
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Ahigh risk of rip currentswill persist at Florida East Coast beaches today, withmoderate riskconditions along the Florida Panhandle.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Saturday, March 21, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- High pressure will build across the Gulf states today bringing sunny skies and dry conditions.
- Chances of rain will remain near zero as dry air filters across the state.
- High temperatures will climb into the 80s across interior locations this afternoon, with coastal locations remaining in the 70s.
- Critically low relative humidities (25-30%) are expected across much of North and interior Central Florida this afternoon which will encourage sensitive to locally elevated wildfire conditions.
- A recent uptick in local brush burn and wildfire activity has brought increased smoke across the I-10 corridor, especially throughout the Big Bend where air quality conditions are poor.
- These poor air quality conditions will continue today, likely peaking during the afternoon and evening hours.
- Easterly winds with gusts upwards of 20 mph across North Florida will blow wildfire smoke throughout the region, with areas of smoke and haze expected this afternoon.
- Lows tonight will reach the lower to middle 50s across interior locations throughout the Panhandle and Peninsula, with coastal locations remaining in the middle 50s to lower 60s.
- Increasing southerly flow and low-level moisture throughout the Panhandle, Big Bend, and North-Central Florida will encourage areas of fog and low clouds to develop after midnight.
- Some of this fog could become locally dense and Dense Fog Advisories will be issued as conditions warrant. Should fog mix with smoke from any active wildfires, visibilities will be significantly reduced.
- A high risk for rip currents persists for all East Coast beaches. A moderate risk is expected for the Panhandle.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Friday, March 20, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- High pressure will settle over the Southeast U.S. today bringing sunny and dry conditions to much of the state.
- Elevated northeasterly onshore winds will continue along the I-95 corridor and Southeast Florida today, with wind gusts upwards of 20-30 mph possible.
- A slight chance for an isolated shower remains along the Southeast coastline today (20-30% chance of rain), though any activity is expected to be light and brief in nature.
- High temperatures will climb into the 70s throughout much of the state, with West-Central and Southwest Florida being the warmest location shielded by the strongest winds.
- Critically low relative humidities (20-25%) are expected across North Florida this afternoon which will keep a sensitive to locally elevated wildfire risk in place.
- A recent uptick in local brush burn and wildfire activity has brought increased smoke across the I-10 corridor, especially throughout the Big Bend where air quality conditions are poor.
- With light northeasterly winds expected today, areas of smoke and haze will continue across portions of North Florida.
- Winds will shift out of the south and east tonight, which should help to scour out and blow much of the smoke away from the state.
- Low temperatures will remain on the chillier side tonight, dipping into the middle 40s to lower 40s throughout much of interior North and Central Florida.
- Lows in the middle 50s to lower 60s can be expected along the Panhandle and Big Bend coast and for Peninsula beaches.
- Fog chances will remain very low tonight; however, isolated instances of fog and low clouds cannot be ruled out across the interior Peninsula.
- Should fog mix with smoke from any active wildfires, visibilities will be significantly reduced.
- A high risk for rip currents is outlooked for all East Coast beaches today with elevated surf of 4-6' lingering. A moderate risk is expected for Panhandle and Southwest Florida beaches.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, March 19, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Our late season cool pattern comes to an end; however, brisk northeasterly winds keep afternoon highs mild across North and East Florida.
- Wind gusts of 20-25 mph can be expected, with locally higher wind gusts upwards of 30 mph possible along the immediate Atlantic beachfront.
- Onshore flow will allow for isolated to widely scattered showers (35-50% chance of rain) along coastal East-Central and Southeast Florida.
- West-Central and Southwest Florida will be the warmest spots on the map today with afternoon high temperatures returning into the middle to upper 70s.
- While warmer than recent nights, low temperatures will remain chilly in the lower 40s across North Florida and the Nature Coast, with a few interior locations making a run toward the upper 30s one more night.
- While it is looking like a greater concern for this weekend, patchy fog and low clouds may be possible tonight across interior Northeast Florida areas.
- Recent wetting rains have been certainly beneficial in the short-term; however, we will need several more rounds of rainfall to push the needle out of the deficit and improve the long-term drought and dry soil/vegetation conditions.
- Exceptional (level 4 of 4) drought has been introduced over eastern Madison, Northern Gilchrist, western Suwannee, and Hamilton counties; portions of the Florida-Georgia state line saw worsening soil moisture and several streamflow gauges moved into record-low territory for mid-March.
- Relative humidity values will drop once again into the 20s and 30s across North and interior North-Central Florida, leading to locally sensitive to elevated wildfire conditions.
- A high risk of rip currents continues to Florida East Coast and West-Central Florida beaches; moderate risk conditions persist for the Florida Panhandle and Southwest Florida coastline.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
