RSS Morning Sitrep
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, February 12, 2026
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
- Dense Fog Advisories remain in effect until 10:00 AM EST across Central Florida and the adjacent Gulf coastal waters for areas of patchy dense fog that will slowly dissipate.
- Some areas of fog may linger longer, especially near the coast, and extensions of the Dense Fog Advisories cannot be ruled out.
- A mostly sunny day is expected for both North and South Florida where chances of rain will remain near zero.
- Across Central Florida, a weak frontal boundary will remain draped over the region promoting cloudy skies and an isolated chance of a shower this afternoon (20-30% chance of rain).
- To the north of this front, drier air will filter into the state with relative humidities dipping tonear critical thresholds, mainly north of the I-10 corridor (30-40% RH values).
- Given the ongoing severetoextreme drought, this will encourage elevated wildfire conditions this afternoon.
- Highs will reach the 70s for much of the state this afternoon, with areas of coastal Northeast Florida staying in the middle to upper 60s and interior South Florida creeping into the lower 80s.
- A few isolated showers may linger along the Treasure Coast this evening before clearing overnight (15-25% chance of rain).
- Another round of patchy fog and low clouds is expected across Central and South Florida tonight, especially along the Gulf-facing coasts and adjacent interior locations where areas of dense fog cannot be ruled out.
- Lows will cool off into the lower to middle 40s across North Florida, middle 50s in Central Florida, and upper 50s to lower 60s in South Florida.
- A moderate risk for rip currents is expected for all Panhandle and East Coast beaches today.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Wednesday, February 11th, 2026
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
- Foggy conditions across the state will gradually lift and dissipate across the state throughout the morning.
- An upper-level feature moving towards and into North Florida has brough some isolated shower activity this morning, and this shower activity will continue throughout the morning and into the early afternoon (20-30% chance of rain).
- For the rest of the state, dry conditions can be expected to persist as shower activity will really struggle to make it further south.
- Pockets of dry air throughout the interior Peninsula will lead to relative humidity values falling near critical thresholds (35-40%) this afternoon.
- Slightly more elevated wind gusts will return across North Florida this afternoon reaching 10-15 mph, but by the late afternoon hours the Suwannee Valley could see gusts upwards of 20 mph.
- As warm and dry conditions persist, along with the ongoing drought, elevated wildfire conditions will also persist.
- High temperatures will warm up into the 70s throughout the state this afternoon and possibly eclipse 80-degrees in some spots.
- A cold front will push through North Florida this evening and overnight bringing an additional round of brief showers (15-25% chance of rain).
- Low-level moisture moving onshore and inland from the coastal waters, along with calm winds will allow for fog development overnight and into Thursday morning.
- Instances of locally dense fog cannot be ruled out.
- Foggy conditions combined with ongoing smoke from wildfires will further reduce visibilities, and caution should be advised during the morning commute.
- Low temperatures will fall into the 50s across the state, with coastal areas seeing low temperatures near the lower 60s.
- Lingering long-period ocean swells upwards of 3' will continue to create a moderate to high risk for rip currents along the East Coast.
- Panhandle beaches will maintain a moderate risk as well.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Monday, February 9th, 2026
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
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Warm and pleasant conditions can be expected to continue from the weekend across the Sunshine State after the cool morning start.
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Areas of patchy dense fog this morning will continue to gradually lift and dissipate, especially along the I-95 corridor.
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High pressure overhead will continue to bring plenty of sunshine and a near-zero chance of rain throughout the day.
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Relative humidity values continue to slowly recover, but interior areas across Northeast Florida and the Peninsula will see values near or at critical thresholds (25-35%).
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The ongoing drought conditions and recent very dry conditions will help contribute to the elevated wildfire threat.
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High temperatures will reach the upper 60s to upper 70s this afternoon.
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Clear and calm conditions can be expected to persist into the overnight hours.
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Onshore winds will bring moisture inland from the coastal waters allowing forpatchy to locally dense fog to develop by the early morning hours.
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Foggy conditions combined with smoke from ongoing wildfires will further reduce visibilities overnight and into the morning hours on Tuesday.
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Low temperatures will all into the upper 30s to upper 40s across North Florida, upper 40s to lower 50s across Central Florida and 50s across South Florida.
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Calmer marine conditions returning to the Panhandle and West Coast will also allow for amoderate risk for rip currentsto return.
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East Coast beaches will continue to see amoderate tohigh risk for rip currentswith lingeringswells of 3-5'and onshore winds.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Sunday, February 8th, 2026
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
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Behind yesterday’s dry cold front, achilly startthis morning across much of the state.
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Freeze WarningsandFrost Advisoriesacross Northeast Florida and the Suwannee Valley will expire mid-morning as conditions warm up.
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Another day filled with plenty of sunshine can be expected across the state as high pressure conditions dominate.
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While lighter winds will return today, relative humidity values for much of the state will fall backnear or into critical thresholds (20-35%)this afternoon.
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This will continue to keep theelevated wildfire conditionsin place today, especially with the expanding and worsening drought from the winter season.
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Ongoing smoke from the Buggy Fire in South Florida may createreduced visibilities and hazy conditionsacross the region throughout the day.
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High temperatures will reach the 60s to middle 70s across the state this afternoon leading to a pleasant day.
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Cool and calm conditions can be expected overnight across the state.
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Low-level moisture beginning to return across the state will lead toinstances of fogdeveloping late overnight and into the early morning hours on Monday.
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With ongoing wildfires, fog development combined with wildfire smoke may lead to afurther reduction of visibilitiesMonday morning.
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Low temperatures overnight will fall into theupper 30sto middle 40s across North Florida, middle to upper 40s across Central Florida and 50s across South Florida.
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Onshore winds and oceanswells of 4-7'will keep amoderate to high risk for rip currents in place along the Florida East Coast.
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Calmer conditions will return to the Gulf Coast, but amoderate riskis still in place for numerous beaches with alocally high risk in Southwest Florida.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Saturday, February 7, 2026
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
- Another sunny, dry, and pleasant day is on tap for the Sunshine State as high pressure settles across the region.
- A very dry airmass will filter across the entire state this afternoon with critically low relative humidities expected statewide.
- Paired with a few breezy wind gusts upwards of 20-25 mph, elevated wildfire conditions are expected across much of the state, especially given the ongoing drought.
- Locally critical wildfire conditions cannot be ruled out in areas under the most severe drought that see occasionally higher wind gusts.
- High temperatures this afternoon will reach the lower to middle 60s in North Florida and upper 60s to middle 70s in Central and South Florida.
- Dry conditions will continue to prevail overnight.
- Winds will quickly subside early this evening as relative humidities also recover, which will reduce the wildfire risk overnight.
- Lows will reach the upper 20s to lower 30s across North Florida tonight and a Freeze Warning is in effect for portions of Northeast Florida, mainly along and north of the I-10 corridor.
- A Freeze Watch remains in effect for areas south of the I-10 corridor across Northeast Florida and the Suwannee River Valley.
- Instances of patchy frost may develop across much of North Florida tonight.
- Lows in the upper 30s to lower 40s is expected across Central Florida, and middle 40s to middle 50s in South Florida.
- A moderate to high risk for rip currents is expected for all statewide beaches today.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
