RSS Morning Sitrep
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Wednesday, May 14, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- After an active weather pattern the last few days, dry conditions will return to the Sunshine State as high pressure moves over the eastern gulf waters.
- Plenty of sunshine with some cloud cover mixed in can be expected across the state throughout the day.
- Spotty brief showers in areas of localized pockets of moisture across the central Peninsula but overall confidence in showers is low (10-15% chance of rain).
- High temperatures will reach the middle to upper 80s and lower 90s this afternoon, with heat index values climbing into the lower 90s nearly statewide.
- Calm and quiet conditions will persist throughout the overnight hours, which may give way to instances of patchy fog during the early morning hours on Thursday.
- Low temperatures will fall into the middle to upper 60s and lower 70s overnight, with portions of Southeast Florida and the Keys seeing low temperatures only in the middle 70s.
- A moderate risk for rip currents can be expected for numerous East Coast beaches with a high risk along Panhandle beaches as calm marine conditions return.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, May 13, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Dense fog and low clouds have developed this morning along portions of the I-95 corridor reducing visibility to ¼ of a mile or less at times, but will continue to lift and dissipate by the mid-morning hours.
- Less of an active weather pattern compared to the last few days can be expected today; however, isolated to widely scattered showers will linger across the state during the daytime hours (10-35% chance of rain).
- Embedded thunderstorms will be possible, and a locally strong thunderstorm or two cannot be ruled out.
- Rainfall within shower activity should remain relatively light, but thunderstorms may bring locally heavy downpours.
- High temperatures will reach the the lower to middle 80s throughout the state this afternoon.
- Feels-like temperatures will reach into the lower 90s this afternoon across portions of South Florida.
- Drier air will continue to filter in overnight as the upper-level disturbance continues to move northward and away from the state.
- A few showers and embedded thunderstorms may continue overnight along the Florida Keys overnight (20-30% chance of rain).
- Instances of fog may be possible early Wednesday morning throughout the state, locally dense fog possible across the Panhandle and Big Bend.
- Low temperatures will fall into the middle to upper 60s and lower 70s.
- A moderate to high risk for rip currents persists nearly statewide, but conditions have improved from yesterday.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Monday, May 12, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- The wet and active weather pattern will continue throughout the state today as the upper-level disturbance continues to push northward over the Southeast U.S.
- Scattered showers and thunderstorms can be expected throughout the day, with more widespread activity across the Florida Peninsula due to a cold front associated with the disturbance (65-100% chance of rain).
- Embedded strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible throughout the Big Bend and Florida Peninsula, especially during the peak heating hours of the day - Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather.
- Damaging wind gusts (50-60 mph), an isolated tornado or two, instances of large hail and heavy downpours will all be possible within embedded strong to severe thunderstorms.
- The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) is outlooking a Marginal to Slight Risk (level 1-2 of 4) for Flash Flooding from the Big Bend and throughout the Peninsula, with a Moderate Risk (level 3 of 4) for Flash Floodingacross the Southeast Metro through today.
- A Flood Watch has been introduced across South Florida as moderate to heavy rainfall through Tuesday morning could lead to flooding across urban and low-lying/poor drainage areas despite ongoing drought.
- Widespread rainfall totals of 1-3" will be possible across the state, with locally higher totals upwards of 4-8" possible across East-Central and Southeast Florida where repeated rounds of heavy rainfall will be possible.
- High temperatures will reach the upper 70s to lower 80s throughout the state with increased cloud cover and rain chances.
- Drier conditions will begin to filter in behind the cold front throughout the overnight hours as it shifts offshore across South Florida, but lingering showers and thunderstorms will be possible (45-60% chance of rain).
- Instances of fog will be possible early Tuesday morning throughout the Peninsula.
- Low temperatures will fall into the middle to upper 60s across North Florida, upper 60s to lower 70s across Central Florida and lower to middle 70sa cross South Florida.
- A high risk for rip currents can be expected nearly statewide, with a few beaches along the Nature Coast seeing a moderate risk, due to elevated surf and onshore winds.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Sunday, May 11th, 2025
Morning Situation ReportFlorida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- The active and unsettled weather pattern will continue today across the Sunshine State with multiple rounds of widespread shower and thunderstorm activity.
- An upper-level disturbance will continue to bring scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms onshore across the Panhandle and West Coast throughout the day (60-95% chance of rain).
- Throughout the rest of the Peninsula, daily sea breeze shower and thunderstorm activity will be enhanced by the nearby disturbance also leading to scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms (65-90% chance of rain).
- The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is outlooking a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather across North and into Central Florida as embedded strong to severe thunderstorms will be capable of producing lightning, damaging wind gusts (50-60 mph), embedded tornadoes, instances of large hail and heavy downpours.
- Multiple rounds of activity, some with locally heavy downpours, may lead to onset flash flooding especially areas that have already seen heavy rainfall over the last few days.
- The Weather Prediction center (WPC) is outlooking a Slight Risk (level 2 of 4) for Flash Flooding throughout most of North Florida and extending into Central Florida, with a Marginal Risk (level 1of 4) through Central Florida.
- A Flood Watch also remains in effect across portions of the Panhandle and Big Bend through the weekend for the potential for widespread rainfall.
- High temperatures will reach the middle 70s to lower 80s across North Florida, while Central and South Florida will see high temperatures in the middle to upper 80s.
- Feels-like temperatures throughout interior Central and South Florida will reach the lower to middle 90s this afternoon.
- Shower and thunderstorm activity will continue into the evening and overnight hours as the disturbance begins to move inland across the Southeast U.S.
- Showers and thunderstorms will linger across North Florida as drier air attempts to move in behind the system, but scattered to numerous showers nd thunderstorms will continue across the Peninsula (40-90% chance of rain).
- Instances of fog cannot be ruled out early Monday morning throughout the state.
- Low temperatures will fall into the 60s and 70s overnight.
- A moderate to high risk for rip currents can be expected statewide due to onshore winds and elevated surf near 2-4'.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Saturday, May 10th, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Active and unsettled weather pattern will bring a multi-day period of heavy rainfall and isolated strong to severe thunderstorms throughout North and Central Florida.
- The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is now outlooking a Slight Risk (level 2 of 5) for Severe Weather along central portions of the Florida Panhandle, with a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) extending south through the I-4 corridor.
- Primary concerns will be locally damaging wind gusts (45-60 mph), frequent lightning, isolated hail, and heavy rainfall rates; localized greater threat for embedded tornadoes resides along and west of the Apalachicola River.
- Shower and thunderstorm activity maximizes in coverage and intensity through the daytime heating hours, with elevated rain and thunderstorm chances continuing overnight.
- Flood Watches will remain in effect for portions of the Florida Panhandle and Big Bend through Monday morning as multiple rounds of heavy rainfall will lead to a quicker onset to flash flooding and ponding water.
- The Weather Prediction Center (WPC) is highlighting a Slight Risk (level 2 of 4) for Flash Flooding along the Florida Panhandle today, especially for typical trouble spots and areas that have already received heavier rainfall totals yesterday.
- Temperatures will reach the 80s and 90s statewide, with interior Florida Peninsula locations feeling like the middle to upper 90s before rain relief this afternoon.
- Southerly flow across the Sunshine State will give way to a high risk of rip currents along Florida Panhandle beaches, with moderate risk conditions persisting along the Atlantic Coast.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
