RSS Morning Sitrep
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Sunday, June 7th, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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Weather conditions across the State today will be similar to Saturday.
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Some of the storms across the western Panhandle today may contain heavy rainfall, and aMarginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Floodingis possible across Escambia and Santa Rosa counties.
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Heat index values could reach the upper 90s to low 100sthis afternoon across South Florida. Across North and Central Florida, heat indices should be in the mid 90s, but the lower humidity will also increase the fire danger.
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Elevated onshore winds will continue ahigh risk for rip currentsfor most Panhandle and all Southeast beaches today.
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Relative humidity levels will be low across North and Central FL at around 35-50% but should stay above critical thresholds. Winds will be out of the east/southeast today, with gusts of <15mphexpected. These features should all promote at leastsensitivefire weather conditions today. According to theFlorida Forest Service, there are 36 active wildfires across the state burning approximately 7,354 acres.
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A few tropical waves are located in the eastern and central Caribbean Sea, as well as near the Yucatan Peninsula. However, none of these are expected to develop into tropical systems within the next 7 days.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Saturday, June 6th, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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High pressure remains firmly in place over Florida, keeping conditions hot and dry for the majority of the state.
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The only exceptions to this is in South Florida where lingering moisture may be enough to squeeze out a few light showers today (10-20% chance of rain), and the extreme Western Panhandle due to the proximity of the remnants of a weak Gulf Low (40-60% chance of rain).
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The heavy rainfall potential from these remnants have prompted the issuance of aMarginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding today across Escambia and Santa Rosa counties.
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The risk of flash flooding appears highly conditional for Florida given its positioning near the eastern extent of the associated moisture plume and thus will be dependent on how far west moisture will extend and if any lines of training showers and storms develop overtop these counties.
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Current rainfall forecasts are generally around 1’ across Escambia and Santa Rosa counties, but some isolated totals of2-3’ appear possible.
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Otherwise,sensitivewildfire conditions are expected to continue today.
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This is especially true across North-Central FL, where we are expecting afternoon low minimum relative humidity values between35-40%.
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These values are significantly below-average for this time of year, even if it doesn't quite exceed critical thresholds.
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The fire weather threat is still marginal overall, as wind gusts today will max out at only around 10-15mph and fuels remain largely saturated from recent heavy rainfall.
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However, hot and dry weather overlapping with areas that have been subjected to long-term drought conditions, and that have seen multiple wildfire reignitions/new ignitions over the past two days, invites the need for some fire weather awareness today.
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High temperatures across most of the state today will be in theupper 80s to lower 90s.
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The East Coast will remain a little cooler, with highs in the mid 80s as easterly onshore flow helps modulate afternoon high temperatures somewhat.
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Lows will generally be in lower to middle 70s tonight.
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Elevated onshore winds will bring ahigh risk for rip currents for most Panhandle and all Southeast beaches today. Amoderate risk for rip currents is expected for Central and Northern East Coast Beaches today where onshore flow is comparatively weaker. A low risk remains in effect for all West Coast beaches.
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According to theFlorida Forest Service, there are 34 active wildfires across the state burning approximately 7,326 acres.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Friday, June 5th, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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A large area of high pressure is settling in overtop Florida, keeping most of the state hot and dry today.
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Chances of rain will be unseasonably low as the high pressure and dry airmass both act to suppress typical afternoon sea breeze driven convection.
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The only exception to this will be in extreme South FL and the Keys (40-70% chance for rain) where a marginally moist airmass remains, allowing for some afternoon showers and thunderstorms to develop.
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Otherwise, the main concern across the state this today will be continuedsensitivewildfire conditions.
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This is especially true across North-Central FL, where we are expecting afternoon low minimum relative humidity values between35-40% - which will be significantly below-average for this time of year even if it does not quite exceed critical thresholds.
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The fire weather threat is still marginal overall, as wind gusts today will max out at only around 15-20mph and fuels remain largely saturated from recent heavy rainfall.
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However, hot and dry conditions overlapping with areas that have been subjected to long-term drought conditions, and that saw multiple wildfire reignitions/new ignitions yesterday afternoon, invites the need for some fire weather awareness today.
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High temperatures across most of the state today will be in theupper 80s to lower 90s.The East Coast will remain a little cooler, with highs in the low to mid 80s as easterly onshore flow helps modulate afternoon high temperatures.
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Lows will generally be in the upper 60s to lower 70s tonight.
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Easterly onshore winds will bring ahigh risk for rip currents for most Panhandle and all East Coast beaches today. A low risk remains in effect for all West Coast beaches.
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According to theFlorida Forest Service, there are 31 active wildfires across the state burning approximately 7,259 acres.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, June 4th, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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The cold front that had been supplying much of the state’s rainfall over the past few days is now positioned over extreme Southern Florida and is poised to fully exit the state today.
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Expectedly, chances for rain are confined to the southern tip of Florida, where a high (50-80%) chance for rain is currently forecast - mostly for Miami-Dade and Monroe counties.
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These areas have already been subject to repeated rounds of heavy rainfall over the past week, prompting the issuance of aMarginal Risk for Flash Flooding today.
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Rainfall totals will generally be between1-2’with some localized areas seeing upwards of3-5’.
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While there is no organized risk for severe weather with any storms in South Florida today, a fewlocally strong storms cannot be ruled out capable of producing frequent lightning and gusty winds (40-50 mph).
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Elsewhere, high pressure is settling in across the northern portions of the state.
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Our central and northern areas are waking up to quite a pleasant morning with widespread temperatures dipping into the mid-upper 50s and low 60s.
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In fact, numerous sites across Northern Florida and the greater Southeast region have already broken their record low temperatures for this date.
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Given the cooler and drier air that has filtered into these areas following yesterday’s frontal passage, minimal cloud coverage and no rainfall is expected today.
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The drier and breezier conditions(gusts of 20-25mph) expected across Northern and Central Florida may promote somesensitivewildfire conditions, although fuels that are still saturated from previous days’ rainfall will likely limit the extent of the danger.
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High temperatures today will be middle to upper 80s across the northern half of the state, with low to mid 80s more likely across the southern half of the state.
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Low temperatures will be in the low to mid 60s across North Florida and in the low to mid 70s across the southern half of the state.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Wednesday, June 3rd, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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A cold front located over Central FL is currently bisecting the state’s weather pattern.
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In the northern half of the state, abnormally cool and dry air for this time of year has moved through in the wake of the front’s passage.
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This will make for pleasant outdoor conditions and near-zero chances of rain, with afternoon highs in the high 70s to low 80s and overnight lows in the upper 50s to low 60s.
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The post-frontal environment will also introduce gusty easterly/northeasterly windsupwards of 30mph for much of Northern and Central Florida today.
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The southern half of the state remains on the moist side of the front and thus retains a high (50-80%) chance of rain today.
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Shower and storm development will be driven by both the front and by typical sea breeze interactions and will likely be ongoing all day.
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Two swaths of moderate to heavy rainfall is already being observed along the central East Coast and the southern tip of the state, respectfully.
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Given the heavy rainfall potential driven by the extremely moist airmass and multiple sources of shower and storm development, aMarginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Floodingis in effect for coastal Southeast FL.
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Expected rainfall totals are around1-2’,with isolated areas of3-5’likely.
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There is no organized risk for severe weather today, however a few storms may belocally strong containingisolated damaging winds.
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High temperatures in the southern half of the state will also be below average (low to mid 80s); however, this is largely a result of widespread cloud and shower/storm coverage rather than frontal passage.
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Low temperatures will be seasonable in the low to mid 70s across the southern half of the state, with metro locations along the southeast coast likely seeing upper 70s to lower 80s tonight.
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Shower and thunderstorm activity in South FL should mostly wane following sunset.
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However, a few localized showers and storms lingering through the overnight hours, especially along coastal southeast FL is likely (40-60% chance) as the nearby front continues to provide an ample source of lift.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
