RSS Morning Sitrep
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, January 22, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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Gradual warming trend continues across the Sunshine State, courtesy of an area of high pressure positioned between two frontal boundaries.
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Showers currently pinned along the Southeast Florida coastline increase in coverage and potentially intensity this afternoon (50-70% chance of rain).
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There is no organized risk for flash flooding; however,rainfall rateswill be the primary trend to monitor as shower and thunderstorm activity will be slow-moving.
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Minor street flooding and ponding water possible along and east of the I-95 corridor should heavier rainfall move onshore.
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Farther north, rain chances will gradually return to the western Florida Panhandle today (30-45% chance of rain), with a few rumbles of thunder possible.
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Lingering low-level moisture within today’s easterly flow may support the development offog and low cloudstonight; greatest potential for reduced visibilities across North Florida.
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Onshore flow and lingering elevated surf will yield amoderate tohigh risk of rip currentsalong the Florida East Coast,moderate riskconditions continue along the Florida Panhandle.
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Improving relative humidity values and calmer winds keep the overall wildfire threatlow statewide.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Wednesday, January 21st, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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A near repeat of yesterday can be expected as high pressure continues to slowly shift eastward towards the Atlantic waters.
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Pleasant conditions with a mixture of sunshine and cloud cover can be expected throughout the day.
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Enough moisture from a frontal boundary to the south, as well as onshore winds, will help to bring a few brief showers along the Southeast Florida coastline and the Keys today (10-20% chance of rain).
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Lingering breezy wind gusts of 20-25 mph will persist along South Florida throughout the day before calming down this evening.
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High temperatures will to the middle 60s to middle 70s across the state this afternoon.
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A few brief sprinkles or showers may drift onshore this evening and overnight along the Treasure Coast and southward, but any activity will remain light (10-30% chance of rain).
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Some patchy fog may attempt to develop early Thursday morning along a portion of Northeast Florida.
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For the first time in several days, the entire state will be above freezing temperatures tonight.
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Low temperatures in the middle to upper 40s can be expected across North Florida, middle 50s to lower 60s across Central Florida and 60s to near 70-degrees across South Florida tonight.
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Elevated surf of 4-9'along the East Coast will create amoderate to high risk for rip currentsalong all beaches. Panhandle beaches will continue to see amoderate risk.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, January 20th, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Plenty of sunshine and a near-zero chance of rain will extend across the state today courtesy of high pressure over the southeast region.
- Breezy wind gusts will linger across South Florida today, with wind gusts reaching 20-25 mph with stronger wind gusts upwards of 30 mph.
- With dry conditions and ongoing drought conditions, sensitive wildfire conditionswill develop throughout much of the state in the afternoon.
- High temperatures will reach the middle to upper 50s across North Florida, 60s across Central Florida and lower to middle 70s across South Florida in the afternoon.
- Another clear and dry night can be expected across the state. Widespread frost will be likely throughout North Florida with temperatures dropping near or below freezing.
- Low temperatures tonight will fall into thelower tomiddle 30s across North Florida,upper 30s to upper 40s across Central Florida, and 50s and 60s across South Florida.
- This will be the last night of sub-freezing temperatures for the next few days. Interior Northeast Florida and the Suwannee Valley will have a Freeze Warninggo into effect tonight through Wednesday morning.
- Feels-like temperatures will remain in the upper 20s tomiddle 30s across North Florida and into the Nature Coast near sunrise Wednesday morning.
- A moderate risk for rip currents can be expected nearly statewide, with a locally high risk along Southeast Florida beaches due to breezy winds and elevated surf near 5-6'.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Monday, January 19, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Temperatures in the 20s and30s were felt across the Sunshine State this morning following yesterday’s potent cold front.
- Freeze Warnings and Cold Weather Advisories will remain in effect nearly statewide through the mid-morning hours as temperatures slowly warm up.
- Dry air and high pressure will lead to plenty of sunshine and a near-zero chance of rain statewide.
- Relative humidity values across much of the state will fall near or below critical thresholds leading to sensitive to locally elevated wildfire conditions due to ongoing drought.
- Lingering breezy wind gusts of 15-20 mph will also persist throughout the daytime hours across the Peninsula
- High temperatures will struggle in the 50s across North Florida this afternoon. Central and South Florida can expect to see temperatures warm up into the upper 50s to upper 60s.
- Clear skies will allow for temperatures to cool off quickly tonight statewide but will be a touch warmer than last night.
- Low temperatures will fall into the middle to upper 20s for much of North Florida and lower 30s along the coasts to Nature Coast, middle 30s to lower 40s across Central Florida, and middle 40s to upper 50s across South Florida.
- Freeze Watches will become Freeze Warnings tonight for Northeast Florida and interior portions of Central Florida.
- Feels-like temperatures will fall into the 20s across North Florida again by sunrise Tuesday morning, upper 20s to middle 30s throughout Central Florida and upper 30s to middle 40s across northern portions of South Florida.
- Cold Weather Advisories may be needed again tonight for portions of North and Central Florida for dangerous sub-freezing wind chills.
- Patchy to widespread frost will likely develop across North Florida and into portions of Central Florida towards the I-4 corridor.
- Lingering breezy winds and ocean swells of 4-6' will lead to a moderate to high risk for rip currents along nearly all Peninsula beaches.
- Calmer conditions and offshore will lead to a moderate risk for rip currents along the Panhandle.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Sunday, January 18th, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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Radar and observations along the Panhandle have shown the rain ahead of the cold front has transitioned tosnow this morning.
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Therain/snow lineis approaching the US-231 corridor right now, with snow to the wet and scattered to widespread shower activity to the east from US-231 through the rest of North Florida.
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The cold front will continue to race eastward throughout the day across the state keeping shower activity contained to North Florida towards the I-4 corridor and thewintry mix of snow/rain or just snowalong the Panhandle and the far western edge of the Big Bend (Gadsden and northern Liberty).
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Scattered showers can be expected from the Capital City and across Northeast Florida, then also extending through Central Florida.
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As the cold air chases the rain and the front from behind, a fewsnow flurries mixedinto the rain cannot be ruled out.
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Winter Storm Advisories andWinter Storm Warnings are in effect for portions of the Panhandle through 12pm EST/11am CST ahead of snow accumulations on grassy surfaces.
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For theWinter Storm Advisories, snowfall totals upwards of a trace-1” are possible.
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For theWinter Storm Warning, snowfall totals upwards of 1-2” are possible, with a localized 3” also possible in heavier snow banding. Any larger accumulations of snow could lead to someslippery surfaces.
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Near midday to the early parts of this afternoon, drier air will catch up to the shower activity out ahead of the cold front leading to showers becoming more isolated in nature then eventually dissipating late this afternoon.
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With this potent cold front moving through, wind gusts will reachupwards 15-20 mphthroughout the state, but event strongerwind gusts of 20-30 mphcan be expected throughout Central Florida.
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Wind Advisorieswill go into effect midday for East-Central Florida, especially along the coasts, wherewinds of 15-25 mphare expected with windgusts upwards of 35-45 mph.
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Dry conditions are expected to return statewide overnight as that much colder and drier air moves in.
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Calmer winds will also return overnight throughout most of the state as the cold front pushes offshore.
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South Florida can still expect to see lingeringbreezy wind gusts of 15-20 mphacross interior areas and stronger windgusts of 25-30 mphcloser towards the coasts.
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The warmest part of the day has already occurred along much of North Florida with temperatures in the middle to upper 40s along the Panhandle and western Big Bend and the lower 50s for Northeast Florida.
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The much colder air racing in behind will continue to cool down temperatures further throughout the day and lead to colder feels-like temperatures by the afternoon.
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Feels-like temperaturesby the early afternoon hours will reach thelower tomiddle 30sacross much of North Florida as those breezy wind gusts continue.
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Asharp temperature difference can be found along the Nature Coast and lower Suwannee River Valley where high temperatures will reach the middle 50s, while Central and South Florida will see high temperatures in the 70s and lower 80s.
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Colder air will cause low temperatures to crash into themiddle to upper 20s throughout North Florida and interior Nature Coast,lower 30sfor interior Central Florida andmiddle to upper 30sfor the rest of Central Florida andupper 30sto upper 40s across South Florida.
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Freeze Warningswill go into effect tonight from Northeast Florida and the I-4 corridor.
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With elevated winds continuing overnight,feels-like temperatureswill remain in themiddle toupper 20stolower 30sfrom North Florida, nearly all of Central Florida and even south to Lake Okeechobee Monday morning.
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Immediate coastal portions of Central Florida will seefeels-like temperaturesin thelower tomiddle 30s.The rest of South Florida can expectfeels-like temperatures through themiddle 30sto middle 40s.
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Cold Weather Advisorieswill go into effect tonight from the Suwannee Valley and through Lake Okeechobee to Collier County.
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Gusty winds and ocean swells of 1-3' will lead to amoderate to high risk for rip currentsnearly statewide.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
