RSS Morning Sitrep
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Saturday, December 20, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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A cool morning across North Florida, with instances ofpatchy frost or freeze, will give way to a mostly sunny and pleasant day across the Sunshine State as high pressure slides across the region.
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Chances of rain will remain near zero for most everywhere, the exception being across coastal Southeast Florida where a few coastal showers may develop this afternoon (15-20% chance of rain).
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Relative humidities will dipbelow critical thresholds (25-30% RH values)across North Florida this afternoon which may encouragelocally sensitivetoelevated wildfire conditions,especially in any areas experiencing the most severe long-term drought.
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Winds will remain light today, though a few breezy gustsupwards of 20 mphcannot be ruled out along coastal Southeast Florida this afternoon.
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High temperatures will be seasonably warm across the state today, reaching the middle to upper 60s for North Florida and middle 70s to lower 80s in Central and South Florida.
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Anothercool nightis expected across the Big Bend and Suwannee River Valley tonight where lows will dip into theupper 30s to lower 40s; Elsewhere across North Florida, middle 40s to lower 50s can be expected.
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Lows will dip into the middle 50s to upper 60s in Central Florida and middle 60s to lower 70s in South Florida.
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Clear skies and calm winds will promotelow cloud and patchy fogdevelopment across much of the state tonight.
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Instances ofdense fogmay develop across portions of the Big Bend, Suwanee River Valley, and interior South Florida.Dense Fog Advisoriesmay be issued as conditions warrant.
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To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Friday, December 19, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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High pressure will begin to settle across the Southeast U.S. today as a dry front passes through the remainder of the state.
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A few brief sprinkles across South Florida and the Keys this morning (10-15% chance of rain) will quickly dissipate giving way to a dry and pleasant day statewide.
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The wildfire risk will remain low today, howeverlocally sensitive wildfire conditions cannot be ruled out across North and West-Central Florida in areas experiencing the most severe drought with a few wind gusts upwards of 20 mph.
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Over North Florida, high temperatures will reach the lower to middle 60s across the Panhandle and upper 60s to middle 70s for Northeast Florida and within the Suwannee River Valley.
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Highs in the upper 70s to middle 80s can be expected for Central and South Florida this afternoon.
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Dry conditions will continue to prevail overnight.
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Low temperatures will cool off considerably over the Panhandle tonight, dipping into themiddle to upper 30sfor interior locations.
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Instances ofpatchy frostmay develop, especially north of the I-10 corridor.
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Lows across Northeast Florida will also be cooler than normal, reaching the upper 30s to lower 40s.
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Central Florida can expect low temperatures in the lower to middle 50s with 60s throughout South Florida.
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Ahigh risk for rip currentsis expected for all Panhandle beaches where surf will reach2-4'today. Amoderate risk for rip currentsis expected for all West Coast and East Coast beaches.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, December 18, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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An upper-level disturbance will trek across the northern Gulf waters today ushering in abundant tropical moisture to much of North Florida with a few rounds of showers and embedded thunderstorms expected (80-100% chance of rain).
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This morning, scattered to numerous showers, somelocally heavy at times, will overspread the Panhandle as a large area of rain over the Gulf moves onshore.
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Towards this afternoon, enough daytime heating may allow for a few additionallocally strong thunderstorms to develop across the Big Bend and Nature Coast. A few strikes of lightning and heavy downpours will accompany any stronger activity.
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There is no organized risk for flash flooding today, however locally heavy downpours may lead tonuisance flooding and ponding of wateracross the Panhandle.
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Rainfall totals of 0.5-1" are expected for most locations, however a few localized higher totalsupwards of 2-3"cannot be ruled out.
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This activity will stream north and eastward throughout the day, with Northeast Florida getting in on the action later this morning and afternoon with a few isolated to scattered showers (35-50% chance of rain).
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A few coastal showers or locally embedded thunderstorms may also drift onshore across the I-95 corridor today, though any activity will be brief in nature (20-40% chance of rain).
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High temperatures will crest into the upper 60s to middle 70s across North Florida, with lower to middle 80s expected across Central and South Florida.
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A few scattered showers may linger across the Panhandle and Northeast Florida early overnight as the upper-level disturbance departs the region to the north (40-60% chance of rain).
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After midnight, a cold frontal passage will bring a few additional isolated showers to the Panhandle (20-30% chance of rain).
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A few brief sprinkles or an isolated shower is also possible across the I-4 and I-95 corridors overnight (15-20% chance of rain).
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Low-level moisture will linger across interior South Florida which may promotepatchy dense fog development towards daybreak Friday.
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Low temperatures will begin to cool off again across the Panhandle as the cold front makes its passage, with temperatures reaching the upper 40s over the western Panhandle and middle 50s across the eastern Panhandle.
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Lows in the 60s are expected for all the Peninsula, with coastal Southeast Florida and the Keys only reaching the lower to middle 70s.
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Ahigh risk for rip currents are expected for nearly all Panhandle and Southeast Florida beaches today, with amoderate riskalong all other East Coast beaches.
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Oceanswells of 3-5' are expected along the East Coast and Panhandle today, lingering through the overnight hours. Waves of 1-2' are expected overnight across West Coast beaches.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Wednesday, December 17th, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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A pleasant day across the Sunshine State can be expected as high pressure conditions will continue as it slides eastward away from the state.
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Mostly sunny conditions will persist with a chance for light sprinkles or even a brief shower for portions of the eastern coastline (10-20% chance of rain).
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Despite relative humidity values remaining above critical thresholds, long-term drought conditions will continue to promotesensitive wildfire conditionsfor North Florida.
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Lingering breezywind gusts of 15-20 mph will continue throughout portions of South Florida and the Keys.
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High temperatures will return back into the middle 60s to lower 70s for North Florida, middle to upper 70s across Central Florida and upper 70s to near 80-degrees for South Florida.
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Our next frontal system will approach the state tonight, and elevated moisture will help to create isolated showers overnight and into the early morning hours for much of the Panhandle and the Big Bend and eastern coastlines (10-35% chance of rain).
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The best chance for more scattered shower activity will be along the Panhandle as a warm front lifts northward from the gulf waters.
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Increased moisture and calm winds will lead toinstances of fogthroughout the Big Bend and Suwannee Valley early Thursday morning.
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Low temperature will fall into the lower to middle 50s for North Florida, upper 50s to middle 60s across Central Florida and 60s to near 70-degrees for South Florida.
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Amoderate risk for rip currentswill continue for numerous Panhandle and East Coast beaches, with ahigh riskalong Southeast Florida beaches.
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Oceanswells of 2-4'will linger along the East Coast, with larger breaking wavesupwards of 5'possible along the Treasure Coast, as they continue to slowly dissipate.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, December 16th, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Another cold start across North Florida this morning but it will be the last morning with sub-freezing temperatures for the next several days.
- High pressure will settle into the southeastern states and weakening allowing for mostly dry conditions statewide (15-20% chance of rain).
- An upper-level feature off the Florida East Coast may allow for some brief sprinkles or a light shower or two near the coast, but rainfall is expected to be light in nature.
- With drier conditions across North Florida, the wildfire risk will increase across North Florida given the longer-term drought conditions that stretch across the region.
- Breezy wind gusts will linger throughout the Peninsula, especially along the coasts, and reach upwards of 15-20 mph.
- Temperatures will gradually warm up to the upper 50s to middle 60s across North Florida, lower to middle 70s across Central Florida and middle to upper 70s across South Florida.
- Dry conditions will continue throughout the overnight hours with possible sprinkles along the eastern coastline (15-20% chance of rain).
- Moisture beginning to recover overnight and return throughout the state may allow for instances of fog development by the early morning hours on Wednesday.
- Low temperatures will fall into the upper 30s to upper 40s across North Florida, 50s across Central Florida and upper 50s to upper 60s across South Florida.
- Ocean swells of 4-7' and onshore winds will lead to a high risk for rip currents along the East Coast today.
- Panhandle beaches will see a moderate risk for rip currents return.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
