RSS Morning Sitrep
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Monday, May 4, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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A cold front continues to slide southward into the Florida Straits today, keeping some moisture around across South Florida where isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected this afternoon (35-55% chance of rain).
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Southeast Florida will see the greatest chances of rain where a few locally heavy downpours cannot be ruled out.
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Rainfall totals will generally remain below 1", though a quick1-3" of raincannot be ruled out in localized areas that see the heaviest activity.
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Further north, high pressure will begin to nudge into North and Central Florida allowing for dry and pleasant conditions to return.
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Relative humidities will dipbelow critical thresholds (20-30%) across North Florida which will continue to encourageelevated wildfire conditions amidst the ongoing exceptional drought. Light winds will keep the overall wildfire threat lower.
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The strongest winds will reside across East-Central Florida where wind gustsupwards of 25-30 mph will be possible overlapping with relative humidities of 35-45%.
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High temperatures will reach into the upper 70s to middle 80s for much of the state this afternoon.
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Tonight, a few showers and storms will linger across Southeast and Southwest Florida (25-35% chance of rain), though will quickly dissipate after sunset.
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A mostly calm and clear night is expected statewide.
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Lows will fall into the 50s across North Florida, with middle 60s to lower 70s in Central and South Florida.
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Amoderate tohigh risk for rip currentsis expected for most East Coast and Panhandle beaches today. Locally high surf of4-6'is expected for Treasure Coast beaches.
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According to the Florida Forest Service, there are 87 active wildfires across the state burning approximately 15,305 acres.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Sunday, May 3rd, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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A frontal boundary over South Florida will serve as a focus for scattered showers and thunderstorms today and tonight, with the highest chance for rain expected south of Lake Okeechobee.
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No widespread threat for severe weather is anticipated, but a strong thunderstorm or two with brief gusty winds and frequent lightning is possible. Additionally, some storms may contain periods of heavy rain up to 2” leading to a flash flood threat of urban metro areas between Palm Beach and Miami.
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Across North and Central Florida, a cool and dry airmass will continue to filter in on north winds.
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Elevated fire potential exists across portions of Central Florida where low humidity values combine with breezy winds and dry soils.
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According to the Florida Forest Service, there are 90 active wildfires across the state burning approximately 15,076 acres.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Saturday, May 2nd, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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Scattered to numerous showers and storms expected across North Florida today, extending into Central Florida later this afternoon.
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The Storm Prediction Center has placed much of North Florida and portions of Central Florida in aSlight Risk (level 2 of 5) for severe weather. Damaging winds up to 60mph and small hail are the primary threats, but an isolated tornado or two cannot be ruled out. Additionally, storm storms may contain periods of heavy rain leading to a brief flash flood threat of low-lying areas.
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Across Central and South Florida, before the storms arrive, warm temperatures, low relative humidity values and southwest winds of 10-20 mph with gusts as high as 35 mph will combine to enhance the spread or development of wildfires and aRed Flag Warningis in effect for portions of Central and South Florida.
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According to the Florida Forest Service, there are 91 active wildfires across the state burning approximately 15,178 acres.
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Ocean swells and increasing winds will continue amoderate to high risk of rip currentsal ALL Florida beaches today.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Friday, May 1st, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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Scattered to numerous showers and storms forecast to move west to east throughout the day across North Florida.
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An of low pressure is forecast to develop over the Gulf and move across the state over the weekend. This will allow a few strong to severe storms to develop as this low as it moves through the area.
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The Storm Prediction Center has placed aMarginal Risk for severe storms (level 1 of 5)across the Panhandle and Big Bend tonight, and aSlight Risk (level 2 of 5) for severe weatheracross the eastern Panhandle, Big Bend and northern Florida Peninsula on Saturday. Damaging winds up to 60mph and hail are the primary threats, but a tornado or two cannot be ruled out.
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Across Central and South Florida, expect one more dry day with warm temperatures, breezy west winds and moderately low relative humidity to enhance the spread or development of wildfires.
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According to the Florida Forest Service, there are 102 active wildfires across the state burning approximately 15,688 acres.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, April 30th, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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A weak frontal boundary will approach North Florida and stall this evening.
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Scattered showers and thunderstorms will move along and south of the I-10 corridor in North Florida. Occasional lightning strikes could present an ignition source for wildfires.
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Across Central and South Florida, winds will be westerly at 10-15 mph with gusts as high as 25 mph in the afternoon ahead of the frontal boundary to enhance the spread or development of wildfires.
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Overnight, showers and storms will approach the Western Florida Panhandle. A few of these storms could be strong to briefly severe with damaging winds and large hail being the primary concerns.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
