RSS Morning Sitrep
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, April 2, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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- Any areas of patchy fog throughout North Florida this morning will quickly lift and dissipate shortly after sunrise.
- A new wave of moisture will filter across the Peninsula today, around the area of high pressure over the western Atlantic, where the greatest chances of rain are expected (40-60% chance of rain).
- Although there is no organized risk for severe weather, some of this activity could be accompanied by lightning, small hail, and a few locally heavy downpours capable of producing a quick 1-3” of rain.
- Drier air aloft in the atmosphere will bring mostly dry conditions to North Florida today, though an isolated shower or storm cannot be ruled out across the northern Panhandle (15-25% chance of rain).
- The easterly flow today will be accompanied by breezy wind gusts upwards of 20 mph throughout the Peninsula with locally higher gusts upwards of 25-30 mph along the I-95 corridor and Southeast Florida.
- Relative humidities will dip to near critical thresholds across Northeast Florida this afternoon (30-40% RH values), which will encourage locally sensitive to elevated wildfire conditions given the ongoing drought.
- High temperatures will reach the middle 70s to middle 80s throughout much of the state this afternoon. Portions of the I-75 corridor will approach the upper 80s or even 90-degrees.
- Lows will reach the upper 50s to middle 60s throughout North Florida and middle 60s to lower 70s in Central and South Florida.
- With plentiful moisture sticking around overnight, areas of fog and low clouds are possible, especially throughout North and West-Central Florida.
- The greatest chances for locally dense fog will be across the western Panhandle and Northeast Florida by daybreak Friday.
- A moderate to high risk for rip currents persists for all Panhandle and East Coast beaches as breezy onshore winds keep surf elevated.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Wednesday, April 1st, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
Good morning,
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Areas ofpatchy dense fog have developed throughout portions of the Panhandle and Northeast Florida this morning but will shortly dissipate by mid-morning.
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Otherwise, another rinse and repeat of yesterday is expected today as high pressure over the western Atlantic hardly budges and dominates the local pattern.
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Moist south and east flow will continue to promote additional spotty chances for showers and thunderstorms across much of the state.
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Drier air aloft in the atmosphere will limit greater coverage throughout the Peninsula today, with isolated activity remaining confined to East-Central and Southeast Florida (15-25% chance of rain).
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The greatest chance of rain will be over the northern Panhandle along the Gulf sea breeze this afternoon (30-50% chance of rain).
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Although there is no organized risk for severe weather, some of this activity could be accompanied by lightning, small hail, and a fewlocally heavy downpours capable of producing aquick 1-3” of rain.
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The easterly flow today will be accompanied by breezy wind gustsupwards of 20 mph throughout the Peninsula with locally higher gustsupwards of 25 mph across Northeast and Southeast Florida.
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Relative humidities will remain above critical thresholds today, though ongoing drought will keeplocally sensitive toelevated wildfire conditions in place.
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High temperatures will reach the middle 70s to middle 80s throughout the state this afternoon.
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Lows will reach the upper 50s to middle 60s throughout North Florida and middle 60s to lower 70s in Central and South Florida.
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With plentiful moisture sticking around overnight, areas offog and low clouds are possible, especially throughout North and West-Central Florida.
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The greatest chances for locally dense fog will be across the western Panhandle and Northeast Florida by daybreak Thursday.
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Onshore winds and elevated surf will keep amoderatetohigh risk for rip currentsin place for all Panhandle and East Coast beaches today.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, March 31st, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
Good morning,
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A near rinse and repeat of yesterday is expected today with spotty chances for showers and embedded thunderstorms across much of the state due to moist south and east flow.
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A few onshore moving showers are ongoing this morning across Southeast Florida, and coverage will increase this afternoon across the Peninsula along the east coast sea breeze as it pushes inland (15-30% chance of rain).
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The greatest chance of rain today, however, is across the northern Panhandle where increasing moisture and the sea breeze will help to initiate activity (35-50% chance of rain).
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Although there is no organized risk for severe weather, some of this activity could be accompanied by an occasional lightning strike or two and locally heavy downpour.
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The easterly flow today will be accompanied by breezy wind gustsupwards of 20 mph along the I-95 corridor with locally higher gusts upwards of 25 mph across Southeast Florida.
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Relative humidities will remain above critical thresholds today, though ongoing drought will keep locally sensitive toelevated wildfire conditions in place.
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High temperatures will reach the middle 70s to middle 80s throughout much of the state this afternoon.
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Lows will reach the upper 50s to middle 60s throughout North Florida and middle 60s to lower 70s in Central and South Florida.
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With plentiful moisture sticking around overnight, areas of fog and low clouds are possible, especially throughout North and West-Central Florida.
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The greatest chances for locally dense fog will be across the western Panhandle and Northeast Florida.
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Elevated surf persists along the East Coast today with waves near4-6'expected and ahigh risk for rip currentsremaining. Amoderate riskis expected for all Panhandle beaches.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Monday, March 30th, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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A few onshore moving showers are ongoing this morning across South Florida, and coverage will increase this afternoon across South and Central Florida with the east coast sea breeze and persistent onshore moist flow (35-50% chance of rain).
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An isolated shower or even embedded thunderstorm cannot be ruled out further north across North Florida (15-25% chance of rain).
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Much of this activity is expected to diminish shortly after sunset, though some showers may linger along the Southeast coastline overnight (15-20% chance of rain).
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There is no organized risk for severe weather or flash flooding today, however any of this activity across the Peninsula could bring an occasional lightning strike or two and locally heavy downpour capable of producing a quick 1-3” of rain.
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This onshore flow will be accompanied by breezy wind gusts upwards of 25 mph along the I-95 corridor with locally higher gustsupwards of 30 mphacross Southeast Florida.
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Relative humidities will remain above critical thresholds today, though ongoing drought will keep locally sensitivetoelevated wildfire conditions in place.
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High temperatures will reach the middle 70s to lower 80s throughout much of the state this afternoon.
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Lows will reach the upper 50s to middle 60s throughout North Florida and middle 60s to lower 70s in Central and South Florida.
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With plentiful moisture sticking around overnight, areas offog and low clouds are possible, especially throughout North and West-Central Florida.
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The greatest chances forlocally dense fog will be across the western Panhandle and Northeast Florida.
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AHigh Surf Advisory remains in effect for Treasure Coast beaches where surf of6-8' will persist through the day.
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Amoderatetohigh risk for rip currentsis expected for all Panhandle and East Coast beaches today.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Sunday, March 29th, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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A stalled frontal boundary is promoting the development of morning showers over the southern Florida Peninsula, setting the stage for an unsettled weather day south of the I-4 corridor (45-65% chance of rain).
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The greatest rain chances reside along the immediate Southeast Florida coastline (65-80% chance of rain).
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Alocally strong thunderstorm cannot be ruled out later this afternoon; lightning, gusty winds, andheavy downpours possible.
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Multiple rounds of shower and thunderstorm activity may produceponding water and floodingover the urban and metro Southeast Florida corridor.
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Wind Advisoriesremain in effect along the Florida East Coast until 4:00 PM ET this afternoon forwind gustsreaching upwards of30-40 mph.
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Easterly winds also allow for isolated shower activity to develop across North and Central Florida (10-30% chance of rain).
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Windy conditions and increased cloud cover will keep temperatures on the cooler side this afternoon.
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Sensitive toelevated wildfireconditions continue statewide today due to long-term drought and breezy conditions.
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Rough surf and strong onshore flow will yield amoderate tohigh risk of rip currentsalong all Florida Panhandle and East Coast beaches today.
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High Surf Advisories remain in effect until late Monday afternoon at Florida Atlantic beaches; breakers in the surf zone may reach7-10'.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
