RSS Morning Sitrep
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, February 26, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Following our transition day on Wednesday, isolated pockets of patchy fog and low clouds were present this morning as low-level moisture gradually returns to the Sunshine State.
- Spotty showers this morning along the Florida Panhandle will set the stage for increasing rain chances (40-60%), becoming increasingly widespread this evening and overnight (50-80% chance of rain).
- Southerly winds build ahead of our next frontal system, with wind gusts reaching 20-25 mph across North Florida and localized gusts upwards of 30 mph possible along the immediate coastline.
- A mixture of sunshine and clouds can be expected throughout the Florida Peninsula, with a slight chance for a few showers this afternoon across Southeast Florida (20-25%).
- The primary weather headline today will continue to be sensitive to elevated wildfire conditions across the Florida Peninsula, with Red Flag Warnings going into effect this afternoon across East-Central Florida until 6:00 PM EST.
- While low-level moisture returns, long-term drought and extremely dry fuels/vegetationwill continue to promote wildfire ignition and spread.
- Areas of dense smoke will likely pool near ongoing wildfires or burns; this is especially impactful near the large wildfire (National Wildfire) burning within Big Cypress National Preserve where periods of reduced visibility are likely along Alligator Alley (I-75) in Collier and Broward Counties.
- Tonight, areas of fog and low clouds will develop; where fog and smoke combine, visibility reductions may become significant, creating hazardous nighttime driving conditions.
- A high risk of rip currents continues for Florida Panhandle, East-Central Florida, and Southeast Florida beaches; moderate risk conditions reside along Northeast Florida beaches.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Wednesday, February 25, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- One last cool start this morning for the Sunshine State today as temperatures will warm up nicely throughout the day.
- Frost Advisories will be allowed to expire by the early to mid-morning hours from the Suwannee Valley through the Peninsula with temperatures steadily warming up.
- High pressure overhead will continue to bring mostly dry conditions across the state, with a slim chance for brief showers moving onshore from the Emerald Coast this afternoon (5-10% chance of rain).
- Very dry conditions will persist throughout East-Central and interior South Florida where relative humidity values will fall below critical thresholds again (15-35%).
- Elevated wildfire conditions can be expected to persist and locally critical conditions cannot be fully ruled out.
- Dense smoke will be possible throughout the day across South Florida and South-Central Florida today due to the ongoing National Wildfire in the Everglades.
- High temperatures will return to the upper 60s to middle 70s across the state this afternoon.
- As the next cold front approaches slowly from the west, shower activity will increase along the Panhandle this evening bringing isolated to widely scattered showers onshore (15-30% chance of rain).
- Instances of patchy fog may be possible across the Panhandle and interior West Florida early Thursday morning; however, elevated winds may limit fog development.
- Low temperatures will fall back into the 40s and 50s across the state, with coastal portions of the Panhandle and Southeast Florida reaching the lower 60s.
- Winds shifting out of the south to southwest will allow for a high risk for rip currents to return to much of the Panhandle. Lingering swells off the East Coast will keep a high risk in place for numerous beaches.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, February 24, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Freeze Warnings and Cold Weather Advisories across the state this morning will be allowed to expire mid-morning as temperatures gradually warm up.
- After a cold start this morning across the state high pressure conditions will continue today lead to dry conditions and plenty of sunshine.
- Relative humidity values will remain near or below critical thresholds (20-35%)across the state, but lighter winds can be expected to return throughout the day.
- Despite the calmer winds, elevated tolocally critical wildfire conditions can be expected due to the critical relative humidity values and the ongoing drought.
- High temperatures will reach the middle 50s to middle 60s across the state this afternoon.
- Clear and calm conditions overnight may lead to patchy to widespread frost developing across portions of Northeast and the interior Peninsula, and Frost Advisories will go into effect late overnight.
- Low temperatures will fall into the30s to middle 40s for most of the state, with Southeast Florida keeping to the upper 40s to lower 50s.
- Swells of 3-5' along the Florida East Coast and onshore winds along the Florida West Coast will keep a high risk for rip currents in place today. Panhandle will return to a moderate risk.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Monday, February 23rd, 2026.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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High pressure moving in from the northern Plains will bring much cooler and drier air than we’ve seen in the last couple of weeks.
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Cold Weather Advisories across the state will expire mid-morning due to the chilly start from cold temperature and breezy winds.
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Plenty of sunshine can be expected today with lingering breezy northwesterly winds across the state.
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Very dry air will cause relative humidity values tonear and below critical thresholds nearly statewide this afternoon(20-30%).
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This combined withwind gusts of 20-30 mph over expanding extreme drought will createcritical wildfire conditions nearly statewide, also leading to the issuance ofRed Flag Warnings.
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The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is outlookingElevated toCritical(level 1-2 of 3) for Fire Weather across the Big Bend and the Peninsula.
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High temperatures will reach the 50s and lower 60s throughout the state this afternoon.
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Clear skies will allow for temperatures to fall overnight. Lighter winds can also be expected for much of the state, leading toinstances of frost throughout portions of North and Central Florida by Tuesday morning.
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Low temperatures will fall into themiddle 20s to lower 30s across North and North-Central Florida,middle 30s across Central Florida andmiddle 30s to lower 40s across South Florida.
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Freeze Warnings will go into effect tonight nearly statewide forsub-freezing to freezing temperatures by the early morning hours on Tuesday, withhard freeze conditions possible for the Big Bend.
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Despite lighter winds it will still feel cooler than the temperatures in the morning asfeels-like temperatures will be in the20sand 30s statewide by sunrise.
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Cold Weather Advisories will go into effect tonight nearly statewide, except for coastal portions of South Florida.
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Gusty post-frontal winds out of the northwest and large ocean swells will create amoderate to high rip current risk statewide.
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Large ocean swells across the Peninsula will lead towave heights of 4-8’ with larger breakingwaves of 8-11’off the Southeast Florida beaches.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Sunday, February 22nd, 2026.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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Dense Fog conditionsacross South Florida will gradually lift and dissipate this morning as shower activity associated with a cold front approaches from the north.
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Currently the shower activity is moving through Central Florida but will push into South Florida later this morning and throughout the afternoon (45-60% chance of rain).
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With daytime heating and already warmer conditions across South Florida, an isolated thunderstorm or two cannot be ruled out.
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Behind the cold front, breezy and at times gusty winds will develop out of the northwest. Winds of 15-25 mph can be expected, withwind gusts reaching upwards of 25-35 mph.
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Wind Advisoriesextend across much of the Panhandle through this evening to account for gusty winds.
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Also behind this cold front will be a much drier punch of air bringing relative humidity values tocritical thresholdsthis afternoon for most of North and Central Florida(20-35%).
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Red Flag Warnings will go into effect for most of that region to account for critical relative humidity values and elevated winds occurring over extreme drought conditions.
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High temperatures will reach the middle 50s to lower 60s across the Panhandle, middle 60s to lower 70s across the Big Bend, middle to upper 70s across Central Florida and upper 70s to middle 80s across South Florida.
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As the front clears the state this evening and overnight, drier and much cooler air will push southward behind the front. Elevated wind gusts of 15-25 mph will continue throughout the overnight hours across the state as that colder air rushes in.
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There may be a slight chance for somepatchy fogearly in the morning hours along portions of Southwest Florida.
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Low temperatures will fall into thelower tomiddle 30sacross North Florida,middle 30sto lower 40s across Central Florida and 40s to lower 50s across South Florida.
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AFreeze Warningwill go into effect tonight for portions of interior Northeast Florida forsub-freezing temperaturesexpected tonight.
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With elevated winds,temperatures will feel-likethey are in the20sacross North Florida,upper 20s tolower 30sacross interior Central Florida andlower tomiddle 30sfor the coasts, andmiddle 30sto lower 40s across South Florida near sunrise Monday morning.
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Cold Weather Advisorieshave been issued across several interior portions of the Peninsula ahead of Monday morning.
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Gusty post-frontal winds out of the northwest and distant ocean swells will create amoderate tohigh rip current risk statewide.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
