RSS Morning Sitrep
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Wednesday, December 24, 2025
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
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Areas ofdense foghave developed across much of the Panhandle and Big Bend this morning and will linger through the mid-morning hours before dissipating.
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Dense Fog Advisorieswill remain in effect until mid to late this morning for land areas, with somesea fogpersisting along the local Panhandle waters through the day.
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Otherwise, high pressure will continue to dominate the local pattern today bringing sunny and dry conditions.
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A slight chance of an isolated shower or brief sprinkle exists across coastal Southeast Florida today (15-20% chance of rain) aided by breezy winds gustsupwards of 20 mphthat may bring them ashore off the Atlantic.
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Warm and dry conditions will continue to worsen drought conditions which may lead tolocally sensitive wildfire conditionsacross much of the state today, despite relative humidities remaining above critical thresholds.
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High temperatures will climb into the middle to upper 70s across North Florida this afternoon, with a few lower 80s possible. Upper 70s to lower 80s can be expected in Central and South Florida.
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Clear and calm conditions will prevail overnight outside of a few lingering sprinkles across coastal Southeast Florida (15-20% chance of rain).
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Lingering low-level moisture and warmer temperatures will promotelow cloud and patchy fogdevelopment overnight and towards daybreak Thursday morning.
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Locally dense fogis likely to develop across the Panhandle and Big Bend andDense Fog Advisorieswill be issued as conditions warrant tonight.
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Low temperatures will dip into the lower to middle 50s across much of the state tonight, as far south as Lake Okeechobee. Lows will only reach the middle 60s to lower 70s across coastal Southeast Florida and the Florida Keys.
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Amoderate risk for rip currentsis expected for all Panhandle and East Coast beaches today, with a localhigh riskover coastal Southeast Florida.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, December 23, 2025
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
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High pressure will continue to dominate the local weather pattern bringing sunny and dry conditions.
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A slight chance of an isolated shower or brief sprinkle exists across coastal Southeast Florida today (15-20% chance of rain) aided by breezy winds gustsupwards of 30 mphthat may bring them ashore off the Atlantic.
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Warm and dry conditions will continue to worsen drought conditions which may lead tolocally sensitive wildfire conditionsacross much of the state today, despite relative humidities remaining above critical thresholds.
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High temperatures will climb into the middle to upper 70s across North Florida and upper 70s to lower 80s in Central and South Florida.
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Clear and calm conditions will prevail overnight outside of a few lingering sprinkles across coastal Southeast Florida (15-20% chance of rain).
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Lingering low-level moisture and warmer temperatures will promotelow cloud and patchy fogdevelopment overnight and towards daybreak Wednesday morning.
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Locally dense fogcannot be ruled out, especially across the Panhandle and Big Bend andDense Fog Advisoriesmay be issued if conditions warrant tonight.
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Winds will generally subside across South Florida overnight, though a few wind gustsupwards of 25 mphwill be possible across the Florida Keys.
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Low temperatures will dip into the lower to middle 50s across much of the state tonight, as far south as Lake Okeechobee. Lows in the 60s can be expected for South Florida.
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Amoderate tohigh risk for rip currentsis expected for all Panhandle and East Coast beaches today.
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Lingering high surf of4-6'will persist for most East Coast beaches today, with Southeast Florida beaches seeing wave heights of6-8'.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Monday, December 22, 2025
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
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A mostly dry and sunny day is on tap for the Sunshine State as a weak cold front passes through North and Central Florida today.
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Breezy onshore winds will develop this afternoon across much of the Peninsula as a strong high pressure settles across the Southeast U.S. in the wake of the front.
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Wind gusts upwards of 30 mph are possible across coastal Southeast Florida, with inland locations seeing gustsupwards of 20-25 mph.
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A few coastal showers cannot be ruled out with these onshore winds along the I-95 corridor, though any activity will remain light and brief (15-20% chance of rain).
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Relative humidities may dip near critical thresholds across the Panhandle this afternoon which, paired with some breezier winds, could lead tolocally sensitive toelevated wildfire conditions.
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High temperatures will top out in the lower 70s for much of North Florida, and middle 70s to lower 80s across Central and South Florida.
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Breezywind gusts upwards of 30 mph will continue across coastal Southeast Florida overnight where a few brief sprinkles or light showers may linger (15-20% chance of rain). Otherwise, clear and calm conditions will prevail.
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Moisture will quickly increase again across the Panhandle where a clear night may promotelow cloud and patchy fog development towards daybreak Tuesday, some of which could belocally dense.
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Low temperatures will bottom out in the upper 40s to lower 50s across North Florida, middle 50s to lower 60s in Central Florida, and middle 60s to lower 70s in South Florida.
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Amoderate tohigh risk for rip currentsis expected for all Panhandle and East Coast beaches today with breezy onshore winds and building ocean swells.
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Waves of4-6'across East Coast beaches will build to6-8' overnight. A few wavesupwards of 10'cannot be ruled out in the surf zone across coastal Southeast Florida.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Sunday, December 21, 2025
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
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Clear and calm conditions overnight have promotedpatchy dense fogdevelopment across portions of South and Northeast Florida andDense Fog Advisorieswill remain in effect until mid-morning when any fog should dissipate.
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Otherwise, another sunny and mostly dry day is on tap for much of the Sunshine State as high pressure dominates.
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A weak coastal front lingering across coastal Southeast Florida may encourage a few slow-moving showers to develop today, mainly along the immediate coastline and I-95 corridor (20-30% chance of rain).
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Any of this activity is expected to remain light, however a briefheavier downpourcannot be ruled out.
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Across the far western Panhandle, a few brief sprinkles are possible later this afternoon as an upper-level disturbance slides north across the lower Mississippi Valley (10-15% chance of rain).
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Dry conditions across Northeast Florida will allow relative humidities to dipnear critical thresholds (30-35% RH values)this afternoon withlocally sensitive wildfire conditionspossible in any areas experiencing the most severe long-term drought.
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High temperatures will climb into the lower to middle 70s across North Florida and middle 70s to lower 80s in Central and South Florida this afternoon.
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A few showers may linger across Southeast Florida and the far western Panhandle this evening before dissipating before midnight (15-25% chance of rain); Dry conditions will prevail elsewhere.
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A strong high-pressure system will slide southeastward towards the eastern U.S. tonight sending a cold front through the northern tier of Florida.
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No sensible impacts are expected from this frontal passage in the way of rainfall; however, winds will increase after midnight over much of North Florida with a few wind gustsupwards of 30 mphpossible along the Northeast Florida coast.
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Low temperatures will dip into the upper 40s to lower 50s across North Florida, middle 50s to lower 60s in Central Florida, and middle 60s to lower 70s in South Florida.
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Amoderate risk for rip currentsis expected for most Panhandle and East Coast beaches today.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Saturday, December 20, 2025
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
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A cool morning across North Florida, with instances ofpatchy frost or freeze, will give way to a mostly sunny and pleasant day across the Sunshine State as high pressure slides across the region.
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Chances of rain will remain near zero for most everywhere, the exception being across coastal Southeast Florida where a few coastal showers may develop this afternoon (15-20% chance of rain).
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Relative humidities will dipbelow critical thresholds (25-30% RH values)across North Florida this afternoon which may encouragelocally sensitivetoelevated wildfire conditions,especially in any areas experiencing the most severe long-term drought.
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Winds will remain light today, though a few breezy gustsupwards of 20 mphcannot be ruled out along coastal Southeast Florida this afternoon.
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High temperatures will be seasonably warm across the state today, reaching the middle to upper 60s for North Florida and middle 70s to lower 80s in Central and South Florida.
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Anothercool nightis expected across the Big Bend and Suwannee River Valley tonight where lows will dip into theupper 30s to lower 40s; Elsewhere across North Florida, middle 40s to lower 50s can be expected.
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Lows will dip into the middle 50s to upper 60s in Central Florida and middle 60s to lower 70s in South Florida.
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Clear skies and calm winds will promotelow cloud and patchy fogdevelopment across much of the state tonight.
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Instances ofdense fogmay develop across portions of the Big Bend, Suwanee River Valley, and interior South Florida.Dense Fog Advisoriesmay be issued as conditions warrant.
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To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
