RSS Morning Sitrep
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Friday, April 10th, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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High pressure along the eastern seaboard of the U.S. will continue wedging into the local area today, bringing mostly sunny skies and dry conditions to much of the Sunshine State.
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Breezy wind gustsupwards of 25-30 mphare expected to persist throughout the Peninsula this afternoon.
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A few gustsupwards of 20 mphmay spread into the Panhandle and Big Bend which, paired withnear critically low relative humidities (30-40%), will encourageelevated wildfire conditionsgiven the ongoing drought.
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High temperatures will climb into the lower to middle 80s throughout the state away from the coast, with 70s along the Panhandle coastline and East Coast.
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A few lingering showers are possible along the East Coast this evening, otherwise a mostly clear and calm night is expected throughout the state.
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These clear skies will promotepatchy fog developmentacross Northeast Florida, some of which could becomelocally dense.
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Low temperatures will dip into the middle to upper 50s across North Florida, upper 50s to lower 60s in Central Florida, and middle 60s to lower 70s in South Florida.
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ACoastal Flood Statementis in effect for the Upper Florida Keys through this afternoon forminor saltwater floodingof low elevation streets and lots near and during times of high tide.
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Breezy to windy conditions and high surf will bring amoderatetohigh risk for rip currentsto all East Coast and Panhandle beaches today.
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Surf of6-8’is expected from the First Coast to Southeast Florida andHigh Surf Advisoriesremain in effect for all beaches from Nassau County to Palm Beach County.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, April 9th, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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Scattered showers and embedded thunderstorms are ongoing across East-Central Florida this morning as northeasterly winds continue to send rounds of activity onshore.
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Additional scattered activity is expected to develop and push inland across the Peninsula this afternoon (40-70% chance of rain).
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A Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding is outlooked along the coast of East-Central and Southeast Florida where localized flooding and ponding of water is possible, especially in urban and poor drainage locations.
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Rainfall totals will generally remain between 1-2” along the I-95 corridor today, though localized amounts upwards of 3-5” cannot be ruled out.
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A mostly dry day with sunny skies is expected throughout the Panhandle and Big Bend.
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Windy conditions will persist across East-Central Florida today, with gusts upwards of 30-35 mph expected and a Wind Advisory is in effect along the immediate coast.
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Breezy winds with gusts of 25-30 mph will spread across the remainder of the state today.
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Relative humidities will approach critical thresholds (35-40%) across the Panhandle and Big Bend this afternoon which will encourage elevated wildfire conditions, especially given the ongoing drought.
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High temperatures will remain cooler in the lower to middle 70s across Northeast and East-Central Florida today, with upper 70s to lower 80s elsewhere across the state.
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Moisture will finally begin to pull away from Florida overnight, with just a few light showers lingering across Southeast Florida (20-30% chance of rain).
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Lows will fall into the middle to upper 50s across North Florida, lower to middle 60s in Central Florida, and middle 60s to lower 70s in South Florida.
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ACoastal Flood Advisory is in effect for portions of the tidal St. Johns River for areas ofnuisancetominor tidal floodingnear and during the morning high tide. Water levels may rise 1.5-2 feet above normally dry ground.
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ACoastal Flood Statementis in effect for the Middle and Upper Florida Keys through tonight forminor saltwater floodingnear and during times of high tide.
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Amoderatetohigh risk for rip currentsis expected for all Panhandle and East Coast beaches today.
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High Surf Advisoriesremain in effect for the western Panhandle and East Coast. Surf of4-6'is expected along western Panhandle beaches with waves near8-12' along all Atlantic Coast beaches.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Wednesday, April 8th, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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Ample tropical moisture and onshore northeasterly winds will continue to bring scattered to widespread showers and embedded thunderstorms to the Peninsula today.
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The greatest chance of rain will reside along the East Coast (75-90% chance of rain) where a Marginal to Slight (level 1-2 of 4) for Flash Flooding is outlooked.
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Although widespread flooding is not anticipated, additional rounds ofheavy downpours on already saturated soils may lead to instances of urban flooding and ponding of water.
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A Flood Watch is in effect today from coastal Volusia to coastal Miami-Dade County where rainfall totals will generally remain between 1-3”, though localized amounts upwards of 3-5” cannot be ruled out.
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Scattered showers are expected elsewhere throughout the Peninsula today (50-65% chance of rain), with isolated activity across Northeast Florida and the Panhandle (20-35% chance of rain).
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Windy conditions will persist today with Wind Advisories remaining in effect along much of the East Coast.
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Wind gusts upwards of 30-35 mph will spread throughout North and Central Florida, with locally greater gusts upwards of 40-45 mph possible along the immediate East Coast.
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Drier air and near critical relative humidities (35-45%) will overlap with these breezy winds across the Panhandle and Big Bend, which will promote locally elevated wildfire conditions.
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High temperatures will remain the coolest across Northeast and East-Central Florida today, only reaching the lower to middle 70s. Middle 70s to lower 80s can be expected elsewhere across the state.
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Tonight, scattered onshore moving showers will continue along the I-95 corridor as breezy winds persist (50-70% chance of rain), with isolated activity lingering across the rest of the Peninsula and Panhandle (15-25% chance of rain).
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Low temperatures will dip into the middle to upper 50s across North Florida and middle 60s to lower 70s in Central and South Florida.
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Dangerous marine conditions will continue along the East Coast and Panhandle today. Wave heights will reach near10-14'today from the First Coast to the Treasure Coast, with surf near5-8'for Southeast Florida and Panhandle beaches.
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AHigh Surf Advisoryis in effect for the East Coast and western Panhandle through tonight.
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Amoderatetohigh risk for rip currentsis expected for all Panhandle and East Coast beaches today.
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Instances ofminor beach erosionwill be possible along the East Coast along vulnerable and susceptible beaches near and during times of high tide.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, April 7th, 2026.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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Scattered to numerous showers and embedded thunderstorms are ongoing this morning across the Peninsula as an upper-level disturbance traverses across the state along a stalled frontal boundary.
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This disturbance will help to enhance the activity across the entire Peninsula this afternoon, with the I-95 corridor the most probable focus for the heaviest rainfall (65-95% chance of rain).
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The Weather Prediction Center has outlooked a Slight Risk (level 2 of 4) for Flash Flooding along the East Coast from Volusia County to Miami-Dade County.
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Saturated soils from recent rains may encourage instances of flooding and ponding of water today, especially in urban and poor drainage locations that receive additional repeated rounds of heavy downpours.
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A Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding is outlooked across much of the rest of the interior central and southern Peninsula.
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A Flood Watch is in effect along the coast from Volusia to Miami-Dade counties where rainfall totals generally between 2-4 inches are expected, however locally greater amounts upwards of 5-7” will be possible in areas that see repeated rounds of heavy downpours.
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Although there is no organized risk for severe weather today, a few locally embedded thunderstorms could produce frequent lightning, gusty winds (40-50 mph), and small hail.
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Breezy to windy conditions are expected to develop beginning this afternoon across Northeast Florida and surging southward overnight along the East Coast.
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Wind gusts upwards of 35-45 mph are expected along the immediate coast with gusts of 25-35 mph throughout interior portions of North and Central Florida. Wind Advisories are in effect across the eastern Peninsula through tonight.
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Across the Panhandle and Big Bend, a local pocket of dry air is expected to filter into the area in the wake of the frontal activity across the Peninsula.
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Relative humidities will dip well below critical thresholds (15-25%) which, paired with the breezy conditions, will promote elevated tolocally critical wildfire conditions.
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A Red Flag Warning is in effect for portions of the eastern Panhandle and Big Bend this afternoon for this wildfire risk.
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Isolated to scattered showers are expected to last through the overnight hours along the East Coast with easterly winds pushing activity onshore (40-65% chance of rain).
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High temperatures today will remain in the middle to upper 60s across Northeast and North-Central Florida with abundant cloud cover and rainfall. Middle 70s to lower 80s are expected throughout the Panhandle and South Florida.
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Lows will dip into the middle to upper 50s across North Florida tonight, with middle 60s to lower 70s across Central and South Florida.
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Dangerous marine conditions will develop across the East Coast today. Surf near4-6'this morning will increase to8-10'by the evening along the First Coast. Tonight, this high surf will surge southward along the East Coast with waves increasing to10-13'.
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AHigh Surf Advisoryis in effect for the First and Space Coast beginning this afternoon and the Treasure Coast beginning tonight.
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Amoderatetohigh risk for rip currentsis expected for all Panhandle and East Coast beaches today.
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Instances ofminor beach erosionwill be possible along the East Coast along vulnerable and susceptible beaches near and during times of high tide.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Monday, April 6th, 2026.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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The start to what will be a wet and rainy week is expected to commence today as the trailing end of a cold front slows and stalls across the Peninsula.
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A band of light rain showers has blossomed across the Panhandle and Big Bend this morning and will continue to slowly trek eastward through the day (50-75% chance of rain).
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Meanwhile throughout the Peninsula, the stalled cold front along with the afternoon sea breezes will promote and enhance scattered to numerous shower and embedded thunderstorm activity across Central and South Florida (55-85% chance of rain).
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Some of these storms could becomelocally strong and capable of producing frequent lightning, gusty winds (40-50 mph), and small hail.
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Additionally, much of this activity will be slow-moving and may lead to localized flooding and ponding of water, especially in urban and poor drainage locations.
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A Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding has been outlooked along the Florida East Coast today where localized rainfall totals could exceed 2-4” of rain in areas that receive multiple rounds of heavy downpours.
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Winds will become breezy throughout North Florida this afternoon, with gusts upwards of 20-25 mphexpected.
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High temperatures will climb into the 80s throughout Central and South Florida today, with thick cloud cover and light rainfall keeping temperatures cooler in the middle 60s to lower 70s along the I-10 corridor.
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Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will continue through the overnight hours across much of the Peninsula, some of which could remain locally heavy, especially along the I-95 corridor (60-85% chance of rain).
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Mostly dry conditions will prevail overnight across the western Panhandle with an isolated shower possible throughout the eastern Panhandle and Big Bend (15-30% chance of rain).
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Low temperatures will cool off into the 50s throughout North Florida tonight, with middle 60s to lower 70s expected across Central and South Florida.
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Amoderate tohigh risk for rip currentsremains for most Panhandle and East Coast beaches today as breezy winds persist.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
