RSS Morning Sitrep
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Friday, February 27, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Areas of patchy dense fog across portions of the interior Peninsula will slowly lift and dissipate through the morning hours.
- Areas of fog mixed with wildfire smoke may lead to near zero visibility this morning.
- Sea fog may linger along the West-Central Florida coastline through the afternoon hours.
- Scattered showers across the Panhandle and Big Bend early this morning will increase in coverage throughout the morning and afternoon hours ahead of a slow-moving frontal boundary, sliding eastward towards Northeast Florida (75-90% chance of rain).
- Additional showers and embedded thunderstorms will also begin to develop across Central Florida later this afternoon (50-75% chance of rain).
- Although there is no organized risk for severe weather, some of this activity could be locally strong and produce gusty winds (30-50mph), small hail, and locally heavy downpours.
- Rainfall totals will remain below 1" for much of North and Central Florida, however localized totals upwards of 3" cannot be ruled out.
- A few isolated showers cannot be ruled out south of Lake Okeechobee this afternoon as well (25-40% chance of rain).
- High temperatures will climb into the middle 70s to lower 80s throughout North Florida and lower to upper 80s throughout the Peninsula.
- Pockets of lower relative humidities across interior South Florida may keep the locally elevated wildfire conditions in place where a few active wildfires continue to burn.
- Isolated lightning strikes today could lead to additional wildfire ignition across portions of the Peninsula.
- Tonight, shower and embedded thunderstorm activity will begin to slowly drift towards Central Florida as the frontal boundary is slow to sag southward (50-80% chance of rain).
- Areas of low clouds and patchy fog may develop across North Florida tonight where lingering low-level moisture and warmer temperatures overlap.
- Additional areas of patchy fog cannot be ruled out across interior South Florida tonight as well ahead of the main rain activity.
- Where fog and smoke combine, visibility reductions may become significant, creating hazardous nighttime driving conditions.
- Lows will fall into the middle to upper 50s across North Florida and lower to middle 60s throughout the Peninsula.
- A high risk for rip currents is expected for all Panhandle beaches this afternoon, with a moderate risk for most East Coast and Nature Coast beaches.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, February 26, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Following our transition day on Wednesday, isolated pockets of patchy fog and low clouds were present this morning as low-level moisture gradually returns to the Sunshine State.
- Spotty showers this morning along the Florida Panhandle will set the stage for increasing rain chances (40-60%), becoming increasingly widespread this evening and overnight (50-80% chance of rain).
- Southerly winds build ahead of our next frontal system, with wind gusts reaching 20-25 mph across North Florida and localized gusts upwards of 30 mph possible along the immediate coastline.
- A mixture of sunshine and clouds can be expected throughout the Florida Peninsula, with a slight chance for a few showers this afternoon across Southeast Florida (20-25%).
- The primary weather headline today will continue to be sensitive to elevated wildfire conditions across the Florida Peninsula, with Red Flag Warnings going into effect this afternoon across East-Central Florida until 6:00 PM EST.
- While low-level moisture returns, long-term drought and extremely dry fuels/vegetationwill continue to promote wildfire ignition and spread.
- Areas of dense smoke will likely pool near ongoing wildfires or burns; this is especially impactful near the large wildfire (National Wildfire) burning within Big Cypress National Preserve where periods of reduced visibility are likely along Alligator Alley (I-75) in Collier and Broward Counties.
- Tonight, areas of fog and low clouds will develop; where fog and smoke combine, visibility reductions may become significant, creating hazardous nighttime driving conditions.
- A high risk of rip currents continues for Florida Panhandle, East-Central Florida, and Southeast Florida beaches; moderate risk conditions reside along Northeast Florida beaches.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Wednesday, February 25, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- One last cool start this morning for the Sunshine State today as temperatures will warm up nicely throughout the day.
- Frost Advisories will be allowed to expire by the early to mid-morning hours from the Suwannee Valley through the Peninsula with temperatures steadily warming up.
- High pressure overhead will continue to bring mostly dry conditions across the state, with a slim chance for brief showers moving onshore from the Emerald Coast this afternoon (5-10% chance of rain).
- Very dry conditions will persist throughout East-Central and interior South Florida where relative humidity values will fall below critical thresholds again (15-35%).
- Elevated wildfire conditions can be expected to persist and locally critical conditions cannot be fully ruled out.
- Dense smoke will be possible throughout the day across South Florida and South-Central Florida today due to the ongoing National Wildfire in the Everglades.
- High temperatures will return to the upper 60s to middle 70s across the state this afternoon.
- As the next cold front approaches slowly from the west, shower activity will increase along the Panhandle this evening bringing isolated to widely scattered showers onshore (15-30% chance of rain).
- Instances of patchy fog may be possible across the Panhandle and interior West Florida early Thursday morning; however, elevated winds may limit fog development.
- Low temperatures will fall back into the 40s and 50s across the state, with coastal portions of the Panhandle and Southeast Florida reaching the lower 60s.
- Winds shifting out of the south to southwest will allow for a high risk for rip currents to return to much of the Panhandle. Lingering swells off the East Coast will keep a high risk in place for numerous beaches.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, February 24, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Freeze Warnings and Cold Weather Advisories across the state this morning will be allowed to expire mid-morning as temperatures gradually warm up.
- After a cold start this morning across the state high pressure conditions will continue today lead to dry conditions and plenty of sunshine.
- Relative humidity values will remain near or below critical thresholds (20-35%)across the state, but lighter winds can be expected to return throughout the day.
- Despite the calmer winds, elevated tolocally critical wildfire conditions can be expected due to the critical relative humidity values and the ongoing drought.
- High temperatures will reach the middle 50s to middle 60s across the state this afternoon.
- Clear and calm conditions overnight may lead to patchy to widespread frost developing across portions of Northeast and the interior Peninsula, and Frost Advisories will go into effect late overnight.
- Low temperatures will fall into the30s to middle 40s for most of the state, with Southeast Florida keeping to the upper 40s to lower 50s.
- Swells of 3-5' along the Florida East Coast and onshore winds along the Florida West Coast will keep a high risk for rip currents in place today. Panhandle will return to a moderate risk.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Monday, February 23rd, 2026.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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High pressure moving in from the northern Plains will bring much cooler and drier air than we’ve seen in the last couple of weeks.
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Cold Weather Advisories across the state will expire mid-morning due to the chilly start from cold temperature and breezy winds.
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Plenty of sunshine can be expected today with lingering breezy northwesterly winds across the state.
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Very dry air will cause relative humidity values tonear and below critical thresholds nearly statewide this afternoon(20-30%).
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This combined withwind gusts of 20-30 mph over expanding extreme drought will createcritical wildfire conditions nearly statewide, also leading to the issuance ofRed Flag Warnings.
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The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is outlookingElevated toCritical(level 1-2 of 3) for Fire Weather across the Big Bend and the Peninsula.
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High temperatures will reach the 50s and lower 60s throughout the state this afternoon.
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Clear skies will allow for temperatures to fall overnight. Lighter winds can also be expected for much of the state, leading toinstances of frost throughout portions of North and Central Florida by Tuesday morning.
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Low temperatures will fall into themiddle 20s to lower 30s across North and North-Central Florida,middle 30s across Central Florida andmiddle 30s to lower 40s across South Florida.
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Freeze Warnings will go into effect tonight nearly statewide forsub-freezing to freezing temperatures by the early morning hours on Tuesday, withhard freeze conditions possible for the Big Bend.
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Despite lighter winds it will still feel cooler than the temperatures in the morning asfeels-like temperatures will be in the20sand 30s statewide by sunrise.
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Cold Weather Advisories will go into effect tonight nearly statewide, except for coastal portions of South Florida.
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Gusty post-frontal winds out of the northwest and large ocean swells will create amoderate to high rip current risk statewide.
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Large ocean swells across the Peninsula will lead towave heights of 4-8’ with larger breakingwaves of 8-11’off the Southeast Florida beaches.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
