RSS Morning Sitrep
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for [Sunday, April19,2026]]
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
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Isolated showers are ongoing across the far western Panhandle this morning ahead of and along a quick moving cold front. These showers will spread into the rest of the Panhandle this morning (15-25% chance of rain) before quickly dissipating as they enter the Big Bend region.
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Throughout much of Northeast and Central Florida today, a clear and dry day is expected.
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A few isolated sea breeze showers cannot be ruled out across Southeast Florida today (20-30% chance of rain).
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In the wake of the frontal passage across the Panhandle and Big Bend, breezy wind gustsupwards of 25-30 mphwill develop this afternoon.
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Paired withcritically low relative humidities (25-30%),elevated wildfire conditionsare expected to persist across North Florida.
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Locally critical wildfire dangercannot be ruled out in any areas that see little wetting rainfall this morning.
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Drier air will also filter across much of the Peninsula, though winds will remain lighter with gusts upwards of 15-25 mph expected.
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High temperatures will struggle to climb out of the lower to middle 70s throughout the Panhandle this afternoon. Highs in the middle 80s to lower 90s are expected elsewhere statewide.
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Relative humidities will struggle to recover across North Florida overnight, keeping thesensitivetoelevated wildfire riskin place even through the night.
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A few lingering showers may also persist along the East-Central and Southeast coast tonight (15-25% chance of rain).
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Low temperatures will fall into the upper 40s to middle 50s across the Panhandle and Big Bend tonight, middle 50s to lower 60s in Northeast Florida, and middle 60s to lower 70s throughout Central and South Florida.
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Amoderate risk for rip currents is expected for Atlantic and Panhandle beaches today.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Saturday, April 18, 2026
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
- Any areas of patchy fog across North and Central Florida will quickly dissipate as the sun rises this morning.
- High pressure will continue to dominate the local pattern today keeping sunny and dry conditions in place nearly statewide.
- A very isolated sea breeze shower cannot be ruled out across interior Southwest Florida this afternoon (15-20% chance of rain), though any activity will be light and brief in nature.
- The start to what will be a multi-day stretch of elevated wildfire conditions is expected to begin today across the Panhandle, Big Bend, and Northeast Florida.
- Winds will increase this afternoon to 10-15 mph, with gusts upwards of 20-25 mph. Relative humidities will also dip to near critical thresholds (25-35%) in an area experiencing extreme to exceptional drought (level 3-4 of 4).
- As a result, a Red Flag Warning is in effect for interior portions of the Big Bend today where critical wildfire danger is expected.
- High temperatures will also reach near record warmth across much of North Florida this afternoon, climbing into the upper 80s to middle 90s. Highs throughout the Peninsula will reach the middle 80s to lower 90s, with cooler conditions along the East Coast.
- Relative humidities will quickly recover after sunset throughout North Florida with areas of patchy fog development possible across the Big Bend, Nature Coast, and Suwannee River Valley.
- A cold front with isolated showers ahead of it will begin to approach the western Panhandle shortly after midnight (15-20% chance of rain).
- Low temperatures will fall into the 60s throughout much of the state, with lower to middle 70s across coastal Southeast Florida and the Keys.
- A moderate risk for rip currents is expected for Panhandle and East Coast beaches today.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Friday, April 17, 2026
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
- Any areas of patchy fog throughout North and Central Florida this morning will dissipate by mid-morning as the sun rises.
- Otherwise, yet another sunny and dry day is expected statewide today with high-pressure firmly anchored across the Gulf states.
- Chances of rain will remain near zero statewide, the exception being coastal Southeast Florida where an isolated sprinkle or brief shower cannot be ruled out (15-20% chance of rain).
- Relative humidities will dip to near or below critical thresholds (25-35%) throughout interior portions of the Panhandle and Northeast Florida this afternoon.
- Elevated wildfire conditions are likely to persist given these dry conditions and ongoing extremeto exceptional drought (level 3-4 of 4).
- Winds are expected to remain on the lighter side throughout much of the state today, though may gust upwards of 15-20 mph along the East Coast.
- Highs will climb well into the upper 80s to middle 90s across interior portions of the state, with the coastal Panhandle and East Coast remaining cooler in the 70s and lower 80s due to breezier onshore winds.
- Clear and calm conditions will prevail overnight.
- Low temperatures will dip into the upper 50s to lower 60s in North Florida, middle to upper 60s in Central Florida, and upper 60s to middle 70s in South Florida.
- Areas of patchy fog may develop throughout North and Central Florida tonight, some of which could become locally dense.
- A moderate risk for rip currents is expected for East Coast and Panhandle beaches today.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, April 16, 2026
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
- Dense Fog Advisories are in effect across the Panhandle this morning and will remain in effect until mid-morning as the fog slowly burns off after sunrise.
- Otherwise, yet another sunny and dry day is expected statewide today with high-pressure firmly anchored across the Gulf states.
- Relative humidities will dip to near or below critical thresholds (25-35%) throughout interior portions of the Panhandle and Northeast Florida this afternoon.
- Elevated wildfire conditions are likely to persist given these dry conditions and ongoing extreme to exceptional drought (level 3-4 of 4).
- Winds are expected to remain on the lighter side throughout much of the state today, though may gust upwards of 15-20 mph along the East Coast.
- Highs will climb well into the middle 80s to lower 90s across interior portions of the state, with the coastal Panhandle and East Coast remaining a few degrees cooler.
- Clear and calm conditions will prevail overnight.
- Low temperatures will dip into the middle to upper 50s in North Florida, upper 50s to middle 60s in Central Florida, and middle 60s to lower 70s in South Florida.
- Areas of patchy dense fog are expected to develop throughout North and Central Florida tonight, which may prompt additional Dense Fog Advisories as warranted.
- A moderate to high risk for rip currents is expected for all Panhandle and East Coast beaches today.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Wednesday ,April 15, 2026
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
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Dense Fog Advisories are in effect across the Panhandle this morning and will remain in effect until mid-morning as the fog slowly burns off after sunrise.
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Otherwise, yet another sunny and dry day is expected statewide today with high-pressure firmly anchored across the Gulf states.
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Relative humidities will dip to near or below critical thresholds (25-35%)throughout interior portions of the Panhandle and Northeast Florida this afternoon.
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Elevated wildfire conditions are likely to persist given these dry conditions and ongoing extreme to exceptional drought (level 3-4 of 4).
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Winds will finally begin to subside across the Peninsula today, though may still gust upwards of 20 mph across the eastern Peninsula. Any active wildfires may experience blowing smoke as a result.
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Highs will climb well into the middle 80s to lower 90s across interior portions of the state, with the coastal Panhandle and East Coast remaining a few degrees cooler.
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Clear and calm conditions will prevail overnight.
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Low temperatures will dip into the middle to upper 50s in North Florida, upper 50s to middle 60s in Central Florida, and lower 60s to lower 70s in South Florida.
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Areas of patchy dense fog are expected to develop throughout the Panhandle and Big Bend tonight, which may prompt additional Dense Fog Advisories as warranted.
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Amoderatetohigh risk for rip currentsis expected for most Panhandle and all East Coast beaches today.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.