RSS Morning Sitrep
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Saturday, November 08, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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Patchy dense fogacross the Panhandle and Northeast Florida will dissipate through the early morning hours.
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Showers and embedded thunderstorms are already ongoing this morning across the Big Bend region associated with a weak cold front.
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This activity will spread eastward throughout the morning and afternoon across Northeast Florida and the I-95 corridor (25-35% chance of rain).
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A few thunderstorms could belocally strong and capable of producing frequent lightning and gusty winds.
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Locally heavy downpourscannot be ruled out with any heavier thunderstorm activity.
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Drier air will remain in place across much of Central and South Florida, though an isolated shower cannot be ruled out along the Treasure Coast (15-20% chance of rain).
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High temperatures will remain seasonable to above normal for this time of year, with highs climbing into the lower to middle 80s across North and Central Florida and middle to upper 80s in South Florida.
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Heat index valueswill approach thelower 90sacross South Florida this afternoon.
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A mostly dry overnight is expected across the state.
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A few lingering showers are possible along the Space Coast through the evening and early overnight hours (15-20% chance of rain).
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Across the far western Panhandle, an additional cold front will approach the state towards daybreak with a few isolated showers possible (15-20% chance of rain).
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Lows will dip into the middle 60s to lower 70s statewide.
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Patchy dense fogmay develop towards daybreak across the Suwannee Valley and along the I-75 corridor.
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Amoderate risk for rip currentsis expected for all East Coast and most Panhandle beaches today.
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Coastal Flood Statements extend across the Florida Keys due to elevated tides creatingminor tidal flooding.
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The St. Johns River at Astor remains withinminor flood stage and a River Flood Warning is in effect.
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Tropical cyclone activity isnot expected over the next 7 days in the Atlantic basin.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Friday, November 07, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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Patchy dense fog across the western Panhandle and Northeast Florida will dissipate through the early morning hours and aDense Fog Advisorywill be allowed to expire by 10/9 AM EST/CST.
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An upper-level disturbance over the eastern Gulf will begin to move over the southern Peninsula this afternoon, helping to trigger widely scattered showers across South Florida (25-35% chance of rain).
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Drier air will remain in place across much of Central and North Florida with sunny skies prevailing.
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Given the ongoing drought and very dry vegetation across the Panhandle,locally sensitive wildfire conditions may develop this afternoon.
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A cold front will sink across the lower Mississippi Valley later in the day today which may bring a few isolated showers to the far western Panhandle (20-30% chance of rain), though activity will be mostly reserved for the overnight hours.
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High temperatures will remain seasonable to above normal for this time of year, with highs climbing into the upper 70s to middle 80s statewide.
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Heat index valueswill approach thelower 90sacross South Florida this afternoon.
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A few isolated showers and embedded thunderstorms will develop across the Panhandle overnight and spread eastward (20-30% chance of rain).
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Although an organized risk for severe weather is not outlooked, conditions will be conducive for an isolatedstrong to severe thunderstorm capable of producing lightning, gusty winds, and small hail.
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Lows will dip into the middle 60s to lower 70s statewide, with interior northeast Florida reaching the upper 50s.
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Patchy dense fogmay develop towards daybreak across the Suwannee Valley and along the I-75 corridor.
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Amoderate risk for rip currentsis expected for all East Coast and most Panhandle beaches today, with a localhigh riskfor Palm Beach beaches.
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Coastal Flood Statements extend across the Florida Keys due to elevated tides creatingminor tidal flooding.
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The St. Johns River at Astor remains withinminor flood stage and aRiver Flood Warning is in effect.
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Tropical cyclone activity isnot expected over the next 7 days in the Atlantic basin.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, November 6, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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Patchy dense fog this morning across North Florida will slowly dissipate through the early morning hours and aDense Fog Advisory will expire at 10 AM ET.
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Another mostly dry day is on tap for much of the Sunshine State as high pressure over the Eastern U.S. slides eastward, keeping onshore winds in place along the Atlantic Coast.
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A few sprinkles or isolated showers are possible across coastal South Florida during the afternoon hours, though any activity is expected to be light and brief (15-20% chance of rain).
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A mostly cloudy day is expected across Central and South Florida as clouds from a nearby upper-level disturbance in the Gulf stream over the Peninsula.
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A shower or two cannot be ruled out across the southern Peninsula and across West-Central Florida with any of this cloud cover.
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Partly to mostly sunny skies are expected across North Florida today as relative humidities reachnear critical thresholds during the afternoon hours, which may lead tolocally sensitive wildfire conditions given the ongoing drought.
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High temperatures will remain seasonable to above normal for this time of year, with highs climbing into the upper 70s to lower 80s statewide.
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Lows will dip into the lower to middle 50s for much of North Florida, which will encouragepatchy dense fog to form towards daybreak Friday morning.
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AnotherDense Fog Advisory cannot be ruled out across North Florida through the late night and early morning hours tomorrow.
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Lows will reach the middle to upper 60s across Central and South Florida, with coastal areas of South Florida only reaching the lower to middle 70s.
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Amoderate risk for rip currentsis expected for all East Coast and most Panhandle beaches today.
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Coastal Flood Statements extend along the Treasure Coast and Southeast Florida coast due to lingering elevated tides creatingminor tidal flooding.
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The St. Johns River at Astor and Lake Harney remain withinminor flood stage.
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Tropical cyclone activity isnot expected over the next 7 days in the Atlantic basin.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Wednesday, November 5, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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Patchy areas of dense fog have developed this morning across portions of the Suwannee Valley and interior Northeast Florida reducing visibility to less than a mile in some place.
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Foggy conditions will continue to gradually lift and dissipate as the sun rises.
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High pressure settling in over the southeastern U.S. will continue to bring a near-zero chance of rain and plenty of sunshine across the state.
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Lingering breezywind gusts of 15-20 mphwill continue along South Florida but will relax later this evening.
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Despite relative humidity values recovering today and keeping above critical thresholds this afternoon keepingsensitive wildfire conditionsin place throughout northern Florida.
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High temperatures will warm up into the upper 70s to lower 80s across the state with portions of West-Central Florida approaching the middle 80s.
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Dry and calm conditions can be expected to continue into the overnight hours.
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Another round ofpatchy to scattered fogwill develop overnight and into Thursday morning throughout much of North Florida and extending into the Suwannee Valley and Nature Coast.
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Low temperatures will fall into 50s throughout North Florida, lower to middle 60s across Central Florida and upper 60s to middle 70s across South Florida overnight.
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Onshore winds and lingering ocean swells will continue to create ahigh risk for rip currentsalong the Atlantic Coast.
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Panhandle beaches will see amoderate risk.
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Coastal Flood Statementsextend along the Treasure Coast and Southeast Florida coast due to elevated King Tides with the full moon, breezier onshore winds and elevated surf creatingminor tidal flooding.
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The St. Johns River at Astor and Lake Harney remain withinminor flood stage.
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Tropical cyclone activity isnot expectedduring the next 7 days in the Atlantic Basin.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, November 4th, 2025.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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A near-zero chance of rain returns across the Sunshine State as high pressure settles in over the southeastern U.S
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Dry and pleasant conditions can be expected today with breezy wind gusts developing from Northeast Florida and throughout the Peninsula.
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Windgusts upwards of 15-20 mph can be expected, with stronger windgusts upwards of 25-30 mph possible closer towards the coasts.
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Relative humidity values will fallnear and below critical thresholds (25-40%) throughout the Panhandle and Big Bend allowingsensitive wildfire conditions to persist with ongoing drought and worsening rainfall deficits.
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Locally elevated conditions cannot be ruled out given the level of drought throughout northern Florida
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High temperatures will reach the middle 70s to lower 80s throughout the state this afternoon.
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Dry and calm conditions can be expected tonight throughout the state.
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Instances of patchy fog may develop overnight and into early Wednesday morning across portions of the Suwannee Valley and interior Northeast Florida.
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Low temperatures will fall into the middle 40s to middle 50s across North Florida, upper 50s to upper 60s across Central Florida and upper 60s to middle 70s across South Florida overnight.
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Breezy winds andelevated surf of 4-6' will create ahigh risk for rip currents along all East Coast beaches today.
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Portions of the eastern Panhandle and Southwest Florida will see amoderate risk.
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Coastal Flood Statements have been posted for portions of the Treasure Coast as tides will become elevated with tonight's Supermoon leading to instances ofminor tidal flooding.
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Coastal Flood Advisoriesmay be issued later today or tonight along the tidal St. Johns River for elevated tides and onshore winds creatingminor tidal flooding at high tide.
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The St. Johns River at Astor and Lake Harney remain withinminor flood stage.
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Tropical cyclone activity isnot expected over the next 7 days in the Atlantic basin.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
