RSS Morning Sitrep
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Saturday, November 15, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Patchy dense fog has developed overnight across the western Panhandle, and a Dense Fog Advisory will remain in effect until 8 AM CST this morning.
- Patchy fog across the western Panhandle and localized areas of Northeast Florida will quickly dissipate after sunrise this morning giving way to another sunny and dry day across Florida (near-0% chance of rain statewide).
- Although winds will remain light, relative humidities will dip near critical thresholds across North Florida this afternoon (30-35% RH values) which may lead to sensitive to locally elevated wildfire conditions.
- Temperatures will remain warm today for mid-November standards, reaching 6-10-degrees above normal in parts of North Florida and near seasonable levels across Central and South Florida.
- Highs will climb into the middle 70s to lower 80s statewide this afternoon.
- Low temperatures will continue their warming trend this weekend, only reaching the upper 40s to middle 50s across much of North and Central Florida.
- Widespread patchy fog, which could be locally dense, may develop across much of North and Central Florida overnight and towards daybreak Sunday.
- Dense Fog Advisories cannot be ruled out if conditions warrant.
- Lows will only dip into the lower to middle 60s for South Florida overnight.
- A moderate risk for rip currents is expected for most Panhandle, Space Coast, and Treasure Coast beaches today.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Friday, November 14, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Another Sunny and dry day is on tap for Florida as high pressure remains anchored over the Southeast U.S (near-0% chance of rain statewide).
- A dry frontal passage will reinforce the dry air across North Florida and the Panhandle this afternoon, with relative humidities reaching near or below critical thresholds (25-30% RH values).
- Although winds will remain light today, the ongoing drought and low humidities will allow for locally sensitive to elevated wildfire conditions this afternoon across North Florida.
- Relative humidities will remain above critical thresholds across South Florida today, though breezier winds are expected with gusts upwards of 15-20 mphpossible along coastal Southeast Florida.
- Highs will climb towards seasonable levels this afternoon, into the middle to upper 70s statewide.
- Lows across North Florida will reach the lower to upper 40s in most locations, with coastal regions remaining in the lower 50s.
- Patchy fog may develop towards daybreak across portions of the western Panhandle and interior Northeast Florida.
- Lows will dip into the lower to middle 50s across Central Florida where additional patchy fog is possible across the I-75 corridor and Nature Coast.
- Upper 50s to middle 60s can be expected in South Florida with coastal Southeast Florida communities only reaching the upper 60s to lower 70s.
- A moderate risk for rip currents is expected for all Panhandle and East Coast beaches today.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, November 13, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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A clear and seasonably cool morning will give way to another sunny and pleasant day across Florida as high pressure remains anchored over the Southeast U.S.
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A dry airmass will remain in place today, though relative humidities will increase a bit from yesterday across North Florida (40-50% RH values).
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Still, the ongoing drought and very dry vegetation across North Florida may lead tolocally sensitive wildfire conditionsthis afternoon.
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Relative humidities willapproach critical thresholdsacross parts of West-Central Florida (30-35% RH values), though winds will remain light keeping the overall wildfire threat low.
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A few wind gustsupwards of 20 mphcannot be ruled out across Southeast Florida this afternoon.
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Highs will climb into the middle to upper 70s statewide this afternoon.
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Low temperatures will remain cooler across North Florida, dipping into the lower to middle 40s overnight.
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Lows in Central Florida will reach the upper 40s to lower 50s, while South Florida will only reach the upper 50s to middle 60s.
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Some isolatedpatchy fogis possible towards daybreak Friday across the western Panhandle.
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Amoderate risk for rip currentsis expected for the Panhandle and most East Coast beaches today
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There is a lingeringhigh riskalong Palm Beach County beaches where surf of2-4'is expected.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Wednesday, November 11, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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Another cold start this morning across much of North Florida and northern Central Florida asFreeze WarningsandFrost Advisorieswill remain in effect through 8:00 AM EST due tosub-freezing temperatures this morning andareas of frost development.
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Plenty of sunshine courtesy of high pressure over the southeastern U.S. and eastern gulf waters will allow for conditions to warm up from the cool down earlier this week.
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Elevated wildfire conditionswill persist throughout Northeast Florida with relative humidity values fallingbelow critical thresholds this afternoon (15-30%).
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Ongoing drought conditions will allow forsensitive wildfire conditions to continue throughout northern and western Florida despite relative humidity values begin to recover.
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High temperatures will return to the middle 60s to lower 70s throughout North and Central Florida and middle to upper 70s across South Florida this afternoon.
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While these temperatures are warmer than the last day or so they will still be afew degrees below normalfor this time of year.
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Some instances ofpatchy frostmay develop overnight and early Thursday morning along interior portions of the Big Bend and Northeast Florida.
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Low temperatures will fall into theupper 30sto lower 40s across interior Northeast Florida, middle to upper 40s across the rest of North Florida and Central Florida, 50s and 60s across South Florida and near 70-degrees for the Keys.
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Amoderate risk for rip currentsreturns for the Panhandle and most East Coast beaches today; however, there is a lingeringhigh riskalong Southeast Florida beaches. Southwest Florida beaches will also see amoderate risk.
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Ocean swells continue to push southward and decline across the Peninsula allowing for waveheights of reach 2-4’.
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Greater breakingwaves of 4-6’ will be possible along Southeast Florida beaches through the afternoon.
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The St. Johns River at Astor is just about to fall belowminor flood stage, but will hover between Action Stage (bank-full) and minor flood stage for the next several days.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, November 11th, 2025.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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Acold startto the day can be expected for much of Florida as feels-like temperatures through sunrise are near or below freezing.
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Conditions will gradually warm up throughout the day given plenty of sunshine and clear skies throughout the day; however,temperatures are to be below normal for this time of year.
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Calmer winds will return to North Florida, butgustier winds of 20-25 mphcan be expected throughout the Peninsula with some areas reachingnear 30-35 mph gustsat times.
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Very dry air will settle into the state allowing for relative humidity values to fallbelow critical thresholdsnearly statewide, except for coastal portions of East-Central and South Florida, by the afternoon.
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Elevated wildfire conditionscan be expected nearly statewide, with ahigher wildfire dangeracross the southwest quadrant of the Peninsula.
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Red Flag Warnings will go into effect later this morning for portions of Central and Southwest Florida fordangerous wildfire potentialdeveloping this afternoon.
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High temperatures will reach the 50s across North Florida and southward towards the I-4 corridor. South of the I-4 corridor high temperatures will reach the 60s this afternoon, with the Keys remaining near 70-degrees.
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Clear skies overnight will allow for temperatures to fall again tonight, but conditions will not be quite as cold as Monday night.
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Low temperatures will fall into themiddle 20s to lower 30sacross the Suwannee Valley and much of the Florida Big Bend whereFreeze Warningswill go into effect at midnight. Throughout the rest of North Florida low temperatures will return to themiddle 30s to lower 40s.
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Central Florida will see low temperatures in theupper 30sto middle 40s.Frost Advisorieswill go into effect overnight and early Wednesday morning along portions of the Northeast Florida coast and interior portions of East-Central Florida wherefrost developmentis possible.
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South Florida will see low temperatures in the upper 40s to lower 60s.
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Breezy winds and large ocean swells will create amoderate to high risk for rip currentsstatewide.
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Wave heights of 4-7’can be expected for Peninsula beaches, with largerwaves upwards of 6-10’along the Treasure Coast whereHigh Surf Advisoriesare in effect.
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The St. Johns River at Astor continues to fall through minor flood stage.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
