RSS Morning Sitrep
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Monday, February 23rd, 2026.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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High pressure moving in from the northern Plains will bring much cooler and drier air than we’ve seen in the last couple of weeks.
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Cold Weather Advisories across the state will expire mid-morning due to the chilly start from cold temperature and breezy winds.
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Plenty of sunshine can be expected today with lingering breezy northwesterly winds across the state.
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Very dry air will cause relative humidity values tonear and below critical thresholds nearly statewide this afternoon(20-30%).
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This combined withwind gusts of 20-30 mph over expanding extreme drought will createcritical wildfire conditions nearly statewide, also leading to the issuance ofRed Flag Warnings.
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The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is outlookingElevated toCritical(level 1-2 of 3) for Fire Weather across the Big Bend and the Peninsula.
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High temperatures will reach the 50s and lower 60s throughout the state this afternoon.
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Clear skies will allow for temperatures to fall overnight. Lighter winds can also be expected for much of the state, leading toinstances of frost throughout portions of North and Central Florida by Tuesday morning.
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Low temperatures will fall into themiddle 20s to lower 30s across North and North-Central Florida,middle 30s across Central Florida andmiddle 30s to lower 40s across South Florida.
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Freeze Warnings will go into effect tonight nearly statewide forsub-freezing to freezing temperatures by the early morning hours on Tuesday, withhard freeze conditions possible for the Big Bend.
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Despite lighter winds it will still feel cooler than the temperatures in the morning asfeels-like temperatures will be in the20sand 30s statewide by sunrise.
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Cold Weather Advisories will go into effect tonight nearly statewide, except for coastal portions of South Florida.
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Gusty post-frontal winds out of the northwest and large ocean swells will create amoderate to high rip current risk statewide.
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Large ocean swells across the Peninsula will lead towave heights of 4-8’ with larger breakingwaves of 8-11’off the Southeast Florida beaches.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Sunday, February 22nd, 2026.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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Dense Fog conditionsacross South Florida will gradually lift and dissipate this morning as shower activity associated with a cold front approaches from the north.
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Currently the shower activity is moving through Central Florida but will push into South Florida later this morning and throughout the afternoon (45-60% chance of rain).
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With daytime heating and already warmer conditions across South Florida, an isolated thunderstorm or two cannot be ruled out.
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Behind the cold front, breezy and at times gusty winds will develop out of the northwest. Winds of 15-25 mph can be expected, withwind gusts reaching upwards of 25-35 mph.
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Wind Advisoriesextend across much of the Panhandle through this evening to account for gusty winds.
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Also behind this cold front will be a much drier punch of air bringing relative humidity values tocritical thresholdsthis afternoon for most of North and Central Florida(20-35%).
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Red Flag Warnings will go into effect for most of that region to account for critical relative humidity values and elevated winds occurring over extreme drought conditions.
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High temperatures will reach the middle 50s to lower 60s across the Panhandle, middle 60s to lower 70s across the Big Bend, middle to upper 70s across Central Florida and upper 70s to middle 80s across South Florida.
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As the front clears the state this evening and overnight, drier and much cooler air will push southward behind the front. Elevated wind gusts of 15-25 mph will continue throughout the overnight hours across the state as that colder air rushes in.
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There may be a slight chance for somepatchy fogearly in the morning hours along portions of Southwest Florida.
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Low temperatures will fall into thelower tomiddle 30sacross North Florida,middle 30sto lower 40s across Central Florida and 40s to lower 50s across South Florida.
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AFreeze Warningwill go into effect tonight for portions of interior Northeast Florida forsub-freezing temperaturesexpected tonight.
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With elevated winds,temperatures will feel-likethey are in the20sacross North Florida,upper 20s tolower 30sacross interior Central Florida andlower tomiddle 30sfor the coasts, andmiddle 30sto lower 40s across South Florida near sunrise Monday morning.
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Cold Weather Advisorieshave been issued across several interior portions of the Peninsula ahead of Monday morning.
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Gusty post-frontal winds out of the northwest and distant ocean swells will create amoderate tohigh rip current risk statewide.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Saturday. February 21, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Fog and low clouds along Gulf coastal zones will likely linger into the late morning hours and may persist into the early afternoon in some locations.
- The primary weather headline today will be a frontal system triggering scattered showers and embedded thunderstorms across the Florida Panhandle (35-65% chance of rain).
- A few thunderstorms may become strong to locally severe; the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed the Florida Panhandle under a Marginal Risk (Level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather for locally damaging wind gusts of 45-60 mph, occasional lightning, and isolated instances of hail.
- While the greatest tornado potential appears to remain just north of the Florida state line across the Deep South, thunderstorms along and north of the I-10 corridor could still produce a brief, isolated tornado.
- There is no organized risk for flash flooding; locally heavy downpours and rainfall rates possible within any stronger or more organized thunderstorm activity.
- Rain chances will increase and gradually shift eastward through the evening and overnight hours (45-75% chance of rain); however, the severe weather threat will largely diminish after sunset.
- Afternoon highs will reach the upper 70s to lower 80s across North Florida; a few interior Florida Peninsula locations potentially eclipsing the 90-degree mark.
- Mild conditions continue for one more night before a pattern change; low-level moisture ahead of the approaching shower and rain activity will support another night of patchy to locally dense fog and low clouds.
- A moderate risk of rip currents can be expected along all Florida East Coast beaches, with a high risk of rip currents along the Florida Panhandle and Palm Beach County beaches.
- Long-term dry soils and vegetation will continue to promote locally sensitive to elevated wildfire conditions throughout the Florida Peninsula.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Friday, February 20, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Areas of fog and low clouds across the coastal Big Bend and interior Peninsula will slowly lift and dissipate through the morning hours. Some areas of fog may linger longer, especially along the coasts.
- Widely scattered showers are ongoing across the Panhandle this morning amidst moist southerly flow south of a stalled frontal boundary over Central Georgia.
- Additional scattered showers and embedded thunderstorms will develop and stream northward across the Big Bend and Panhandle through this afternoon (50-65% chance of rain).
- Although there is no organized risk for flash flooding, a few locally heavy downpourscannot be ruled out with localized rainfall totals upwards of 2”.
- Otherwise, a mostly sunny and dry day is expected elsewhere across the state.
- Winds will remain elevated over North Florida this afternoon, with gusts upwards of 20-25 mph possible.
- Pockets of low relative humiditieswill bring elevated wildfire conditions to portions of interior South and Central Florida today.
- High temperatures this afternoon will climb into the lower to middle 80s throughout much of the state, with upper 80s to lower 90s across interior Central and South Florida.
- Cooler temperatures into the middle to upper 70s can be expected along the coasts.
- Shower activity will begin to lift north of the state and diminish in coverage this evening and overnight across the Panhandle (25-40% chance of rain).
- Additional development of low clouds and fog is expected tonight, especially along the Gulf Coast and interior Peninsula where locally dense fog is most likely.
- Lows will only fall into the middle to upper 60s for the Panhandle, Big Bend, and coastal Southeast Florida tonight.
- Much of the Peninsula will dip into the upper 50s to lower 60s where the greatest chance of fog exists.
- A medium to high risk for rip currents is expected for all Panhandle and East Coast beaches today.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, February 19, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Dense Fog Advisories will remain in effect until 10 AM EST/9 AM CST for the coastal Panhandle and Big Bend this morning.
- Areas of fog across the state will slowly lift and dissipate through the morning hours, giving way to another sunny and mostly dry day for the Sunshine State.
- A weak upper-level disturbance may spark a few light and brief showers across the Panhandle and Big Bend this morning (15-25% chance of rain).
- Pockets of lower relative humidities are expected throughout the interior Peninsula this afternoon keeping a locally elevated wildfire threat in place.
- A few wind gusts upwards of 30 mph are possible across the Panhandle this afternoon and up to 20-25 mph throughout the remainder of North and Central Florida.
- High temperatures in the lower to middle 80s are expected throughout much of the state, with a few isolated upper 80s possible in interior South Florida.
- Temperatures may end up cooler if the low clouds and fog linger longer than expected through the morning hours.
- Moist southerly flow will continue to bring a few isolated to widely scattered showers to the Panhandle and Big Bend through the overnight hours (25-40% chance of rain).
- Additional development oflow clouds and fog are expected across much of the state tonight, some of which could be locally dense, especially along the Gulf Coast and throughout the Peninsula.
- Low temperatures will only reach the lower to middle 60s tonight for much of the state, with upper 60s to lower 70s across coastal Southeast Florida and the Keys.
- A high risk for rip currents is expected for most East Coast beaches today with lingering elevated surf of 3-5'. A moderate risk is expected for all Panhandle beaches.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
