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RSS Morning Sitrep

2/1/2026 2:55:12 PM

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Sunday, February 1st, 2026

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
  • It is adangerously cold morningfor Floridians after the coldest temperatures and wind chills have reached the state.
    • Observations this morning have shown wind chills in thesingle digitsand lower 10sacross North Florida,10s andlower 20sacross Central Florida and20s tolower 30sacross South Florida.
    • Even the Florida Keys have seen wind chills in the30s.
  • Extreme Cold Warningswill remain in effect across the Panhandle and Big Bend until  12:00PM -1:00PM EST/11:00AM-12:00PM CST, the Suwannee Valley and Northeast Florida until 11:00 AM EST, and across Central and portions of South Florida until 10:00 AM EST.
  • The abundance of sunshine across the state will be deceiving today as temperatures will very slowly warm up throughout the day.
    • Feels-like temperatures are not expected to rise above freezing until midday to the early afternoon hours across North and parts of Central Florida.
    • Feels-like temperaturesare expected to remain in theupper 20s to middle 30sacross North and Central Florida towards the I-4 corridor in the early part of the afternoon and theupper 30sto middle 40s across the rest of the state.
  • Wind Advisoriesremain in effect until the mid-morning hours across portions of the Panhandle and Big Bend and the Florida Keys.
  • High temperatures will reach the 40s across North and North-Central Florida and lower 50s across the rest of Central and through South Florida this afternoon. The Florida Keys will see high temperatures in the middle to upper 50s.
  • Wind gusts should ease up overnight but continue at 5-15 mph with the strongest gusts along the coastlines.
    • Strongerwind gusts of 20-25 mphcannot be ruled out along portions of the eastern coastline overnight.
  • Widespread freeze conditions can be expected again tonight, but it won’t be quite as cold as Saturday night.
    • Low temperatures are expected to fall into theupper teens to middle 20sacross North Florida,upper 20s tolower 30sacross Central Florida andlower to upper 30sacross South Florida.
    • Interior portions of Central and South Florida will remain colder compared to its coastal areas.
    • The Florida Keys will see low temperatures in the 40s to lower 50s.
  • Freeze Warningswill go into effect again for much of the state again later this evening and continuing through much of Monday morning fordangerously cold temperatures well below freezing.
  • Feels-like temperatureswill plunge again tonight, but not as cold as Saturday night.
    • By sunrise Monday morning, feels-like temperatures will be in themiddle 10s to lowers 20sacross Northeast and portions of East-Central Florida where there are the strongest winds continue. The rest of North Florida will seefeels-like temperaturesin thelower to middle 20s.
    • West-Central and South Florida can expect to seefeels-like temperatures in themiddle 20s tolower 30searly Monday morning.
    • Portions of the Upper Keys will seefeels-like temperatures in theupper 30s.
  • WidespreadCold Weather Advisoriescan be expected again overnight forvery cold wind chills.
    • AnExtreme Cold Warning will go into effect tonight along East-Central Florida, and may extend northward into Northeast Florida or into South Florida fordangerous wind chills.
  • Breezy northwesterly wind and dangerous ocean swells will contribute to themoderate tohigh risk for rip currents across beaches statewide.
    • Large ocean swells will linger throughout the state today leading towave heights of 4-8’across the Peninsula, andHigh Surf Advisoriesremain in effect along West-Central and Southwest Florida beaches.
  • Strong northwesterly winds and large ocean swells may continue to leadto instances of minor coastal floodingalong the Florida Keys through the morning hours, and aCoastal Flood Statementremains in effect.

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report

1/31/2026 2:56:31 PM

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Saturday, January 31, 2026

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
  • Scattered showers along and south of the I-4 corridor this morning will continue to slide south across the rest of the Peninsula through the mid-afternoon hours before pushing offshore (40-70% chance of rain).
  • In the wake of this frontal passage, gusty northwesterly winds will begin to develop.
    • Wind Advisories are in effect throughout much of the state for wind gusts upwards of 40 mph. A few coastal locations may see occasional gusts upwards of 45-50 mph at times.
  • A few Gulf-effect showers may stream onshore later this evening across coastal West-Central Florida, if any moisture is still locally available.
    • If any activity does push onshore, then a few light snow flurries cannot be ruled out. No impacts or accumulations are expected with any of this activity, should it occur.
  • Much drier air behind the front will filter into the Panhandle this afternoon with near critically low relative humidities. Paired with the gusty winds and ongoing drought, elevated wildfire conditions may develop.
  • High temperatures this afternoon will struggle to climb out of the middle 30s to lower 40s across the Panhandle and Big Bend. Northeast Florida can expect highs in the upper 40s to middle 50s.
    • With the gusty winds, temperatures will feel like the 20s and 30s across the Panhandle and Big Bend this afternoon.
  • Across Central and South Florida, high temperatures will reach the upper 50s to middle 60s. 
  • A mostly dry night is expected statewide in the wake of our front.
  • A few sprinkles or snow flurries cannot be ruled out along the West-Central Florida coastline through the overnight hours (15-20% chance of rain). Any of this activity will be light and no impacts are expected from any snow.
  • Extremely cold temperatures are expected tonight with low temperatures reaching into the upper teens to lower 20s throughout North Florida and middle to upper 20s across all North and interior South Florida.
    • Freeze Warnings are in effect for nearly all of North, Central, and interior South Florida through tonight.
  • Along the West-Central and South Florida coastlines, lows will remain slightly above freezing, but still in the middle to upper 30s. The Keys will reach the 40s tonight.
  • Breezy wind gusts upwards of 30 mph will last through the night across the Panhandle, with higher gusts upwards of 40 mph across the Peninsula. Coastal locations may see occasionally higher gusts.
  • Feels-like temperatures will be extremely cold through the nighttime hours.
    • Wind chills by daybreak Sunday morning will be in the single digits and lower teens throughout North and interior Central Florida.
    • Temperatures will feel like the lower to middle 20s across coastal West-Central and South Florida, while interior South Florida will see feels-like temperatures in the upper teens to lower 20s.
    • Extreme Cold Warnings are in effect for much of the state, while Cold Weather Advisories are in effect for coastal locations of West-Central and South Florida.
  • Large ocean swells will begin to develop within the Gulf and Atlantic later this afternoon and tonight, bringing dangerous marine and swimming conditions to all Florida beaches.
    • A high risk for rip currents is expected for all Panhandle and West Coast beaches today, while a moderate risk for rip currents is expected for East Coast beaches.
    • Surf of 3-5' is expected for all Panhandle beaches, with locally higher waves upwards of 6' for Gulf County where a High Surf Advisory is in effect.
    • High Surf Advisories are also in effect for West Coast beaches where surf will increase to 6-8' tonight. Locally higher waves upwards of 10' cannot be ruled out.
    • Additional High Surf Advisories may be issued later today along the East Coast where surf of 2-4' this afternoon will increase to 5-8' by daybreak Sunday.
  • Gusty onshore winds and elevated surf may bring minor to moderate coastal flooding to Gulf-facing Florida Keys shorelines near and during times of high tide later today and tonight.

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report

1/30/2026 2:53:16 PM

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Friday, January 30, 2026

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
  • Another chilly start to the day today with temperatures in the 20s and 30s across North and Northeast Florida gradually warming up ahead of our next frontal system.
  • Out next frontal system and cold front will bring a few isolated showers onshore the Panhandle and Big Bend later this morning (20-30% chance of rain).
  • Isolated to widely scattered showers will also stream onshore the Florida Keys and Southeast Florida later this morning and into the early afternoon hours (25-40% chance of rain).
  • Otherwise, a mostly sunny and dry day is expected across the state.
  • Winds will remain generally light today, though ongoing drought will still encourage sensitive to locally elevated wildfire conditions.
  • High temperatures in the upper 50s to middle 60s can be expected in North Florida and lower 70s in Central and South Florida.
  • The cold front will continue to sweep across the state tonight with a few isolated showers possible across Northeast and Central Florida (15-30% chance of rain).
  • In the wake of the frontal passage, lows will quickly drop into the middle 20stolower 30s across the Panhandle. Lows in the middletoupper 30s are also expected across the Big Bend and interior Northeast Florida.
    • Breezy winds will develop after midnight across the Panhandle, with gusts upwards of 30 mphby daybreak Saturday.
    • These winds will bring wind chillsinto the middle teenstolower 20s across the western Panhandle where an Extreme Cold Warningis in effect.
    • A Cold Weather Advisory is in effect for portions of the eastern Panhandle and Big Bend tonight.
  • Lows in the upper 40s to upper 50s are expected through Central and South Florida.
  • A moderate risk for rip currents is expected for Panhandle and East Coast beaches today, with a local high risk along Palm Beach County beaches.

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report

1/29/2026 3:00:40 PM

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, January 29, 2026

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
  • Temperatures and wind chills in the 20s and 30s, stretching into interior South Florida, will gradually warm up through the morning hours.
    • Cold Weather Advisories andFreeze Warningswill remain in effect until mid-morning.
  • A mostly sunny day is expected statewide with dry conditions prevailing.
  • Relative humidities will dip below critical thresholds across North Florida and the western Peninsula this afternoon (20-30% RH values).
    • Although lighter winds will limit the overall wildfire threat today,sensitive tolocally elevated wildfire conditions cannot be ruled out, especially in areas experiencing the most severe drought.
    • The breeziest winds will be along the Southeast Florida coast where wind gusts upwards of 20 mph are possible.
  • Temperatures will warm up into the upper 50s to lower 60s across North Florida, with middle 60s to lower 70s throughout Central and South Florida.
  • Dry conditions will prevail overnight, though a light coastal shower cannot be ruled out at the southern tip of the Peninsula and Keys (20-30% chance of rain).
  • Lows will dip into the 30s across North Florida, with localized patchy frostdevelopment. A Frost Advisory will likely be issued for portions of Northeast Florida tonight.
  • Lows in the middle 40s will spread across Central Florida and upper 40s to lower 60s throughout South Florida.
  • With light winds overnight, wind chills across the state will be near or warmer than actual temperatures.
  • A moderate risk for rip currents is expected for most East Coast and Panhandle beaches. A local high risk is expected for Southwest Florida beaches.

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report

1/28/2026 2:55:11 PM

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Wednesday, January 28th. 2026

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
  • Freeze Warnings andCold Weather Advisoriesremain in effect across most of the state through the mid-morning hours due to another cold start and elevated wind chills.
  • A few isolated showers have developed just off the Southeast Florida coast this morning and may drift onto the immediate coastline of the Southeast Metro this afternoon and early evening (15-30% chance of rain).
  • Despite the sunshine lingering wind gusts of 10-15 mph may make conditions feel slightly cooler than the actual temperatures.
  • High temperatures this afternoon will return to the 50s across North Florida, upper 50s to lower 60s across Central Florida and middle to upper 60s across South Florida.
    • Those afternoon feels-like temperatures will remain in the middle 40s to lower 50s across North Florida and lower to middle 50s across Central Florida this afternoon.
  • Widespread freezing conditionscan be expected again tonight even with temperatures slowly warming up.
  • Low temperatures will fall into themiddle 20s tolower 30sacross North Florida and along the Nature Coast,lower to middle 30sacross interior Central Florida, with the coasts remaining closer to theupper 30s, and theupper 30sto upper 40s across South Florida tonight.
  • Freeze Warningsare expected to go into effect for much of Northeast Florida and the interior Peninsula tonight and through the early morning hours on Thursday.
    • Trends will be monitored throughout the day to see if conditions will allow for Hard Freeze conditions along the Panhandle and extend Freeze Warnings into the area.
  • Feels-like temperaturesnear sunrise Thursday morning will remain in themiddle 20s to lower 30sacross much of the state through interior portions of Southwest Florida.
    • Cold Weather Advisorieswill extend beyond Lake Okeechobee tonight and into Thursday morning forsub-freezing to freezing wind chillsexpected.
  • Ocean swells along the East Coast continue to dissipate but will lead to wave heights remainingelevated near 3-5'withinstances of 6'possible along the Southeast Florida coast.
    • Amoderate risk for rip currentslingers nearly statewide, with ahigh riskalong Southeast Florida.

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report

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