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RSS Morning Sitrep

11/18/2025 3:05:29 PM

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, November 18, 2025

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
  • Another dry and sunny day can be expected across the Sunshine State, with an isolated light shower or two possible along the Treasure Coast and Florida Keys this afternoon (10-15% chance of rain).
  • The main weather headline today will continue to be sensitive to elevated wildfire concerns as relative humidity values dip to 30-40% across North Florida and the interior Florida Peninsula.
  • While winds will generally remain light statewide (less than 10 mph), ongoing significant drought and extremely dry soils/vegetation can lead to easier wildfire ignitions.
  • Fog and low clouds possible tonight into early Wednesday morning across North and Central Florida; the greatest chance for locally dense fog will reside along portions of the I-10 corridor, the Suwannee River Valley, and into the central Florida Peninsula.
  • Low temperatures tonight will fall into the 50s across North Florida, with some inland locations potentially reaching the middle to upper 40s.
  • There is a moderate risk of rip currents expected for most Florida Panhandle and Florida East Coast beaches, with a locally high risk of rip currents outlooked for Palm Beach County beaches. 

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report

11/17/2025 3:00:47 PM

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Monday, November 17, 2025

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
  • Areas of locally dense fog have developed this morning throughout the Big Bend and Central Florida leading to reduced visibilities at times.
  • Another day of mostly sunny and dry conditions can be expected for the Sunshine State as the fog continue to lift by the mid-morning hours.
  • A weak cold front will continue to push through North Florida and into Central Florida before eventually stalling out, but no rain is expected with this frontal passage.
    • A few sprinkles may develop just offshore from the Treasure Coast over the coastal waters.
  • Behind the front a surge of drier air will move into northern Florida, mainly north of the I-10 corridor, allowing for relative humidity values to fall below critical thresholds (25-30%) and creating locally elevated wildfire conditions.
    • Despite relative humidity values remain above critical thresholds for the rest of North Florida, sensitive wildfire conditions will persist given the ongoing drought and warm temperatures.
  • High temperatures will remain in the upper 70s to lower 80s across the state this afternoon.
  • As the front stalls across Central Florida tonight, there will be a chance for another round of locally dense fog throughout the area early Tuesday morning.
  • Low temperatures will fall into the upper 40s to middle 50s across North Florida, lower to middle 60s across Central Florida and 60s to near 70-degrees across South Florida.
  • A moderate risk for rip currents returns along the Panhandle and numerous East Coast beaches given calm marine conditions of 1-2' and light winds.

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report

11/16/2025 3:00:33 PM

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Sunday, November 16, 2025

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
  • Areas of Dense Fog have developed early this morning throughout portions of the Big Bend and Northeast Florida but should gradually lift and dissipate as the sun rises this morning.
  • Another dry and sunny day can be expected for the Sunshine State as high pressure remains in place along the southeastern U.S.
  • Wind gusts of 15-20 mph will develop throughout northern and central Florida, with locally higher gusts upwards of 25 mph as a front approaches from the north later today.
  • High temperatures will reach the upper 70s to lower 80s throughout the state this afternoon.
  • Clear and calm conditions can be expected to continue into the overnight hours.
  • Increasing moisture ahead of the frontal boundary approaching from the north will help to create another round of patchy fog late overnight and into early Monday morning throughout much of North Florida and along the West Coast.
  • Low temperatures will fall into the middle 50s to middle 60s throughout the state overnight.
  • A moderate risk for rip currents extends along numerous East Coast beaches, with a high risk along the Panhandle due to increasing winds.

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report

11/15/2025 3:03:35 PM

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Saturday, November 15, 2025

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
  • Patchy dense fog has developed overnight across the western Panhandle, and a Dense Fog Advisory will remain in effect until 8 AM CST this morning.
  • Patchy fog across the western Panhandle and localized areas of Northeast Florida will quickly dissipate after sunrise this morning giving way to another sunny and dry day across Florida (near-0% chance of rain statewide).
  • Although winds will remain light, relative humidities will dip near critical thresholds across North Florida this afternoon (30-35% RH values) which may lead to sensitive to locally elevated wildfire conditions.
  • Temperatures will remain warm today for mid-November standards, reaching 6-10-degrees above normal in parts of North Florida and near seasonable levels across Central and South Florida.
  • Highs will climb into the middle 70s to lower 80s statewide this afternoon.
  • Low temperatures will continue their warming trend this weekend, only reaching the upper 40s to middle 50s across much of North and Central Florida.
    • Widespread patchy fog, which could be locally dense, may develop across much of North and Central Florida overnight and towards daybreak Sunday.
    • Dense Fog Advisories cannot be ruled out if conditions warrant.
  • Lows will only dip into the lower to middle 60s for South Florida overnight.
  • A moderate risk for rip currents is expected for most Panhandle, Space Coast, and Treasure Coast beaches today.

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report

11/14/2025 2:55:58 PM

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Friday, November 14, 2025

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
  • Another Sunny and dry day is on tap for Florida as high pressure remains anchored over the Southeast U.S (near-0% chance of rain statewide).
  • A dry frontal passage will reinforce the dry air across North Florida and the Panhandle this afternoon, with relative humidities reaching near or below critical thresholds (25-30% RH values).
    • Although winds will remain light today, the ongoing drought and low humidities will allow for locally sensitive to elevated wildfire conditions this afternoon across North Florida.
  • Relative humidities will remain above critical thresholds across South Florida today, though breezier winds are expected with gusts upwards of 15-20 mphpossible along coastal Southeast Florida.
  • Highs will climb towards seasonable levels this afternoon, into the middle to upper 70s statewide.
  • Lows across North Florida will reach the lower to upper 40s in most locations, with coastal regions remaining in the lower 50s.
    • Patchy fog may develop towards daybreak across portions of the western Panhandle and interior Northeast Florida.
  • Lows will dip into the lower to middle 50s across Central Florida where additional patchy fog is possible across the I-75 corridor and Nature Coast.
  • Upper 50s to middle 60s can be expected in South Florida with coastal Southeast Florida communities only reaching the upper 60s to lower 70s.
  • A moderate risk for rip currents is expected for all Panhandle and East Coast beaches today.

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report

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