RSS Morning Sitrep
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, May 12th, 2026.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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A wet and rainy day is expected throughout much of the state as a cold front slides southward through the Sunshine State today.
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Scattered showers with embedded thunderstorms are ongoing across the Panhandle and Big Bend this morning and additional activity is expected to develop across the Peninsula later today (70-90% chance of rain).
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A Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather is outlooked across Central and Southeast Florida this afternoon for the development of a few locally strong to severe thunderstorms.
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The primary hazards with these thunderstorms will be frequent lightning, gusty winds (40-60 mph), and perhaps a brief tornado or two.
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Ample tropical moisture will support locally heavy downpours which could lead to a quick 2-3” of rain in any areas that see a slow-moving heavy thunderstorm.
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A Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Floodingis outlooked along the I-95 corridor for instances of nuisance floodingin urban and poor-drainage locations.
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High temperatures will remain in the 70s throughout North Florida today due to abundant cloud cover.
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Highs will reach the middle 80s to lower 90s in Central and South Florida, with feels-like temperatures approaching the lower 100s in Southwest Florida.
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Tonight, scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue through the evening across the Big Bend and Peninsula before slowly pushing eastward and offshore (45-75% chance of rain).
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Low temperatures will fall into the 60s in North Florida with 70s throughout Central and South Florida.
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Instances of patchy fog cannot be ruled out along the I-4 corridor and the western Panhandle by daybreak Wednesday.
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Ahigh risk for rip currents is expected for Northeast Florida beaches and amoderate riskfor Panhandle, Space Coast, and Treasure Coast beaches.
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According to the Florida Forest Service, there are 58 active wildfires across the state burning approximately 28,955 acres.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Monday, May 11th, 2026.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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Areas ofpatchy dense fog have developed throughout Northeast Florida this morning but will slowly lift and dissipate as the sun rises.
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Plenty of moisture will pool across the eastern Peninsula today where aMarginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather is outlooked for a fewlocally strong to severe thunderstorms(45-75% chance of rain).
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The primary hazards are gusty winds (40-60 mph), frequent lightning, and heavy downpours.
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The Gulf sea breeze will also push northward across the Panhandle today, helping to spark scattered showers and thunderstorms (40-60% chance of rain).
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AMarginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding is outlooked across the western Panhandle for isolated instances ofnuisance flooding andponding of water, especially in urban and poor-drainage locations.
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Rainfall totals throughout the state are expected to remain generally below 1”, however any areas that see repeated rounds of slow-moving storms could receiveupwards of 2-4” of rain.
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The wildfire danger today will be low across the state. However, lightning strikes from any thunderstorms can spark new wildfires or reignite existing ones.
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High temperatures will reach the upper 80s tomiddle 90s throughout the state. Feels-like temperatures will soar into thelower 100s across portions of Central and South Florida.
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Tonight, scattered showers and storms will likely continue across the Panhandle and Northeast Florida as a frontal system passes through (40-50% chance of rain).
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There remains uncertainty in how much of this activity remains onshore versus offshore. Should the heavier rain remain onshore, areas south of I-10 could seeupwards of 1-3" of rainovernight and before daybreak Tuesday.
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A few storms will also linger across Southeast Florida before pushing offshore after midnight (40-50% chance of rain).
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Low temperatures will only fall into the upper 60s to middle 70s for much of the state, with upper 70s to lower 80s in the Southeast metro and Keys.
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Amoderate risk for rip currents is expected for most Panhandle and East Coast beaches today.
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According to the Florida Forest Service, there are 61 active wildfires across the state burning approximately 22,613 acres.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Sunday, May 10th, 2026.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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Areas ofpatchy dense foghave developed across the western Panhandle this morning and will slowly lift and dissipate by mid-morning.
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Otherwise, a mostly cloudy day is expected throughout the Panhandle and Big Bend with isolated showers and thunderstorms this afternoon (30-45% chance of rain).
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Further east, the East Coast sea breeze will help to spark scattered showers and thunderstorms across the I-95 corridor this afternoon, especially across Northeast and East-Central Florida where aMarginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weatheris outlooked.
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The primary hazards with anylocally strong to severethunderstorm activity will be frequent lightning, gusty winds (40-60 mph), and small hail.
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A few isolated storms may develop throughout interior South Florida as well (30-45% chance of rain).
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Although there is no organized risk for flash flooding, a fewlocally heavy downpourscapable of producingnuisance street flooding cannot be ruled out in urban and poor drainage locations that see repeated rounds of heavy rainfall.
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Winds will remain light across the state today, thoughsensitivetolocally elevated wildfire dangerwill still persist throughout interior Southwest Florida where lower relative humidities are expected (40-45%).
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High temperatures will soar well into the lower to middle 90s in Central and South Florida today, with feels-like temperatures reaching thelower to middle 100sin Southwest Florida.
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Abundant cloud cover will keep temperatures cooler in the middle to upper 80s in North Florida this afternoon.
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Showers and thunderstorms will linger into the evening and overnight hours across the eastern Peninsula before dissipating before midnight (30-40% chance of rain).
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Otherwise, a mostly calm night is expected across the state.
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Areas ofpatchy dense fogmay develop across North Florida by daybreak Monday andDense Fog Advisories may be issued if conditions warrant.
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Low temperatures will fall into the upper 60s to middle 70s for much of the state, with upper 70s to lower 80s across metro Southeast Florida and the Keys.
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Amoderate risk for rip currents is expected for Panhandle and East Coast beaches today.
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According to the Florida Forest Service, there are 63 active wildfires across the state burning approximately 17,629 acres.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Saturday, May 9, 2026
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Another wet and active weather day is expected across the northern tier of the state as a frontal boundary remains stalled across the region.
- Additional waves of scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected along this front this afternoon across North Florida (55-90% chance of rain), some of which could be locally strong to severe where a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather is outlooked.
- The primary hazards with any storms that do develop will be frequent lightning, gusty winds (40-60 mph), and locally heavy downpours.
- A Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding is outlooked across much of the Panhandle and Big Bend today for isolated instances of nuisance flooding and ponding of water, especially in urban and poor drainage locations.
- Across the Peninsula, rainfall chances will be much lower however a few isolated showers or storms may develop along the East Coast sea breeze pinned along the I-95 corridor today (30-45% chance of rain).
- West to southwesterly winds will increase today across the Peninsula, gusting upwards of 20-25 mph this afternoon.
- These winds will overlap with near critically low relative humidities (35-45%) throughout interior Central and South Florida, which will encourage another day of elevated wildfire conditions.
- High temperatures will climb well into the lower to middle 90s throughout Central and South Florida today with feels-like temperatures approaching or exceeding 100-degrees. Abundant cloud cover and rainfall will keep temperatures in the 70s and 80s across North Florida.
- Tonight, isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue to linger overnight throughout North and North-Central Florida (25-35% chance of rain). A few isolated showers may also linger along the East Coast before dissipating after sunset (15-25% chance of rain).
- Mostly dry conditions are expected across South Florida where instances of patchy dense fog are possible by daybreak on Sunday.
- Low temperatures will dip into the upper 60s to middle 70s across much of the state, with the Southeast metro and Keys remaining in the 80s.
- A moderate to high risk for rip currents is expected for all Panhandle, Space Coast, and Treasure Coast beaches.
- According to the Florida Forest Service, there are 66 active wildfires across the state burning approximately 17,690 acres.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for [[Current Date]]
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
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Areas ofpatchy dense fogthroughout Southwest Florida will continue to slowly lift and dissipate as the sun rises this morning.
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Meanwhile, a few isolated showers are ongoing along the I-10 corridor this morning along a cold front draped across the region.
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This front will stall across North to North-Central Florida this afternoon, helping to focus additional scattered showers and thunderstorms across the area (50-75% chance of rain).
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AMarginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weatherhas been outlooked across North Florida today for a few storms that could becomelocally strong to severe.
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The primary hazards with this activity will be frequent lightning, gusty winds (40-60 mph), and small hail.
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Additionally, a few storms could be accompanied bylocally heavy downpourswhich could produce aquick1-2 inches of rain.
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Although winds are expected to be on the lighter side today, relative humidities will fall tonear critical thresholds (30-40%)throughout interior South Florida which will continue to promoteelevated wildfire conditions.
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High temperatures will climb into thelower to middle 90sthroughout Central and South Florida this afternoon. Abundant cloud cover and rainfall will keep temperatures in the 70s and 80s across North Florida.
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Tonight, isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue to linger overnight throughout North and North-Central Florida (25-50% chance of rain).
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Mostly dry conditions are expected across South Florida where instances ofpatchy dense fogare possible by daybreak on Saturday.
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Low temperatures will dip into the upper 60s to middle 70s across much of the state, with the Southeast metro and Keys remaining in the 80s.
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Amoderate tohigh risk for rip currentsis expected for all Panhandle and East Coast beaches today.
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According to the Florida Forest Service, there are 64 active wildfires across the state burning approximately 16,878 acres.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
