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Current Weather Outlook

Statewide weather outlook from Florida Division of Emergency Management Meteorology

 

Sunday, February 9, 2025

...Dense Fog Advisories Will Remain In Effect Across Big Bend and Nature Coast Through the Mid-Morning Hours This Morning; Sea Fog To Linger Along Immediate Coastlines and Over Coastal Waters Along Apalachee Bay Throughout the Day...Mostly Dry Conditions and Above Normal Temperatures to Persist Statewide; Possible Record-Breaking Temperatures in Some Locations...Brief Light Sprinkles May Be Possible Along Panhandle and Interior South Florida; Low Confidence...Moderate Risk For Rip Currents Along Numerous Florida Panhandle and East Coast Beaches...Scattered to Widespread Fog to Return Overnight and Monday Morning Across North and Central Florida; Areas of More Patchy Fog Likely Across South Florida...Dense Fog Can Be Anticipated at Times...

Updated at 9:12 AM EST

Today's Threats:

No Threat

Low Threat

Medium Threat

High Threat

Lightning

Tornado

Damaging Wind

Hail

Flash Flooding

Fire Weather

Fog (Overnight)

Rip Currents

 

 

 

 

 

Iso. Interior Peninsula

Big Bend, Northeast FL & West-Central FL

Statewide

South FL

FL Panhandle & E-Coast

W-Coast

 

Weather Summary for the Next 24 Hours:

Dense Fog Advisories will remain in effect across the Big Bend and into Nature Coast through the mid-morning hours as widespread areas of dense fog has reduced visibility to ¼ mile or less at times. Remember to use low beams when driving and keep plenty of space between the cars ahead.

While foggy conditions will lift throughout the morning hours, areas of sea fog may linger near or along the Big Bend and Nature Coast coastal waters and immediate coastline throughout the afternoon. High pressure over the state will continue to create mostly dry conditions throughout the state with a combination of sunshine and cloud cover (near 0-5% chance of rain). A weak cold front will dip southward into the Southeast U.S., but ongoing dry conditions will limit any shower activity near and along the frontal boundary.

Above normal temperatures, with possibly record-breaking temperatures, can be expected across the state this afternoon. High temperatures will climb into the low to middle 80s.

Mostly dry conditions can be expected to persist statewide and any light sprinkles or light showers that managed to develop this afternoon will dissipate this evening (near 0-10% chance of rain). Moisture flowing ahead of the weak cold front and calm winds will allow for scattered to widespread fog overnight and into Monday morning throughout North and Central Florida. Dense fog will also be likely throughout the Big Bend and the Suwannee Valley, and Dense Fog Advisories can be anticipated. Additional areas of patchy fog will also be possible throughout South Florida. 

Low temperatures will fall into the middle 50s to upper 60s across the state, with temperatures in the low 70s across the Keys.

 

Rip Currents: A moderate risk for rip currents persist along numerous Florida Panhandle and East Coast beaches today while a low risk continues elsewhere. For the latest Rip Current Outlook, visit www.weather.gov/beach.

Marine Hazards: Calm marine conditions persist across the state today with wave heights up to 1-2’ along the Florida Panhandle and West Coast and near 1-3’ along Florida’s Atlantic Coast.  

Red Tide has been observed in 66 samples collected from Southwest Florida (valid 2/7). Background to low concentrations have been observed in Pinellas, Hillsborough, Manatee, Sarasota, Levy, and Miami-Dade Counties. Background to medium concentrations have been observed in Charlotte, Collier, and Monroe Counties. Background to high concentrations have been observed in Lee County. Fish kills and respiratory irritation have been reported in Charlotte, Lee, Collier, and Monroe Counties.

Coastal Flooding: Coastal flooding is not anticipated today.

 

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Fire Weather: Dense Fog Advisories will remain in effect across the Florida Big Bend and Nature Coast through the mid-morning hours, with additional areas of patchy to locally dense fog scattered throughout the state. Mostly dry conditions will persist across the state, but southerly winds will continue to keep relative humidity values well above critical thresholds throughout the day. Calm to light winds below 10 mph can be expected, with instances of wind gusts upwards of 10-12 mph across Northeast Florida this afternoon. Above normal temperatures for this time of year and ongoing dry conditions across the Peninsula may create locally sensitive wildfire conditions this afternoon. Scattered to widespread fog will likely develop overnight and into Monday morning throughout North and Central Florida, with dense fog also likely in areas. Foggy conditions will further reduce visibility where there are ongoing wildfires. According to the Florida Forest Service, there are 46 active wildfires across the state burning approximately 407 acres.

Drought: Florida continued to see degradations in conditions over the past week that are reflected in this week’s Drought Monitor update (as of 2/6). Warmer-than-normal temperatures and a lack of rainfall over the past week have led to expansion of Moderate Drought conditions into the Tampa Bay and Miami-Dade areas. Moderate Drought conditions remain in place across portions of West-Central Florida and southeastward to Southeast Florida with Abnormally Dry (emerging drought) conditions stretching across much of the rest of the Peninsula. Widespread 60-day rainfall deficits are now near 1-3” across much of the Peninsula with locally higher deficits near 3-5” across portions of West-Central and Southeast Florida. The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) is outlooking near to above normal rainfall and above normal temperature across the state over the next week or so which may allow drought conditions to continue degrading.

The Keetch-Byram Drought Index average for Florida is 349 (+6) on a scale from 0 (very wet) to 800 (very dry). There are 16 Florida counties (Broward, Charlotte, Collier, DeSoto, Glades, Hardee, Hendry, Highlands, Lee,  Manatee, Martin, Miami-Dade, Okeechobee, Palm Beach, Pasco, and Sarasota) with an average KBDI over 500 (drought/increased fire danger).  

 

Flash Flooding: There is no risk for flash flooding today.  

Riverine Flooding: There are no riverine flood concerns across Florida at this time. For more information, visit the River Forecast Center.  

Lake Okeechobee’s average elevation is 14.20 feet, which is within the operational band and is 0.41 feet below normal for this time of year.

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