RSS Morning Sitrep
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, April 25, 2024
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- High pressure allows sunny to mostly sunny skies to persist with an isolated shower or two possible along the I-10 corridor as a cold front stalls near the Florida-Georgia line today (near 0-10% chance of rain).
- High temperatures in the 80s across the state.
- Wind gusts upwards of 15-20 mph possible along coastlines and the Keys with the sea breeze.
- Relative humidity values will fall near or below critical thresholds (30-45%) this afternoon across interior portions of the Northern and Central Peninsula, giving way to sensitive wildfire conditions.
- Locally elevated wildfire conditions cannot be ruled out along portions of interior Central Florida.
- River Flood Warnings remain in effect through the Big Bend and Suwannee Valley for minor to moderate flooding.
- High risk for rip currents along the Southeast Coast with an elevated risk along the East Coast and several Big Bend beaches.
- Abnormally Dry conditions have expanded across Central Florida in this week’s drought monitor update.
- Clear and calm conditions will return overnight across the state (near 0-5% chance of rain).
- Low temperatures in the upper 50s to middle 60s across North and Central Florida, upper 60s to low 70s across South Florida, and middle 70s along the Keys.
- Areas of patchy fog will be possible overnight along portions of North Florida.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Wednesday, April 24th, 2024
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Warm and dry conditions will continue across the Sunshine State as high pressure dominates the weather pattern (near 0% chance of rain).
- Dry air will settle into the interior Peninsula, especially along the western Peninsula, allowing for relative humidity values to fall below critical thresholds this afternoon (upper 20%) creating sensitive wildfire conditions.
- Locally elevated wildfire conditions cannot be ruled out along portions of interior East-Central and Southeast Florida where emerging drought conditions have been introduced.
- Winds will remain light throughout the day, with wind gusts increasing to 10-15 mph this afternoon due to the development of the sea breeze along the coastlines.
- Clear and calm conditions overnight may allow for patchy fog to develop along the Panhandle and coastal Big Bend as moisture slowly recovers.
- Southeast Florida beaches will continue to see a high risk for rip currents due to a lingering ocean swell and onshore winds, while Panhandle and the rest of the East Coast can expect a moderate risk for rip currents.
- Big Bend and Suwannee Valley rivers and waterways are forecast to level out and slowly decline over the next several days, with some waterways forecast to fall below flood stage later this week and over the weekend.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, April 23rd, 2024
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- High pressure moving in behind a passing cold front earlier in the week will give way to mostly sunny conditions statewide (near 0-5% chance of rain)
- Drier air filtering in from the north will allow for relative humidity values to fall near or below critical thresholds this afternoon nearly statewide and allow for sensitive wildfire conditions (upper 20% to middle 30%).
- Locally elevated wildfire conditions cannot be ruled out across portions of East-Central and Southeast Florida where emerging drought conditions have been introduced due to ongoing dry conditions.
- High temperatures will climb into the middle 70s to middle 80s given plenty of sunshine throughout the day.
- Clear and dry conditions can be expected to continue through the evening and overnight hours statewide (near 0-5% chance of rain).
- Onshore winds and an ocean swell producing wave heights of 5-9’ along the Florida East Coast will create a high risk for rip currents along all beaches.
- Minor to moderate riverine flooding continues across the Big Bend and Suwannee River Valley in response to the early April severe weather event.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Monday, April 22, 2024
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- A weak cold front will continue to push through South Florida and the Keys throughout the day bringing scattered showers and possible thunderstorms (50-60% chance of rain).
- The sea breeze, combined with additional favorable atmospheric and environmental conditions, will give way to the possibility of strong to severe thunderstorms developing along Southeast Florida this afternoon – Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather.
- Any strong to severe thunderstorms that develop will be capable of producing frequent lightning, damaging wind gusts (50-60 mph), large hail (quarter-size) and heavy downpours.
- Breezy winds behind the cold front will reach 20-25 mph along coastal regions across the Peninsula, with possible wind gusts upwards of 30 mph along Space and Treasure Coasts.
- Mostly dry conditions can be expected behind the passing cold front, with drying conditions moving into South Florida later this evening and overnight (20-30% chance of rain).
- Sensitive wildfire conditions will persist across portions of East-Central and Southeast Florida due to lack of substantial rainfall and ongoing warm and dry conditions.
- Nearly all beaches can expect a moderate to high risk for rip currents due to breezy winds and elevated wave heights.
- Minor to moderate riverine flooding continues along the Big Bend and Suwannee River Valley.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Sunday, April 21st, 2024.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- A cold front will push into the Florida Panhandle this morning and continue to advance eastward throughout the day bringing scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms (50-75% chance of rain).
- The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is outlooking a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather just east of the Capital City and across Northeast Florida and into the northern Peninsula as some of these thunderstorms may be strong to severe.
- Any strong to severe thunderstorm that develops during the peak heating hours of the day will be capable of producing frequent lightning, damaging wind gusts (50-60 mph), large hail (quarter to ping pong size) and heavy downpours.
- Breezy winds gusts across Northeast and Central Florida will reach upwards of 20-25 mph outside of thunderstorm activity, with areas along the east coast seeing wind gusts upwards of 25-30 mph with the help of the sea breeze.
- Sensitive wildfire conditions continue across interior portions of East-Central Florida due to ongoing warm and dry conditions, along with breezy winds and near critical relative humidity values.
- During the evening and overnight hours, the cold front will push through Northeast Florida and move towards the I-75 corridor bringing scattered showers and possible thunderstorm or two (30-50% chance of rain).
- A moderate risk for rip currents continues for Panhandle and East Coast beaches, with a locally high risk along Gulf County beaches.
- Numerous rivers and creeks along the Florida Big bend and Suwannee River Valley remain within minor to moderate flood stage following heavy rainfall from the early April severe weather event.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
