RSS Morning Sitrep
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, March 27, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Mostly dry conditions and mostly clear skies across the Sunshine State today and tonight under high pressure (near 0-5% chance of rain).
- Cloudier conditions will gradually develop along the Florida Panhandle throughout the day and overnight.
- High temperatures in the middle 70s to upper 80s statewide.
- Easterly winds near 5-10 mph with gusts near 10-15 mph nearly statewide today.
- Breezier conditions with winds near 10-15 mph and gusts near 15-25 mph expected across South Florida and the Keys.
- Low relative humidity values (20-40%), increasing winds, and dry fuels will continue to create sensitive tolocallyelevated wildfire conditions across North Florida and western and interior portions of the Peninsula this afternoon and evening.
- Breezy onshore winds will create elevated surf and poor to hazardous beach and boating conditions along the Central-East and Southeast Coast and Atlantic-facing Keys today.
- Moderate to high risk for rip currents along the Florida Panhandle and East Coast.
- Low temperatures in the 50s across North Florida, upper 50s to middle 60s across Central Florida, and middle 60s to low 70s across South Florida.
- Breezy winds will persist along and south of the I-4 corridor and through the Keys overnight, reaching upwards of 5-10 mph with gusts upwards of 10-20 mph.
- Localized areas of patchy fog possible across portions of the state overnight into early Friday morning.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Wednesday, March 26th, 2025.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Dense Fog Advisories will continue through the mid-morning hours across the Florida Panhandle with additional instances of patchy to locally dense fog throughout the state also lifting and dissipating by the mid-morning hours.
- A dry cold front attempting to sink into North Florida will help to reinforce dry conditions with the help of high pressure settling in over the Mississippi Valley.
- Light northerly to northwesterly winds will bring drier air southward allowing relative humidity values throughout interior North and Central Florida will drop near and below critical thresholds this afternoon (20-35%).
- Sensitive to locally elevated wildfire conditions will develop this afternoon across interior North and Central Florida.
- Throughout the afternoon and into the evening hours, the sea breeze will develop and push inland generating isolated showers and thunderstorms, some locally strong, across the southern Peninsula and portions of the Keys (10-20% chance of rain).
- With thunderstorms developing over these dry areas of South Florida, locally sensitive wildfire conditions cannot be ruled.
- High temperatures this afternoon will reach the middle to upper 70s to lower to middle 80s this afternoon across the state.
- Any showers and thunderstorms that develop across South Florida and the Keys will generally move southwestward towards the adjacent coastal waters late this evening and into the overnight hours.
- Instances of patchy fog may be possible overnight and into early Thursday morning.
- Numerous beaches across the Panhandle and East Coast can expect a moderate risk for rip currents to persist throughout the day.
- A locally high risk can be expected across portions of Southeast Florida beaches.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, March 25, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Dense Fog Advisories remain in effect across the Panhandle and western Big Bend through the mid-morning hours as dense fog and low clouds have reduced visibility to ¼ of a mile or less at times.
- Foggy conditions across North Florida will generally lift and dissipate as the sun continues to rise and drier conditions develop with the help of high pressure returning over the Gulf Coast states.
- A broken line of showers with embedded rumbles of thunder will continue to push south of the I-4 corridor and into South Florida throughout the morning hours ahead of a weak cold front.
- Another round of isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms develop this afternoon and evening along East-Central and Southeast Florida as the sea breeze develops before pushing offshore late this evening (20-50% chance of rain).
- With the sea breeze developing, some of these thunderstorms may become strong to severe during the peak heating hours of the day and will be capable of producing frequent lightning, damaging wind gusts (50-60 mph), large hail (quarter-size) and locally heavy downpours – Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather.
- While confidence regarding an embedded tornado or two is low, it cannot be completely ruled out.
- Locally heavy downpours or multiple rounds of shower and thunderstorm activity could lead to localized instances of flash flooding or ponding of water across urban and low-lying/poor drainage areas.
- While the overall wildfire threat is lower than the last few days, thunderstorms will be capable of producing lightning and erratic winds that could ignite new fires or help to spread existing ones.
- High temperatures will reach the middle to upper 70s along the coastlines and lower to middle 80s throughout the state.
- Fog development will be possible throughout North Florida overnight and into early Wednesday morning, with instances of locally dense fog possible in some areas.
- Low temperatures will return to the middle 50s to middle 60s throughout the state and upper 60s to lower 70s across Southeast Florida and the Keys.
- Numerous beaches across the Panhandle and East-Central Florida can expect a moderate risk for rip currents to persist throughout the day.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Monday, March 24th, 2025.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- A broken line of showers and thunderstorms will continue to move across the I-10 corridor throughout the morning hours ahead of an approaching cold front, but will weaken before it reaches the Peninsula this afternoon.
- Additional rounds of showers and thunderstorms will develop throughout the day across the Panhandle and Big Bend closer towards the cold front (50-80% chance of rain).
- This second round of showers and thunderstorms this afternoon will largely remain dependent and if any sunshine breaks through to allow for daytime heating.
- Both of these rounds of shower and thunderstorm activity have the potential to bring isolated strong to severe thunderstorms throughout the day across the Panhandle and the Gulf Coast.
- The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is outlooking a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather across the Panhandle and western Big Bend as thunderstorms will be capable of producing lightning, damaging wind gusts (50-60 mph), large hail (quarter-size) and heavy downpours.
- An embedded tornado or two cannot be ruled out as well.
- Showers and thunderstorms across the Panhandle and Big Bend may bring locally heavy downpours that create nuisance ponding of water across urban and low-lying/poor drainage areas.
- Sensitive to locally elevated wildfire conditions will remain possible across interior portions of East-Central and Southeast Florida as relative humidity values will fall near critical thresholds (35-45%).
- High temperatures will reach the 70s across North Florida and upper 70s to middle 80s across Central and South Florida this afternoon.
- Lingering showers and embedded thunderstorms will be possible into the evening and overnight hours as the cold front moves through, but generally drier conditions will return from west to east (25-35% chance of rain).
- Lingering moisture and calm conditions may allow for fog development across North Florida and Nature Coast, with instances of locally dense fog possible.
- Low temperatures will fall into the middle to upper 50s across North Florida, lower to middle 60s across Central Florida and upper 60s to lower 70s across South Florida.
- Numerous beaches across the Panhandle and East Coast can expect a moderate risk for rip currents to persist throughout the day.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Sunday, March 23rd, 2025.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Areas of patchy fog this morning should quickly lift and dissipate for portions of the Suwannee Valley and Florida Peninsula as the sun continues to rise.
- High pressure will continue to create pleasant conditions across the Sunshine State today with a near-zero chance of rain and a mixture of sunshine and cloud cover.
- Sensitive to locally elevated wildfire conditions will also continue throughout the Florida Big Bend, Northeast and Central Florida as relative humidity values will fall near and below critical thresholds (25-35%).
- While moisture will recover across South Florida locally sensitive wildfire conditions will remain possible with ongoing dry conditions.
- High temperatures will reach 70s and lower 80s across the state, with interior portions of West-Central and Southwest Florida approaching the middle 80s this afternoon.
- Increasing onshore winds ahead of the next cold front may allow for isolated to scattered showers, with embedded rumbles of thunder or a thunderstorm or two, to develop during the late overnight and into the predawn hours across the Panhandle (25-35% chance of rain).
- Areas of patchy fog may be possible again early Monday morning across portions of the Suwannee Valley and throughout the Peninsula.
- Foggy conditions developing over ongoing wildfires may further reduce visibility.
- Low temperatures will fall into the upper 40s to upper 50s across North Florida, upper 50s to lower 60s across Central Florida and lower 60s to lower 70s across South Florida.
- Numerous beaches across the Panhandle and East Coast can expect a moderate risk for rip currents to persist throughout the day.
- A locally high risk for rip currents continues along Palm Beach County.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
