RSS Morning Sitrep
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Friday, July 11th, 2025
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
- A near carbon copy of Thursday can be expected once again today with the typical summertime thunderstorm pattern.
- Coastal showers and thunderstorms along the state will continue to gradually move inland throughout the day as the daily sea breeze thunderstorm pattern develops.
- Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms can be expected to develop statewide during the afternoon and evening hours (40-70% chance of rain).
- Embedded strong to severe thunderstorms that may develop throughout the peak heating hours of the day will be capable of producing frequent lightning, damaging wind gusts (45-60 mph) and heavy downpours.
- A Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding continues today across across the Panhandle and along the I-10 corridor where abundant moisture and upper-level support could lead to flash flooding within thunderstorms.
- Warm and humid conditions can be expected this afternoon with temperatures in the upper 80s to middle 90s and heat index values in the triple digits (100-107-degrees).
- Heat Advisory conditions may briefly be reached across portions of the state this afternoon.
- Mostly dry conditions can be expected overnight with lingering showers and thunderstorms along coastlines (15-30% chance of rain).
- Low temperatures will fall into the 70s and lower 80s overnight.
- A moderate risk for rip currents can be expected for Panhandle and all East Coast beaches, with a locally high risk along Bay County.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, July 10th, 2025
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
- Coastal showers and thunderstorms along the state will continue to gradually move inland throughout the day as the daily sea breeze thunderstorm pattern develops.
- Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms can be expected to develop statewide during the afternoon and evening hours (40-70% chance of rain).
- There is a chance for embedded strong to severe thunderstorms north of the I-10 corridor this afternoon; however, any thunderstorm across the state has the chance to become strong to severe.
- Any thunderstorm will be capable of producing frequent lightning, damaging wind gusts (45-60 mph) and heavy downpours.
- A Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding continues today across portions of the Big Bend where abundant moisture and upper-level support could lead to flash flooding within thunderstorms.
- Warm and humid conditions can be expected this afternoon with temperatures in the upper 80s to middle 90s and heat index values in the triple digits (100-107-degrees).
- A brief Heat Advisory or two cannot be ruled out throughout portions of the state, if conditions warrant.
- Mostly dry conditions can be expected overnight with lingering showers and thunderstorms along coastlines (15-30% chance of rain).
- Low temperatures will fall into the 70s and lower 80s overnight.
- A moderate risk for rip currents continues for numerous Panhandle and Atlantic Coast beaches, with a locally high risk along Bay County.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Wednesday, July 9, 2025
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
- A rinse and repeat of Tuesday can be expected as the daily thunderstorm pattern will develop throughout the day.
- There are currently a few scattered showers and embedded thunderstorms along the coastal Big Bend, and these will continue along the coastline before moving inland.
- Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will develop throughout the afternoon and evening hours with the help of the sea breeze and daytime heating (40-70% chance of rain).
- Locally embedded strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible during the peak heating hours of the day and will be capable of producing frequent lightning, damaging wind gusts (45-60 mph) and torrential downpours.
- There is a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding across the northern Suwannee Valley and Northeast Florida where greater coverage of showers and thunderstorms could lead to instances of flash flooding and ponding of water.
- Hot and muggy conditions can be expected this afternoon and evening with high temperatures in the upper 80s to middle 90s and heat index values in the upper 90s to triple digits (100-106-degrees).
- Several areas across the state will remain just below Heat Advisory criteria; however, a brief one cannot be ruled out.
- Shower and thunderstorm activity will diminish throughout the overnight hours leading to mostly dry conditions; but some lingering activity could continue along the coastlines (20-40% chance of rain).
- There is a moderate risk for rip currents along numerous Panhandle and Atlantic Coast beaches.
- Low temperatures will fall in the 70s and lower 80s.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, July 8, 2025
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
- The typical summertime thunderstorm pattern will develop again today across the Sunshine State.
- Showers and thunderstorms are currently along the Panhandle and Big Bend coastlines, but will gradually move inland throughout the morning and afternoon hours.
- Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms can be expected to develop statewide with the help of the sea breeze and daytime heating (35-65% chance of rain).
- Across the Peninsula, activity will generally move from west to east due to the dominating Gulf sea breeze pushing further inland than the Atlantic sea breeze.
- Embedded strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible during the peak heating hours of the day. Frequent lightning, gusty winds, instances of small hail and heavy downpours can be anticipated.
- Ponding of water and localized flash flooding cannot be ruled out with heavy downpours, especially over urban and low-lying/poor drainage areas.
- Seasonably warm and humid conditions will continue into the afternoon as high temperatures reach the upper 80s to middle 90s this afternoon.
- Heat index values will peak in the upper 90s to triple digits (100-106-degrees), with portions of Northeast and East-Central Florida remaining just below Heat Advisory criteria.
- Showers and thunderstorms will diminish throughout the evening and overnight hours with the loss of daytime heating; however, a few may linger along coastlines overnight (20-40% chance of rain).
- Low temperatures will fall into the 70s and lower 80s overnight.
- A moderate risk for rip current extends along numerous North Florida and Space Coast beaches.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Monday, July 7, 2025
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
- The typical summertime thunderstorm pattern will return across the Sunshine State in the wake of an active and wet pattern.
- A clusters of showers and thunderstorms remains just offshore along the Panhandle but will likely gradually begin to move inland throughout the day.
- Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will develop throughout the afternoon and evening hours as the sea breezes push inland and collide with one another (50-75% chance of rain).
- Locally embedded strong thunderstorms will be possible during the peak heating hours of the day and will be capable of producing frequent lightning, damaging wind gusts (45-60 mph) and torrential downpours.
- Localized instances of flash flooding and ponding of water will be possible heavy and downpours, especially with areas that have already seen locally heavy rainfall the last few days.
- Seasonably warm and humid conditions can be expected this afternoon across the state with high temperatures reaching the upper 80s to middle 90s and heat index values in the upper 90s to triple digits (100-105-degrees).
- Shower and thunderstorm activity will diminish throughout the overnight leading to mostly dry conditions (15-30% chance of rain).
- Low temperatures will fall into the 70s and lower 80s overnight.
- A moderate risk for rip currents continues along numerous North Florida beaches, but all other beaches across the state have returned to a low risk.
- Chantal remains a tropical depression over Virginia and the Mid-Atlantic states and will continue to move northeastward along the eastern U.S. seaboard. Chantal poses no threat to Florida.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.