RSS Morning Sitrep
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Saturday, June 10, 2023
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Surface high pressure building over the East Coast will result in a warm front slowly lifting northward today, leaving Florida in a very moist airmass once again.
- Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms expected statewide, courtesy of the Gulf Coast and East Coast sea breezes (50-70% chance of rain).
- A few thunderstorms may be strong and capable of producing locally gusty winds (40-50 mph), occasional to frequent lightning, and heavy downpours.
- Localized instances of ponding water and runoff issues will be possible over urban and poor drainage/low-lying areas.
- Humid conditions will yield at or near triple digit heat indices (98-100-degrees) over interior Central Florida before any rain relief this afternoon.
- Areas of fog and low clouds will be possible over portions of the North and interior Central Florida tonight.
- Minor saltwater flooding possible along the bayside communities of the Upper Keys as water levels reach 1-1.5’ above normal at times of high tide.
- An elevated risk of rip currents can be expected to continue along Panhandle and Atlantic beaches.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Friday, June 9, 2023
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- A cold front will slowly sag southward near the Florida state line today, leaving the Sunshine State in a very moist airmass.
- Already muggy conditions this morning will give way to widespread rain chances statewide through the morning and afternoon (50-80% chance of rain).
- Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms possible across North Florida and the East Coast as daily sea breeze thunderstorms are enhanced by the presence of the frontal boundary.
- Locally damaging wind gusts (45-60 mph), isolated hail, frequent lightning, and heavy downpours possible (Marginal Risk – level 1 of 5).
- Localized instances of flooding and ponding of water will be possible over urban and poor drainage/low-lying areas.
- Humid conditions will yield triple digit heat indices (98-102-degrees) over interior Central Florida before any rain relief this afternoon.
- Areas of fog and low clouds will be possible over portions of the Florida Panhandle and interior Central Florida tonight.
- Minor saltwater flooding possible along the bayside communities of the Upper Keys as water levels reach 1-1.5’ above normal at times of high tide.
- An elevated risk of rip currents can be expected to continue along portions of the Panhandle and Atlantic Coasts.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, June 8, 2023
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Ample moisture ahead of a slow-moving cold front will lead to elevated rain chances across the Sunshine State today.
- Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms possible this afternoon (35-55% chance of rain) across the Suwannee River Valley and interior Northeast Florida.
- The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is outlooking a Marginal Risk for Severe Weather (level 1 of 5) as thunderstorms may be capable of producing locally damaging wind gusts, lightning, isolated hail, and heavy downpours.
- Scattered showers and thunderstorms to develop across the Florida Peninsula, courtesy of the daily afternoon sea breeze (50-70% chance of rain); a few thunderstorms may be strong.
- Localized flooding and ponding of water possible over the urban corridor and low-lying/poor drainage areas across South Florida.
- Minor saltwater flooding possible along the bayside communities of the Upper and Middle Florida Keys as water levels reach 1-1.5’ above normal at times of high tide.
- A moderate risk of rip currents can be expected along portions of the Panhandle and East Coast today.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Wednesday, June 7, 2023
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- An active weather pattern will set up later this morning and continue through the afternoon and evening across East Florida as the sea breeze collision, as well as an approaching frontal boundary, will allow for scattered showers and thunderstorms to develop (60-75% chance of rain).
- The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is outlooking a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather across East Florida, along the I-95 and eastward towards the coastline as thunderstorms will be capable of producing frequent lightning, locally gusty winds (45-60 mph), small hail (dime to quarter size), and heavy downpours.
- Abundant moisture flowing inland from the Gulf of Mexico will allow for heavy and intense downpours within stronger shower and thunderstorm activity, leading to instances of ponding and localized flooding across South Florida – Marginal Risk (level 1 of 4) for Flash Flooding.
- High temperatures will warm up into the upper 80s to low 90s, but with warm and muggy conditions temperatures will feel-like they are in the low 90s and approaching the middle 90s across portions of West-Central and Southwest Florida.
- Winds shifting out of the south to southwest will allow for a moderate risk for rip currents along Panhandle and most East Coast beaches, with a high risk continuing for Southeast beaches.
- A non-tropical area of low pressure over the Northeast Atlantic Ocean is producing limited showers and thunderstorms, as well as winds near gale force. The system is forecast to turn northeastward today and move over cooler water, and further development is not anticipated (near 0% chance for development over next 48 hours). This system poses no threat to Florida
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, June 6, 2023
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- High pressure shifting over the Southeastern U.S. and the western Atlantic Ocean will provide partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions throughout the day.
- Low-level moisture increasing from onshore flow returning will allow for isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms to develop this afternoon and evening mainly along the sea breeze boundary as it moves inland across the Panhandle and I-75 corridor (35-60% chance of rain).
- Scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop during the peak heating hours of the day as moisture increases and the sea breeze develops throughout the day across South Florida (50-70% chance of rain). Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms developing during the peak heating hours of the day will be capable of producing lightning, locally gusty winds (45-60 mph), small hail, and heavy downpours – Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather.
- Heavy downpours may lead to instances of ponding and localized flooding across urban and low-lying/poor drainage areas in South Florida.
- Minor coastal flooding will continue through tonight’s high tide along the Atlantic Coast as astronomical tides remains elevated in the wake of the full moon.
- Coastal Flood Advisories remain in place along portions of Northeast Florida along the St. Johns River as elevated tides remain trapped within the basin creating minor flooding.
- A high risk for rip currents has shifted southward across Southeast Florida beaches, while the rest of the Atlantic Coast returns to a moderate risk for rip currents due to weakening onshore flow; a moderate risk continues for Panhandle beaches.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
