Current Weather Outlook
Statewide weather outlook from Florida Division of Emergency Management Meteorology
Monday, November 24, 2025
...Foggy Conditions Throughout the State this Morning to Clear Up...Mostly Dry Conditions Once Again...Warm Front to Begin Lifting Northward From Central Florida...Isolated Showers Possible Along Treasure Coast and Northeast Florida Coast...Locally Elevated Wildfire Threat Continues for North Florida...Locally Dense Fog Possible Tonight Statewide...Isolated Showers Possible Along Panhandle Early Tuesday Morning With Approaching Front...Moderate Risk for Rip Currents Along Most Panhandle and East Coast Beaches...
Updated at 9:16 AM EST
Today's Threats:
|
No Threat |
Low Threat |
Medium Threat |
High Threat |
|
Lightning |
Tornado |
Damaging Wind/Hail |
Wildfire |
Freeze (Overnight) |
Fog (Overnight) |
Coastal Flooding |
Rip Currents |
|
Locally I-10 Corridor North & West-Central Florida |
Locally Suwannee Valley Big Bend & Peninsula Statewide |
Panhandle & East Coast West Coast |
Weather Summary for the Next 24 Hours:
Dense Fog Advisories throughout the Big Bend and extending into Central Florida will be allowed to expire at 10:00 AM EST as dense fog conditions continue to slowly lift and dissipate. The stalled frontal boundary draped across the Peninsula will transition into a warm front today and begin lifting northward. Mostly dry conditions can be expected to continue across the state throughout the day; however, there is a chance for isolated showers along portions of the I-95 corridor and the Treasure Coast this afternoon and evening as a weak sea breeze develops (15-20% chance of rain). With ongoing dry conditions continuing across the worst drought conditions in North Florida, sensitive to locally elevated wildfire conditions can be expected with a near-zero chance of rain.
High temperatures will reach the middle to upper 70s and lower 80s across the state, with West-Central Florida reaching the middle 80s this afternoon.
As the warm front continues to lift northward overnight, moisture will extend inland from the adjacent waters. Another cold front will approach from the Mississippi Valley tonight and into early Tuesday, which may allow for some isolated showers along the Panhandle (15-20% chance of rain). Regardless, another round of locally dense fog will develop nearly statewide overnight and early Tuesday morning. Dense Fog Advisories will likely be needed again by sunrise Tuesday morning.
Low temperatures will fall into the upper 50s for the Suwannee Valley and the lower 60s across the rest of North Florida, 60s across Central Florida and lower 70s across South Florida.
Tropical cyclone activity is not expected during the next 7 days in the Atlantic basin.
For the latest on the tropics, please visit the National Hurricane Center (NHC) at www.hurricanes.gov.
Rip Currents: Ahead of a weak frontal boundary, southerly onshore winds will increase across the Panhandle today leading to a moderate to high risk of rip currents for all Panhandle beaches. A low to moderate risk of rip currents can be expected for all East Coast beaches, with a low risk remaining for West Coast beaches. For the latest Rip Current Outlook, visit www.weather.gov/beach.
Marine Hazards: Calm marine conditions are expected for all beaches statewide today with wave heights of 1-2’ expected. An isolated breaker of 3’ in the surf zone cannot be ruled out for Panhandle beaches as onshore winds increase today.
Red Tide was observed at background to low concentrations in Pinellas, Hillsborough, Lee, and Collier County in Southwest Florida. In Northwest Florida, it was observed at background to medium concentrations in Bay County, background to high concentrations in Gulf County, and low concentrations in Franklin County. Red tide was not observed in Southwest Florida or along the Florida East Coast over the past 7 days (valid 11/21).
Coastal Flooding: There is no risk for coastal flooding across Florida.
Fire Weather: Relative humidity values will recover across the state as winds become more southerly ahead of a frontal system moving into the Mississippi Valley. Despite relative humidity values keeping above critical threshold, expanding and worsening drought conditions over North Florida will lead to sensitive to elevated wildfire conditions. Several burn bans have been introduced along the Big Bend and West-Central Florida due to the increasing wildfire threat with drought conditions. Another round of fog and low clouds will be possible throughout the state tonight and into early Tuesday morning, and Dense Fog Advisories will likely be needed again. According to the Florida Forest Service, there are 60 active wildfires across the state burning approximately 453 acres.
Drought: The past week was almost entirely dry across the entire Sunshine State as temperatures warmed to above seasonable levels. As such, no improvements were made to this week’s Drought Monitor and further degradation was seen. Across South Florida, Moderate Drought (level 1 of 4) was introduced across interior Collier, Broward, and Miami-Dade counties with expansion of Abnormally Dry (emerging drought) towards the Southeast coastline. Moderate Drought (level 1 of 4) was also introduced across Lee, Charlotte, Hendry, and Glades county, as well as around Lake Okeechobee where rainfall departures from the past month have neared 2-3 inches. Moderate Drought remains in place across much of West-Central Florida with further expansion into Polk county and northward along the entire Nature Coast. Rainfall departures from the past 60 days have grown to 4-6 inches across West-Central Florida. Across North Florida, Severe (level 2 of 4) to Extreme (level 3 of 4) have remained in place, with expansion southeastward of the Extreme Drought into much of Suwannee, Columbia, and western Baker County. Severe Drought was also added to much of the Forgotten Coast along Taylor and Dixie counties. An Exceptional Drought (level 4 of 4) was introduced to northern Gadsden, Leon, and Jefferson counties where streamflows have reached very low levels, vegetation has become very dry, and agricultural impacts have worsened. This is the first Exceptional Drought seen in the state of Florida since February 2012. Long-term rainfall departures continue to decline across the Panhandle, and significant rainfall is not expected over the next week as temperatures remain above seasonable levels. As such, worsening drought conditions are expected over the next week across much of the state.
The Keetch-Byram Drought Index average for Florida is 510 (+5) on a scale from 0 (very wet) to 800 (very dry). There are 42 Florida counties (Alachua, Baker, Bay, Bradford, Calhoun, Charlotte, Citrus, Clay, Columbia, DeSoto, Dixie, Franklin, Gadsden, Gilchrist, Gulf, Hamilton, Hardee, Hernando, Highlands, Hillsborough, Holmes, Jackson, Jefferson, Lafeyette, Lee, Leon, Levy, Liberty, Madison, Manatee, Nassau, Okaloosa, Pasco, Pinellas, Santa Rosa, Sarasota, Suwannee, Taylor, Union, Wakulla, Walton, and Washington) that have an average KBDI above 500 (drought/increased fire danger).
Flash Flooding: There is no risk for flash flooding today.
Riverine Flooding: The St. Johns River at Astor has finally returned to nominal background levels, though water levels at the headwaters of the St. Johns, including Lake Harney and Sanford, remain at Action Stage (bank-full) this morning. There are no other riverine concerns statewide. For more information, visit the River Forecast Center.
Lake Okeechobee’s average elevation is 13.76 feet, which is within the operational band and is 1.15 feet below normal for this time of year.
