Current Weather Outlook

Weather Summary for the Next 24 Hours:

A complex and active weather day is on deck across the Sunshine State. Areas of dense fog this morning along East-Central and South Florida will slowly lift and dissipate this morning, especially as winds begin to increase ahead of an approaching cold front. While conditions will remain mostly dry this morning, a few pre-frontal showers may develop along the Panhandle late this morning as a strong cold front approaches from the west. Ahead of and along this strong cold front a line of showers and thunderstorms is expected to push eastward into the Panhandle late in the morning and near midday, then follow the I-10 corridor quickly throughout the rest of the daytime hours and into the evening (70-near 100% chance of rain). The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is outlooking a Slight Risk (level 2 of 5) for Severe Weather extending from the Panhandle and through the Capital City, with a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) through the upper Suwannee Valley as embedded strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible. The main hazards associated with these strong to severe thunderstorms include frequent lightning, damaging wind gusts (55-65 mph), isolated embedded tornadoes and locally heavy rainfall. The ongoing cloud cover this morning, and quick nature of the front itself, may hinder some of the potential for severe thunderstorm development this afternoon and evening. Breezy southerly to southeasterly winds can be expected to develop statewide reaching 10-15 mph across the Peninsula and 20-25 mph throughout the Panhandle and Big Bend outside of thunderstorm activity. On top of that wind gusts will reach 15-25 mph statewide, with stronger wind gusts of 25-40 mph across the Panhandle and Big Bend. Wind Advisories will go into effect late this morning along the Panhandle for those elevated winds of 15-25 mph and wind gusts upwards of 35-45 mph through the early evening hours. Locally higher gusts cannot be ruled out.

Shower chances extend across much of the state during the evening and overnight period as the cold front continues to push eastward bringing scattered activity with embedded thunderstorms. The greatest chances will remain across the Big Bend and towards the I-4 corridor through the overnight period (45-80% chance of rain). As the line of showers and thunderstorms reaches Northeast Florida and the northern Peninsula its structure becomes more disorganized leading to the line of activity to become more scattered. Across South Florida, enough moisture ahead of the front may be able to help create some isolated showers late in the overnight and into the early morning hours on Monday. Behind the cold front much drier and colder air will move in leading to temperatures dropping quickly. Elevated winds and enough time between the rain leaving and delay of the colder air moving in will not create any potential for flash freeze conditions at this time. Winds will calm down some overnight, but breezy wind gusts of 15-20 mph can still be expected to continue overnight across North and Central Florida through the I-4 corridor, with stronger gusts of 25-30 mph along the coasts. Slightly lighter winds and elevated moisture may lead to instances of patchy fog developing along Southwest Florida by the early morning hours on Monday.

High temperatures will reach the 70s to lower 80s across North Florida this afternoon with well above normal temperatures in the 80s across Central and South Florida. Low temperatures will drop into the middle to upper 20s for the western Panhandle, 30s across the eastern Panhandle and western Big Bend and 40s to middle 50s for the rest of North Florida. Cold air racing into the Panhandle and elevated winds will lead to wind chills dropping into the teens and 20s across the Panhandle and lower to middle 40s across the western Big Bend by sunrise Monday morning. An Extreme Cold Warning will go into effect overnight and continue through Monday morning for very dangerous wind chills as low as 10-degrees expected along the far western Panhandle (Escambia, Santa Rosa and Okaloosa counties). Cold Weather Advisories will go into effect early Monday morning for the rest of the Panhandle and through the US-231 corridor for wind chills as low as 17-25-degrees. Central and South Florida will see low temperatures in the upper 50s to upper 60s and near 70-degrees.