Current Weather Outlook
Statewide weather outlook from Florida Division of Emergency Management Meteorology
Saturday, December 6, 2025
...Another Day of Scattered to Widespread Showers Expected Across the Panhandle and Big Bend... A Few Scattered Showers or Embedded Thunderstorms Possible South to the I-4 Corridor... Nuisance Ponding of Water or Flooding Possible in Any Repeated Rounds of Heavy Downpours... Activity Shifts Slightly South and East Overnight...Additional Fog Development Possible by Sunrise Sunday Across the Suwannee River Valley, Central, and South Florida...Moderate Risk for Rip Currents Along Panhandle and East Coast Beaches...
Updated at 8:30 AM EST
Today's Threats:
|
No Threat |
Low Threat |
Medium Threat |
High Threat |
|
Lightning |
Tornado |
Damaging Wind/Hail |
Wildfire |
Freeze (Overnight) |
Fog (Overnight) |
Coastal Flooding |
Rip Currents |
|
I-4 corridor Iso. Eastern Panhandle & Big Bend |
Northeast FL & Interior Peninsula |
Suwannee Valley & South Florida Northeast FL & Peninsula Statewide |
Panhandle & East Coast Southeast FL & West Coast |
Weather Summary for the Next 24 Hours:
Widespread showers have spread across much of the Panhandle this morning as the nearly stationary frontal system remains draped along the northern gulf waters. The system will be slow to progress eastward today with another day of scattered to widespread showers and embedded thunderstorms across the Panhandle (75-85% chance of rain). Isolated to widely scattered showers or a locally strong thunderstorm may develop across Central Florida this afternoon ahead of the main activity, mainly north of the I-4 corridor (25-40% chance of rain). Although there is no organized risk for flash flooding today, nuisance ponding of water or localized flooding cannot be ruled out, especially across the Panhandle where repeated rounds of heavy downpours are possible. However, given the ongoing severe drought, the rainfall will be beneficial to much of the northern tier of the state. Dry conditions will persist throughout South Florida as the frontal system remains displaced too far north for any meaningful activity.
High temperatures will reach the upper 50s along the Panhandle and middle 60s to lower 70s across the rest of North Florida. Central and South Florida will see high temperatures in the lower to middle 80s. Feels like temperatures will reach into the upper 80s to near 90 across South Florida as warmer and muggier conditions persist.
The frontal system will continue to progress eastward overnight with scattered showers continuing over the Eastern Panhandle and Northeast Florida where a rumble of thunder or two cannot be ruled out (50-70% chance of rain). A few isolated showers may linger along and near the I-4 corridor as well (25-40% chance of rain). Patchy fog will be possible overnight and early Sunday morning throughout much of the Peninsula, with instances of dense fog possible throughout West-Central and South Florida by sunrise.
Low temperatures will fall into the upper 40s to middle 50s across North Florida, lower to middle 60s in Central Florida, and middle 60s to lower 70s across South Florida.
Hurricane season officially runs from June 1 to November 30.
For the latest on the tropics, please visit the National Hurricane Center (NHC) at www.hurricanes.gov.
Rip Currents: A moderate risk for rip currents is expected for all Panhandle and most East Coast beaches today where breezy onshore winds will persist. Southeast Florida and West Coast beaches can expect a low risk for rip currents. For the latest Rip Current Outlook, visit www.weather.gov/beach.
Marine Hazards: Wave heights of 1-2’ can be expected across all statewide beaches today. A few breakers upwards of 3’ are possible along the First and Space Coast.
Red Tide was observed at background to medium concentrations along the Bay County coastline and background to low concentrations offshore Franklin and Gulf County. Red Tide was not observed in Southwest Florida or along the East Coast (valid 12/5).
Coastal Flooding: There is no risk for coastal flooding across Florida.
Fire Weather: A frontal system draped along the northern gulf waters and southwesterly winds will help to keep relative humidity values well above critical thresholds across the state. This frontal system will continue to bring scattered to widespread rainfall across the Panhandle at times, leading to beneficial rainfall for the ongoing drought conditions. Since yesterday morning, the Panhandle has seen between 0.5-1.5” of rainfall, with locally higher amounts, which should continue to seep into the topsoil. Regardless, sensitive to locally elevated wildfire conditions will persist given the expanding and ongoing drought conditions, especially across West-Central Florida where drier conditions are expected today. According to the Florida Forest Service, there are 27 active wildfires across the state burning approximately 450 acres.
Drought (12/4): Some beneficial rainfall fell across the western Panhandle towards the beginning of this week, which may be reflected in next week’s Drought Monitor outlook, however for this week’s outlook mostly dry conditions prevailed prompting an expansion of most drought categories across the state. An introduction of Severe Drought (level 2 of 4) was added to coastal West-Central Florida around the Tampa Bay metropolitan area where 60-day rainfall departures remain near 3-5 inches below normal. Moderate Drought (level 1 of 4) was expanded southeastward across much of interior South Florida with abnormally dry (emerging drought) continuing to stretch towards the Southeast Florida coastline. Across North Florida where the worst drought in 14 years is occurring, Exceptional Drought (level 4 of 4) remains in place across Leon, Gadsden, western Calhoun and Jackson, and northern Jefferson, Wakulla, and Liberty counties. Severe (level 2 of 4) to Extreme Drought (level 3 of 4) also remains in place across much of the I-10 corridor and southward along the Forgotten and Nature Coast. Long-term rainfall departures, despite the recent rainfall, remain well below average and streamflows across the northern tier of the state are very low. Additional rainfall this week and weekend will hopefully provide some reduction of the drought for next week’s outlook. However, Central and South Florida may continue to see deteriorating drought conditions moving forward where cold fronts will struggle to reach.
The Keetch-Byram Drought Index average for Florida is 502 (-11) on a scale from 0 (very wet) to 800 (very dry). There are 39 Florida counties that have an average KBDI above 500 (drought/increased fire danger). Calhoun and Leon counties both have KBDI values over 700.
Flash Flooding: There is no organized risk for flash flooding today. Another round of scattered to widespread showers and embedded thunderstorms will lead to beneficial rainfall for the Panhandle today. The heaviest rainfall is expected over the Emerald Coast, which could lead to some larger accumulations. Overall rainfall totals near 1” can be expected across much of the Panhandle, with locally higher totals upwards of 2-3” for any training or multiple showers over the same coastal areas.
Riverine Flooding: There are no riverine concerns. Additional rainfall today will continue to benefit dry rivers, creeks and streams with below normal streamflow. For more information, visit the River Forecast Center.
Lake Okeechobee’s average elevation is 13.65 feet, which is within the operational band and is 1.13 feet below normal for this time of year.
