Current Weather Outlook
Statewide weather outlook from Florida Division of Emergency Management Meteorology
Sunday, February 1, 2026
...Dangerously Cold Morning Across Florida...Extreme Cold Warnings Continue Through Late Morning and Early Afternoon...Sunshine Returns But Will Be Deceiving As Temperatures Very Slowly Warm Up...Lingering Breezy Winds Make Temperatures Feel Colder Throughout Daytime...Temperatures Struggle Today in 40s and 50s; Feels-Like Temperatures in the 20s and 30s for North and Central Florida this Afternoon...Lighter Winds Return Tonight But Still Expect Dangerously Cold Conditions (Not Quite As Cold As Saturday Night)...Widespread Freeze Conditions Nearly Statewide with Freeze Warnings for Tonight...Dangerous Wind Chills Expected Monday Morning - 10s and Lower 20s Possible for Northeast and East-Central Florida; 20s and 30s for Most of the State...Extreme Cold Warnings Possible for Northeast and East-Central Florida; Cold Weather Advisories Nearly Statewide...Moderate to High Risk for Rip Currents Continues; Dangerous Surf Along Portions of West Coast...Minor Coastal Flooding For Portions of Keys Through Morning Hours...
Updated at 9:07 AM EST
Today's Threats:
|
No Threat |
Low Threat |
Medium Threat |
High Threat |
|
Lightning |
Tornado |
Damaging Wind/Hail |
Wildfire |
Coastal Flooding |
Freeze (Overnight) |
Wind Chills (Overnight) |
Rip Currents |
|
Locally Statewide |
Upper Keys (AM) |
North, Central, and Interior South FL Coastal West-Central & South FL
|
Statewide Coastal South FL |
Peninsula & E. Panhandle North Florida |
Weather Summary for the Next 24 Hours:
It is a dangerously cold morning for Floridians after the coldest temperatures and wind chills have reached the state. Observations this morning have shown wind chills in the single digits and lower 10s across North Florida, 10s and lower 20s across Central Florida and 20s to lower 30s across South Florida. Even the Florida Keys have seen wind chills in the 30s.
The abundance of sunshine across the state will be deceiving today as temperatures will very slowly warm up throughout the day. Temperatures across North and Central Florida won’t get above freezing (32-degrees) until the late morning to near midday timeframe. Even plenty of sunshine, lingering winds of 10-15 mph and gusts upwards of 15-30 mph can be expected to continue throughout the day making temperatures feel colder than they are. Wind Advisories remain in effect until the mid-morning hours across portions of the Panhandle and Big Bend and the Florida Keys. Feels-like temperatures are not expected to rise above freezing until midday to the early afternoon hours across North and parts of Central Florida. Extreme Cold Warnings will remain in effect across the Panhandle and Big Bend until 12:00PM -1:00PM EST/11:00AM-12:00PM CST, the Suwannee Valley and Northeast Florida until 11:00 AM EST, and across Central and portions of South Florida until 10:00 AM EST. High temperatures will reach the 40s across North and North-Central Florida and lower 50s across the rest of Central and through South Florida this afternoon. The Florida Keys will see high temperatures in the middle to upper 50s. Feels-like temperatures are expected to remain in the upper 20s to middle 30s across North and Central Florida towards the I-4 corridor in the early part of the afternoon and the upper 30s to middle 40s across the rest of the state.
Winds will gradually calm down throughout the day but expected to still reach 5-10 mph throughout the evening and overnight period. Wind gusts should also ease up overnight but continue at 5-15 mph with the strongest gusts along the coastlines. Stronger wind gusts of 20-25 mph cannot be ruled out along portions of the eastern coastline overnight. Widespread freeze conditions can be expected again tonight, but it won’t be quite as cold as Saturday night. Low temperatures are expected to fall into the upper teens to middle 20s across North Florida, upper 20s to lower 30s across Central Florida and lower to upper 30s across South Florida. Interior portions of Central and South Florida will remain colder compared to its coastal areas. The Florida Keys will see low temperatures in the 40s to lower 50s. Freeze Warnings will go into effect again for much of the state again later this evening and continuing through much of Monday morning for dangerously cold temperatures well below freezing. Feels-like temperatures will plunge again tonight, but not as cold as Saturday night. By sunrise Monday morning, feels-like temperatures will be in the middle 10s to lowers 20s across Northeast and portions of East-Central Florida where there are the strongest winds continue. The rest of North Florida will see feels-like temperatures in the lower to middle 20s. West-Central and South Florida can expect to see feels-like temperatures in the middle 20s to lower 30s early Monday morning. Portions of the Upper Keys will see feels-like temperatures in the upper 30s. Widespread Cold Weather Advisories can be expected again overnight for very cold wind chills. An Extreme Cold Warning will go into effect tonight along East-Central Florida, and may extend northward into Northeast Florida or into South Florida for dangerous wind chills.
Rip Currents: Breezy northwesterly winds and large ocean swells will continue to create a moderate to high rip current risk statewide. For the latest Rip Current Outlook, visit www.weather.gov/beach.
Marine Hazards: Large ocean swells will linger throughout the state today leading to wave heights of 4-8’ across the Peninsula. Larger breaking waves of 8-12’ will be possible within the surf zones along the Treasure Coast and Southeast Florida beaches. High Surf Advisories remain in effect along the West-Central and Southwest Florida coastlines through this evening for dangerous surf and beach conditions.
Red Tide was observed at background to very low concentrations in Walton County, background to medium concentrations in Bay County, and low concentrations in Gulf County across the Panhandle. In Southwest Florida, red tide was observed at background to very low concentrations offshore Hillsborough and Lee County. Along the Florida East Coast, red tide was observed at background concentrations from Balm Beach County (valid 1/31/2026).
Coastal Flooding: Strong northwesterly winds and large ocean swells may continue to lead to instances of minor coastal flooding along the Florida Keys through the morning hours, and a Coastal Flood Statement remains in effect.
Fire Weather: Dry air continues to intrude across the state creating relative humidity values near or at critical thresholds for most od the state this afternoon (20-35%). Breezy northwesterly winds from yesterday will slowly calm down today and tonight, but will continue to reach upwards of 10-15 mph throughout the state today. Along with this, wind gusts of 15-25 mph, possibly stronger upwards of 35-40 at times, can be expected to persist throughout the day. A Wind Advisory remains in effect across portions of the Panhandle, as well as across the Keys, until the mid-morning hours. Gusty winds may help further spread new or existing wildfires. Another round of widespread freeze conditions can be expected tonight which also lowers the wildfire risk. According to the Florida Forest Service, there are 80 active wildfires across the state burning approximately 2,021 acres.
Drought (1/29/26): We saw the greatest rainfall over the past week mainly across the Panhandle and north of the I-10 corridor with our frontal passage last weekend (1/25). Here rainfall totals of 0.5-2” fell, yet the ongoing long-term drought was hardly impacted. On the latest Drought Monitor outlook, severe drought (level 2 of 4) persists across much of North Florida and the I-10 corridor, expanding eastward to include the entire First Coast. Long-term (60 day) rainfall departures across the Nature Coast and North-Central Florida have neared 3-4” below normal, which has prompted the addition of an extreme drought (level 3 of 4) category. The extreme drought also remains untouched across the northern Big Bend region where, despite some rainfall, soil moisture levels and streamflows are well below normal. Across Central and South Florida, very little changes were made to this week’s outlook. Some slight expansion of the severe drought (level 2 of 4) was added across coastal Palm Beach and Martin counties where rainfall departures continue to dip below normal. Some slight improvement in drought conditions were found along the immediate Southeast Florida coastline with recent coastal shower activity. As of this outlook, 94% of the state is under a moderate drought (level 1 of 4) or worse.
The Keetch-Byram Drought Index average for Florida is 479 (+2) on a scale from 0 (very wet) to 800 (very dry). There are 32 Florida counties that have an average KBDI above 500 (drought/increased fire danger).
Flash Flooding: There is no risk for flash flooding today.
Riverine Flooding: There are no riverine concerns across Florida. For more information, visit the River Forecast Center.
Lake Okeechobee’s average elevation is 12.77 feet, which is within the operational band and is 1.88 feet below normal for this time of year.
