Current Weather Outlook
Statewide weather outlook from Florida Division of Emergency Management Meteorology
Sunday, January 11, 2026
...Dense Fog this Morning For Northeast and North-Central Florida...Cold Front Moving Through Suwannee Valley Bringing Isolated Showers...Additional Isolated Showers With Cold Front Moving Through Peninsula Today and Tonight...Breezy Winds Developing Behind Cold Front...Cooler and Drier Air Ushering In Behind Cold Front...Temperatures Falling Near and Below Freezing Along I-10 Corridor Tonight...Wind Chills Return to Middle 20s to Middle 30s Across North Florida and Portions of North-Central Florida...Moderate to High Risk for Rip Currents Nearly Statewide...
Updated at 9:09 AM EST
Today's Threats:
|
No Threat |
Low Threat |
Medium Threat |
High Threat |
|
Lightning |
Tornado |
Damaging Wind/Hail |
Wildfire |
Fog (Overnight) |
Freeze (Overnight) |
Wind Chill (Overnight) |
Rip Currents |
| Isolated Statewide | Iso. South FL |
Northwestern Panhandle & I-10 Corridor North Florida & Nature Coast |
North Florida Northeast FL Coast & Nature Coast |
Panhandle East Coast & West-Central FL First & Nature Coast, Southwest FL |
Weather Summary for the Next 24 Hours:
Dense Fog conditions have developed this morning across Northeast Florida and North-Central Florida, and should gradually lift and dissipate by the mid-to-late morning hours. A pattern change can be expected today as a cold front continues to push southward through the state today and tonight. The cold front is currently moving over the Suwannee River Valley bringing isolated showers over the northern I-75 corridor and Northeast Florida and will continue to push southward into Central Florida during the daytime hours. With not much moisture content, rain chances will remain isolated, to possibly widely scattered at best, as the cold front pushes into the Peninsula through the rest of the day and overnight (15-35% chance of rain). Behind the cold front, cooler and drier air will move in from the northwest accompanied with breezy winds. Wind gusts will reach upwards of 15-20 mph across North Florida by this afternoon, with stronger wind gusts upwards of 25 mph along the coasts. Eventually throughout the overnight hours these breezy wind gusts will extend into the Peninsula once the cold front pushes through.
High temperatures will reach the upper 50s to upper 60s across North Florida, middle 70s to lower 80s across Central Florida and lower to middle 80s across South Florida. Much cooler air compared to the last week will arrive tonight across North Florida and portions of Central Florida. Low temperatures will fall into the upper 20s to middle 30s across North Florida, upper 40s to middle 50s across Central Florida, upper 50s to upper 60s across South Florida. Feels-like temperatures, or wind chills, will dip into the middle 20s to lower 30s across North Florida and 30s along Nature Coast and North-Central Florida by sunrise Monday morning.
Rip Currents: Breezy winds moving in behind a passing cold front will create ocean swells and a moderate to high risk for rip currents along the Panhandle and West Coast. Numerous East Coast beaches can expect a moderate risk. For the latest Rip Current Outlook, visit www.weather.gov/beach.
Marine Hazards: North and North-Central Florida beaches can expect to see wave heights near 1-3’ throughout the day, with Panhandle beaches seeing breaking waves upwards of 4’ further offshore. The rest of the Peninsula will see wave heights of 1-2’.
Red Tide was observed at background to high concentrations in Bay County and background to very low concentrations in Gulf County along the Panhandle. It was also observed at background to very low concentrations in Charlotte County in Southwest Florida. Red Tide was not observed along the Florida East Coast (valid 1/9/2026).
Coastal Flooding: There is no risk for coastal flooding across Florida.
Fire Weather: A cold front will continue to pass through the state today bringing isolated to widely scattered showers as it moves southward. Behind the cold front, drier and cooler air will move in from the northwest, especially along the Panhandle and Big Bend by the late afternoon and early evening hours. Relative humidity values across portions of the Big bend and Suwannee Valley are forecast to approach critical thresholds this afternoon (30-35%). Accompanying the drier air will be breezy wind gusts of 15-20 mph, with isolated stronger wind gusts near 25 mph along the North Florida coasts. With the recent warm and dry week, as well as ongoing drought conditions, sensitive wildfire conditions can be expected to persist statewide. Localized patchy fog may be mixed within morning showers across South Florida early Monday morning, which may reduce visibilities with any ongoing fires. According to the Florida Forest Service, there are 26 active wildfires across the state burning approximately 595 acres.
Drought (1/8/26): Some beneficial rainfall fell across North Florida this past weekend, bringing widespread 1-2” totals to the Panhandle and Big Bend. However, very little change was made to this weeks Drought Monitor outlook due to long-term drought and above normal temperatures keeping drought in place. Short-term rainfall departures are all below normal across the entire state, with the largest deficits (2-4”) over the western Panhandle. Here, moderate drought (level 1 of 4) remains, with severe (level 2 of 4) to extreme drought (level 3 of 4) persisting over the interior eastern Panhandle and Big Bend. Severe drought (level 2 of 4) also remains in place across the Suwannee River Valley where streamflows are well below normal. Some of the biggest changes in recent outlooks has been across West-Central and South Florida where long-term rainfall departures have reached 4-6” in many locations. The severe drought (level 2 of 4) has expanded further south along the Gulf coast to include all of Charlotte and Lee counties, and westward to interior Glades and Hendry counties. Expansion of moderate drought (level 1 of 4) was also added across coastal Southeast Florida. Nearly 87% of the state of Florida is now under a moderate drought (level 1 of 4) or worse. Our next chance for rainfall returns this weekend; however, rainfall totals do not appear substantial enough to allow for category improvements.
The Keetch-Byram Drought Index average for Florida is 474 (+6) on a scale from 0 (very wet) to 800 (very dry). There are 30 Florida counties that have an average KBDI above 500 (drought/increased fire danger).
Flash Flooding: There is no risk for flash flooding today. Rainfall totals associated with the cold front moving through the state are expected to remain below 0.5”; however, coastal Southeast Florida could approach that amount by early Monday morning.
Riverine Flooding: There are no riverine concerns across Florida. For more information, visit the River Forecast Center.
Lake Okeechobee’s average elevation is 13.24 feet, which is within the operational band and is 1.48 feet below normal for this time of year.
