Current Weather Outlook
Statewide weather outlook from Florida Division of Emergency Management Meteorology
Wednesday, December 10, 2025
...Cold Start with Frost this Morning Across North Florida...Instances of Locally Freezing Fog In Northwestern Panhandle - May Lead to Icing on Elevated Surfaces...Plenty of Sunshine and Dry Conditions Return to the State...Brief Sprinkles Possible Along East-Central Florida This Morning Clearning Out By Afternoon...Locally Sensitive Wildfire Commercials for North Florida...Dry Cold Front to Move Through Overnight...Patchy Frost Possible Throughout North Florida Early in The Morning Hours Thursday...Another Cool Start Across North Florida In the Morning...Moderate to High Risk for Rip Currents for Panhandle and East Coast Beaches...
Updated at 9:20 AM EST
Today's Threats:
|
No Threat |
Low Threat |
Medium Threat |
High Threat |
|
Lightning |
Tornado |
Damaging Wind/Hail |
Wildfire |
Freeze (Overnight) |
Fog (Overnight) |
Coastal Flooding |
Rip Currents |
|
Iso. North FL |
Northwestern Panhandle |
E. Panhandle, Space & Treasure Coasts East Coast & Big Bend West Coast |
Weather Summary for the Next 24 Hours:
A cold start to the day across North Florida with patchy frost on the ground. Portions of the northwestern Panhandle could see some patchy fog or localized freezing fog which may lead to icing on some elevated surfaces such as bridges and overpasses this morning. Any conditions should dissipate this morning. Plenty of sunshine can be expected across the state as high pressure shifts over the state. A few brief sprinkles may be possible along East-Central Florida and the Southeast Florida coast this morning before dissipating this afternoon (10-15% chance of rain). Despite recent rainfall, longer term drought conditions and dry conditions returning across North Florida could lead to instances of locally sensitive wildfire conditions. Wind gusts will increase to 15-25 mph along the Panhandle this afternoon and evening as a dry cold front approaches the state from the northwest.
High temperatures will return to the 60s across North Florida, lower to middle 70s across Central Florida and middle 70s to near 80-degrees across South Florida.
A dry cold front will push through North and Central Florida overnight helping to reinforce dry and cool conditions throughout the state. While this front is expected to remain dry, a few light sprinkles cannot be ruled out along the front with any locally available moisture. An increase in cloud cover can be expected along and ahead of the front as it pushes through overnight helping to keep conditions slightly warmer that the last couple of days.
Low temperatures will fall into the upper 30s to lower 40s across North Florida, middle 40s to middle 50s across Central Florida and 50s to lower 60s across South Florida. Feels-like temperatures will dip into the lower to middle 30s across the northwestern Panhandle and middle to upper 30s throughout the rest of North Florida. Instances of patchy frost may be possible in shady or low-lying areas.
Hurricane season officially runs from June 1 to November 30.
For the latest on the tropics, please visit the National Hurricane Center (NHC) at www.hurricanes.gov.
Rip Currents: A moderate to high risk for rip currents persists for all Panhandle and East Coast beaches. A low risk returns to the West Coast. For the latest Rip Current Outlook, visit www.weather.gov/beach.
Marine Hazards: Ocean swells of 3-5’ will linger through today along the entire East Coast with breaking waves upwards of 6’ off Treasure Coast. Panhandle and West Coast beaches will return 1-2’.
Red Tide was observed at background to medium concentrations along the Bay County coastline and background to low concentrations offshore Franklin and Gulf County. Red Tide was not observed in Southwest Florida or along the East Coast (valid 12/5).
Coastal Flooding: There is no risk for coastal flooding across Florida.
Fire Weather: Dry conditions will return across the state as high pressure shifts eastward into the state briefly. Relative humidity values will remain above critical thresholds throughout the state despite the dry conditions. Wind gusts will increase later today across the Panhandle and North Florida as a reinforcing dry cold front approaches, leading to wind gusts upwards of 15-25 mph at times. Locally sensitive wildfire conditions will be possible across North Florida given the longer-term drought conditions over the area, even with all the recent rainfall. According to the Florida Forest Service, there are 13 active wildfires across the state burning approximately 226 acres.
Drought (12/4): Some beneficial rainfall fell across the western Panhandle towards the beginning of this week, which may be reflected in next week’s Drought Monitor outlook, however for this week’s outlook mostly dry conditions prevailed prompting an expansion of most drought categories across the state. An introduction of Severe Drought (level 2 of 4) was added to coastal West-Central Florida around the Tampa Bay metropolitan area where 60-day rainfall departures remain near 3-5 inches below normal. Moderate Drought (level 1 of 4) was expanded southeastward across much of interior South Florida with abnormally dry (emerging drought) continuing to stretch towards the Southeast Florida coastline. Across North Florida where the worst drought in 14 years is occurring, Exceptional Drought (level 4 of 4) remains in place across Leon, Gadsden, western Calhoun and Jackson, and northern Jefferson, Wakulla, and Liberty counties. Severe (level 2 of 4) to Extreme Drought (level 3 of 4) also remains in place across much of the I-10 corridor and southward along the Forgotten and Nature Coast. Long-term rainfall departures, despite the recent rainfall, remain well below average and streamflows across the northern tier of the state are very low. Additional rainfall this week and weekend will hopefully provide some reduction of the drought for next week’s outlook. However, Central and South Florida may continue to see deteriorating drought conditions moving forward where cold fronts will struggle to reach.
The Keetch-Byram Drought Index average for Florida is 394 (+1) on a scale from 0 (very wet) to 800 (very dry). There are 12 Florida counties that have an average KBDI above 500 (drought/increased fire danger).
Flash Flooding: There is no organized risk for flash flooding today.
Riverine Flooding: There are no riverine concerns. For more information, visit the River Forecast Center.
Lake Okeechobee’s average elevation is 13.62 feet, which is within the operational band and is 1.13 feet below normal for this time of year.
